Short Trade on BTC 14 Dec 2025 at 20:34:25
Take profit at 88361.5715 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 89171.0143 (0.3 %)
Short Trade on BTC 14 Dec 2025 at 20:34:25
Take profit at 88361.5715 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 89171.0143 (0.3 %)
Position size of 2635.923 $
Take profit at 88361.5715 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 89171.0143 (0.3 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.75 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.48 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : 0.106614 1H : 0.002198 |
1 |
Indicators:
88470.6
0.00486679
88901.2
1
89148.8
-0.0027778
88901.2
0.106614
90351.1
-0.0160477
88901.2
0.002198
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 09:00:00
[1] => 89226.9
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 16:00:00
[1] => 93536.6
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 09:00:00
[1] => 92645.6
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
[1] => 89434.5
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
[1] => 90594.1
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
[1] => 89900
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
[1] => 89730.1
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 19:00:00
[1] => 90450
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
[1] => 87530.2
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
[1] => 88985.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.005956039930194
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6563426108932
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.662397663892
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 02:30:00
[1] => 90040.8
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 03:15:00
[1] => 90266.7
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 06:30:00
[1] => 88596.6
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 07:45:00
[1] => 89643.4
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 11:15:00
[1] => 89374.9
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 11:45:00
[1] => 88470.9
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 13:15:00
[1] => 89047.6
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 15:00:00
[1] => 88315
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:30:00
[1] => 87530.2
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:30:00
[1] => 88985.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.005956039930194
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6563426108932
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.662397663892
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 16:05:00
[1] => 88407.6
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 16:20:00
[1] => 88687.4
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 16:55:00
[1] => 88295.6
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 17:00:00
[1] => 88584.6
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 17:40:00
[1] => 87981
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
[1] => 88579.1
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:30:00
[1] => 87530.2
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 19:15:00
[1] => 88028.1
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 19:30:00
[1] => 88666.6
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:30:00
[1] => 88985.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.005956039930194
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0813592477856
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.35943636047846
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 16:05:00 | 88407.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 16:20:00 | 88687.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 16:55:00 | 88295.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 17:00:00 | 88584.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 17:40:00 | 87981 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 18:00:00 | 88579.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 18:30:00 | 87530.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 19:15:00 | 88028.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 19:30:00 | 88666.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 20:30:00 | 88985.3 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 02:30:00 | 90040.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 03:15:00 | 90266.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 06:30:00 | 88596.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 07:45:00 | 89643.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 11:15:00 | 89374.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 11:45:00 | 88470.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 13:15:00 | 89047.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 15:00:00 | 88315 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 18:30:00 | 87530.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 20:30:00 | 88985.3 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 09:00:00 | 89226.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 16:00:00 | 93536.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 09:00:00 | 92645.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:00:00 | 89434.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 05:00:00 | 90594.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 09:00:00 | 89900 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 16:00:00 | 89730.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 19:00:00 | 90450 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 18:00:00 | 87530.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 20:00:00 | 88985.3 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 20:34:25 |
14 Dec 2025 20:35:00 |
35 seconds |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88901.2 | 89171.0143 | 88361.5715 | 2 | 67944.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 89171.0143 - 88901.2 = 269.8143
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 88901.2 - 88361.5715 = 539.62849999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 539.62849999999 / 269.8143 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2635.923 | 100 | 0.02965 | 26.36 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 269.8143 = 0.03
Taille de position USD = 0.03 x 88901.2 = 2667.04
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.03 avec un stoploss a 89171.0143
Avec un position size USD de 2667.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.03 x 269.8143 = 8.09
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.09$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.03 x 539.62849999999 = 16.19
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.19$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.61 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4036 % | 132.98 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88361.5715
[entry_price] => 88901.2
[stop_loss] => 89197.99573
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 20:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88361.5715
[entry_price] => 88901.2
[stop_loss] => 89224.97716
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 20:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88361.5715
[entry_price] => 88901.2
[stop_loss] => 89251.95859
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 20:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88361.5715
[entry_price] => 88901.2
[stop_loss] => 89305.92145
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 19.899999999994
[max_drawdown] => 1090
[rr_ratio] => 0.02
[high] => 89991.20000000
[low] => 88881.30000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.02
[mae_pct] => 1.23
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.02
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-14T20:34:25-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-14T22:34:25-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 19.899999999994
[max_drawdown] => 1090
[rr_ratio] => 0.02
[high] => 89991.20000000
[low] => 88881.30000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.02
[mae_pct] => 1.23
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.02
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-14T20:34:25-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-15T03:34:25-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 88985.30000000
[high_after] => 89991.20000000
[low_before] => 87530.20000000
[low_after] => 88881.30000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)