Short Trade on TRUMP 14 Dec 2025 at 20:51:56
Take profit at 5.4233 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 5.4664 (0.26 %)
Short Trade on TRUMP 14 Dec 2025 at 20:51:56
Take profit at 5.4233 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 5.4664 (0.26 %)
Position size of 3038.7646 $
Take profit at 5.4233 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 5.4664 (0.26 %)
That's a 1.99 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.71 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.47 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.61 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.654691 15m : 0.131353 1H : 0.046812 |
1 |
Indicators:
88530.4
0.00860203
89292
0.654691
89156.9
0.000507293
89202.2
0.131353
90358.8
-0.011807
89292
0.046812
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 22:00:00
[1] => 5.708
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 07:00:00
[1] => 5.705
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
[1] => 5.54
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 21:00:00
[1] => 5.625
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 07:00:00
[1] => 5.532
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 15:00:00
[1] => 5.586
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 17:00:00
[1] => 5.538
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
[1] => 5.447
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
[1] => 5.347
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
[1] => 5.457
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10995052226498
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9450158967645
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0572283523471
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 05:00:00
[1] => 5.505
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 06:45:00
[1] => 5.447
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 09:45:00
[1] => 5.463
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 11:15:00
[1] => 5.507
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 12:30:00
[1] => 5.429
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 14:15:00
[1] => 5.405
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 15:30:00
[1] => 5.448
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:30:00
[1] => 5.347
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 19:00:00
[1] => 5.427
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:30:00
[1] => 5.457
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10995052226498
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9450158967645
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.55279159756772
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 14:50:00
[1] => 5.408
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 15:10:00
[1] => 5.408
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 15:40:00
[1] => 5.448
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 16:55:00
[1] => 5.383
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 17:35:00
[1] => 5.374
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
[1] => 5.423
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:30:00
[1] => 5.347
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 19:00:00
[1] => 5.427
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 19:05:00
[1] => 5.392
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:35:00
[1] => 5.457
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10995052226498
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0942136498516
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2054896142433
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 14:50:00 | 5.408 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 15:10:00 | 5.408 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 15:40:00 | 5.448 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 16:55:00 | 5.383 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 17:35:00 | 5.374 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 18:00:00 | 5.423 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 18:30:00 | 5.347 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 19:00:00 | 5.427 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 19:05:00 | 5.392 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 20:35:00 | 5.457 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 05:00:00 | 5.505 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 06:45:00 | 5.447 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 09:45:00 | 5.463 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 11:15:00 | 5.507 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 12:30:00 | 5.429 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 14:15:00 | 5.405 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 15:30:00 | 5.448 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 18:30:00 | 5.347 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 19:00:00 | 5.427 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 20:30:00 | 5.457 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 22:00:00 | 5.708 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 07:00:00 | 5.705 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:00:00 | 5.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 21:00:00 | 5.625 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 07:00:00 | 5.532 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 15:00:00 | 5.586 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 17:00:00 | 5.538 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 06:00:00 | 5.447 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 18:00:00 | 5.347 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 20:00:00 | 5.457 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 20:51:56 |
14 Dec 2025 21:00:00 |
8 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.452 | 5.4664 | 5.4233 | 1.99 | 3.564 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 5.4664 - 5.452 = 0.0144
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 5.452 - 5.4233 = 0.0287
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0287 / 0.0144 = 1.9931
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3038.7646 | 100 | 557.3669 | 30.39 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0144 = 555.56
Taille de position USD = 555.56 x 5.452 = 3028.91
Donc, tu peux acheter 555.56 avec un stoploss a 5.4664
Avec un position size USD de 3028.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 555.56 x 0.0144 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 555.56 x 0.0287 = 15.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.94$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.53 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2751 % | 104.17 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.4233
[entry_price] => 5.452
[stop_loss] => 5.46784
[rr_ratio] => 1.81
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 21:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.4233
[entry_price] => 5.452
[stop_loss] => 5.46928
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 21:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.4233
[entry_price] => 5.452
[stop_loss] => 5.47072
[rr_ratio] => 1.53
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 21:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.4233
[entry_price] => 5.452
[stop_loss] => 5.4736
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 21:15:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0019999999999998
[max_drawdown] => 0.047
[rr_ratio] => 0.04
[high] => 5.49900000
[low] => 5.45000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.04
[mae_pct] => 0.86
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.04
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-14T20:51:56-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-14T22:51:56-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0019999999999998
[max_drawdown] => 0.061
[rr_ratio] => 0.03
[high] => 5.51300000
[low] => 5.45000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.04
[mae_pct] => 1.12
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.03
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-14T20:51:56-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-15T03:51:56-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 5.45700000
[high_after] => 5.51300000
[low_before] => 5.34700000
[low_after] => 5.45000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)