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Short Trade on AR

Short Trade on AR

The 15 Dec 2025 at 14:05:58

With 243.9884 AR at 3.568$ per unit.

Position size of 870.5506 $

Take profit at 3.5024 (1.84 %) and Stop Loss at 3.6008 (0.92 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.71
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.57
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.6
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.193388

15m : 0.031058

1H : -0.081895

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.02185896241
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 3.60191
  4. ema21 - 3.682
  5. ema50 - 3.77383
  6. ema100 - 3.83796
  7. price_ema9_diff - -0.00941553
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0217514
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0243337
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0703397
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.440524
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.296609
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.185431
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.114766
  17. rsi - 0.35011
  18. adx - 0.36287
  19. kc_percentage - 0.0958489
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0756005
  21. volume_ema_diff - 0.719402
  22. volume_ema1 - 298198.41627555
  23. volume_ema2 - 173431.40969299
  24. chop - 20.996
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 3.52571
  28. ema21 - 3.56481
  29. ema50 - 3.64094
  30. ema100 - 3.69617
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0119933
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0109685
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0209095
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0346788
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - -0.241354
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.251011
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.177809
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.111137
  41. rsi - 0.468855
  42. adx - 0.364581
  43. kc_percentage - 0.54147
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0457437
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.201516
  46. volume_ema1 - 66550.089080174
  47. volume_ema2 - 83345.603155453
  48. chop - 45.1698
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 3.52992
  52. ema21 - 3.5163
  53. ema50 - 3.54603
  54. ema100 - 3.59682
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.010787
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00387179
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0083833
  58. price_ema100_diff - -0.00801495
  59. all_emas_in_trend - False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.121782
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0248268
  63. ema_slope_50 - -0.0436907
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.0518663
  65. rsi - 0.647309
  66. adx - 0.301899
  67. kc_percentage - 1.09079
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0245689
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.55065
  70. volume_ema1 - 14757.508996927
  71. volume_ema2 - 32841.923195728
  72. chop - 32.5893
  73. regime - range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 87472.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0113712
  78. 5m_price: 86477.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.193388
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 88386.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0215946
  83. 15m_price: 86477.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.031058
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 89501.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0337856
  88. 1H_price: 86477.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.081895
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
14:05:58		 15 Dec 2025
23:45:00		 9 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.568 3.6008 3.5024 2 3.607
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.568
  • Stop Loss: 3.6008
  • Take Profit: 3.5024

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.6008 - 3.568 = 0.0328

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.568 - 3.5024 = 0.0656

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0656 / 0.0328 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
870.5506 100 243.9884 8.71
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0328

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0328 = 243.9

Taille de position USD = 243.9 x 3.568 = 870.24

Donc, tu peux acheter 243.9 avec un stoploss a 3.6008

Avec un position size USD de 870.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 243.9 x 0.0328 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 243.9 x 0.0656 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 243.9
  • Taille de position USD 870.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.84 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.92 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 1.84
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8969 % 97.56 % 17

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

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Extra SL data

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Extra Pullback data

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