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Short Trade on AR

Short Trade on AR

The 15 Dec 2025 at 14:11:32

With 256.5644 AR at 3.569$ per unit.

Position size of 915.6785 $

Take profit at 3.5066 (1.75 %) and Stop Loss at 3.6002 (0.87 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 5.28
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.63
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.56
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.75
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.688587

15m : -0.054889

1H : -0.052188

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.02078749965
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 3.60211
  4. ema21 - 3.68209
  5. ema50 - 3.77387
  6. ema100 - 3.83798
  7. price_ema9_diff - -0.00919292
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0217213
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0243198
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.070084
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.440086
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.296411
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.185346
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.114723
  17. rsi - 0.351398
  18. adx - 0.36287
  19. kc_percentage - 0.099203
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0755793
  21. volume_ema_diff - 0.725205
  22. volume_ema1 - 299461.17204222
  23. volume_ema2 - 173579.96919495
  24. chop - 20.996
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 3.52591
  28. ema21 - 3.5649
  29. ema50 - 3.64098
  30. ema100 - 3.69619
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0122195
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0109376
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0208951
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0344135
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - -0.240895
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.250805
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.177721
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.111093
  41. rsi - 0.470646
  42. adx - 0.364581
  43. kc_percentage - 0.547013
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0457309
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.187813
  46. volume_ema1 - 67812.844846841
  47. volume_ema2 - 83494.162657414
  48. chop - 45.1698
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 3.53709
  52. ema21 - 3.52076
  53. ema50 - 3.54684
  54. ema100 - 3.5966
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00901925
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00463822
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00735089
  58. price_ema100_diff - -0.00767548
  59. all_emas_in_trend - False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.132195
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0382184
  63. ema_slope_50 - -0.0354685
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.0478328
  65. rsi - 0.643618
  66. adx - 0.30348
  67. kc_percentage - 1.08943
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0228679
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.659858
  70. volume_ema1 - 10776.076209062
  71. volume_ema2 - 31681.168287742
  72. chop - 32.9099
  73. regime - range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 87422.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0148962
  78. 5m_price: 86120.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.688587
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 88379
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0255602
  83. 15m_price: 86120.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.054889
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 89494.2
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0377027
  88. 1H_price: 86120.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.052188
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
14:11:32		 15 Dec 2025
15:15:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.569 3.6002 3.5066 2 3.607
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.569
  • Stop Loss: 3.6002
  • Take Profit: 3.5066

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.6002 - 3.569 = 0.0312

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.569 - 3.5066 = 0.0624

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0624 / 0.0312 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
915.6785 100 256.5644 9.16
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0312

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0312 = 256.41

Taille de position USD = 256.41 x 3.569 = 915.13

Donc, tu peux acheter 256.41 avec un stoploss a 3.6002

Avec un position size USD de 915.13$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 256.41 x 0.0312 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 256.41 x 0.0624 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 256.41
  • Taille de position USD 915.13
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.75 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.87 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 1.75
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1681 % 19.23 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5066
            [stop_loss] => 3.6002
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.066
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0060000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 11
            [high] => 3.57500000
            [low] => 3.50300000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.85
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 11
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T14:11:32-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T16:11:32-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.066
            [max_drawdown] => 0.031
            [rr_ratio] => 2.13
            [high] => 3.60000000
            [low] => 3.50300000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.85
            [mae_pct] => 0.87
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T14:11:32-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T21:11:32-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.65600000
            [high_after] => 3.60000000
            [low_before] => 3.45700000
            [low_after] => 3.50300000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)