Short Trade on JUP 15 Dec 2025 at 14:32:24
Take profit at 0.1851 (1.59 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1896 (0.8 %)
Short Trade on JUP 15 Dec 2025 at 14:32:24
Take profit at 0.1851 (1.59 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1896 (0.8 %)
Position size of 1019.6559 $
Take profit at 0.1851 (1.59 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1896 (0.8 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.82 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 | 0.5 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.82 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.792343 15m : 0.021571 1H : -0.098363 |
3 |
Indicators:
87317.9
-0.011867
86281.7
0.792343
88317.9
-0.0230555
86281.7
0.021571
89497.4
-0.0359315
86281.7
-0.098363
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 08:00:00
[1] => 0.2148
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
[1] => 0.1982
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 03:00:00
[1] => 0.2063
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
[1] => 0.2017
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 21:00:00
[1] => 0.2046
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
[1] => 0.1982
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
[1] => 0.191
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[1] => 0.1996
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:00:00
[1] => 0.1962
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
[1] => 0.1824
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.2813455657492
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9605263157895
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.5657894736842
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:15:00
[1] => 0.1996
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 22:45:00
[1] => 0.1964
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 01:45:00
[1] => 0.1988
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
[1] => 0.1919
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 07:30:00
[1] => 0.1956
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:15:00
[1] => 0.1962
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 10:15:00
[1] => 0.1841
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 12:00:00
[1] => 0.1875
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
[1] => 0.1824
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:30:00
[1] => 0.1881
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15948963317384
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9605263157895
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.125
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 07:35:00
[1] => 0.1956
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 08:35:00
[1] => 0.1926
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 08:40:00
[1] => 0.1938
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:15:00
[1] => 0.1962
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 10:25:00
[1] => 0.1841
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 11:00:00
[1] => 0.1842
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 11:40:00
[1] => 0.1847
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 12:05:00
[1] => 0.1875
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:35:00
[1] => 0.1824
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:30:00
[1] => 0.1881
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15948963317384
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9605263157895
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.125
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 07:35:00 | 0.1956 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 08:35:00 | 0.1926 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 08:40:00 | 0.1938 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 09:15:00 | 0.1962 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 10:25:00 | 0.1841 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 11:00:00 | 0.1842 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 11:40:00 | 0.1847 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 12:05:00 | 0.1875 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:35:00 | 0.1824 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 14:30:00 | 0.1881 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 21:15:00 | 0.1996 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 22:45:00 | 0.1964 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 01:45:00 | 0.1988 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 06:00:00 | 0.1919 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 07:30:00 | 0.1956 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 09:15:00 | 0.1962 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 10:15:00 | 0.1841 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 12:00:00 | 0.1875 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:30:00 | 0.1824 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 14:30:00 | 0.1881 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 08:00:00 | 0.2148 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:00:00 | 0.1982 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 03:00:00 | 0.2063 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 09:00:00 | 0.2017 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 21:00:00 | 0.2046 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 06:00:00 | 0.1982 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 18:00:00 | 0.191 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 0.1996 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 09:00:00 | 0.1962 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 0.1824 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2025 14:32:24 |
15 Dec 2025 19:05:00 |
4 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1881 | 0.1896 | 0.1851 | 2 | 0.1538 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1896 - 0.1881 = 0.0015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1881 - 0.1851 = 0.003
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.003 / 0.0015 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1019.6559 | 100 | 5420.818 | 10.20 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0015 = 5333.33
Taille de position USD = 5333.33 x 0.1881 = 1003.2
Donc, tu peux acheter 5333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.1896
Avec un position size USD de 1003.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5333.33 x 0.0015 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5333.33 x 0.003 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.59 % | 16.26 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.8 % | 8.13 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.13 $ | -0.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8506 % | 106.67 % | 5 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0027
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 0.18780000
[low] => 0.18540000
[mfe_pct] => 1.44
[mae_pct] => -0.16
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-15T14:32:24-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-15T16:32:24-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0027
[max_drawdown] => 0.0016
[rr_ratio] => 1.69
[high] => 0.18970000
[low] => 0.18540000
[mfe_pct] => 1.44
[mae_pct] => 0.85
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.69
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-15T14:32:24-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-15T21:32:24-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.18810000
[high_after] => 0.18970000
[low_before] => 0.18240000
[low_after] => 0.18540000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)