Short Trade on AAPL 15 Dec 2025 at 16:27:08
Take profit at 274.2362 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 275.2319 (0.12 %)
Short Trade on AAPL 15 Dec 2025 at 16:27:08
Take profit at 274.2362 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 275.2319 (0.12 %)
Position size of 6626.152 $
Take profit at 274.2362 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 275.2319 (0.12 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.65 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.79 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.66 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.220026 15m : 0.074555 1H : -0.031219 |
3 |
Indicators:
86764.2
-0.00882872
85998.2
0.220026
87944.8
-0.024697
85772.9
0.074555
89480.4
-0.0389164
85998.2
-0.031219
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 04:00:00
[1] => 278.02
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
[1] => 278.02
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 08:00:00
[1] => 278.02
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 10:00:00
[1] => 278.02
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 12:00:00
[1] => 278.02
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 14:00:00
[1] => 278.02
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
[1] => 277.88
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 03:00:00
[1] => 278.25
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:00:00
[1] => 280.38
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
[1] => 273.3
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9437905699408
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.59641419685327
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5905598243688
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 23:15:00
[1] => 278.57
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 00:15:00
[1] => 279.13
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 03:00:00
[1] => 278.25
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 06:45:00
[1] => 279.4
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 07:00:00
[1] => 278.6
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:15:00
[1] => 280.38
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 10:15:00
[1] => 274
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 11:15:00
[1] => 276
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:30:00
[1] => 273.3
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
[1] => 274.99
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.021818975235464
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.59641419685327
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.61836809366996
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:25:00
[1] => 280.38
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 10:25:00
[1] => 274
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 11:25:00
[1] => 276
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 11:45:00
[1] => 274.72
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 12:00:00
[1] => 275.49
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 12:20:00
[1] => 275.04
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 12:30:00
[1] => 275.57
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:40:00
[1] => 274.08
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:35:00
[1] => 273.3
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
[1] => 274.99
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.021818975235464
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.59641419685327
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.61836809366996
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 09:25:00 | 280.38 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 10:25:00 | 274 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 11:25:00 | 276 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 11:45:00 | 274.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 12:00:00 | 275.49 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 12:20:00 | 275.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 12:30:00 | 275.57 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:40:00 | 274.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 14:35:00 | 273.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 16:00:00 | 274.99 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 23:15:00 | 278.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 00:15:00 | 279.13 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 03:00:00 | 278.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 06:45:00 | 279.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 07:00:00 | 278.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 09:15:00 | 280.38 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 10:15:00 | 274 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 11:15:00 | 276 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 14:30:00 | 273.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 16:00:00 | 274.99 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 04:00:00 | 278.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 06:00:00 | 278.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 08:00:00 | 278.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 10:00:00 | 278.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 12:00:00 | 278.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 14:00:00 | 278.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 20:00:00 | 277.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 03:00:00 | 278.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 09:00:00 | 280.38 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 14:00:00 | 273.3 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2025 16:27:08 |
15 Dec 2025 19:15:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 274.9 | 275.2319 | 274.2362 | 2 | 263.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 275.2319 - 274.9 = 0.33190000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 274.9 - 274.2362 = 0.66379999999998
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.66379999999998 / 0.33190000000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6626.152 | 100 | 24.1039 | 66.26 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.33190000000002 = 24.1
Taille de position USD = 24.1 x 274.9 = 6625.09
Donc, tu peux acheter 24.1 avec un stoploss a 275.2319
Avec un position size USD de 6625.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 24.1 x 0.33190000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 24.1 x 0.66379999999998 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.12 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0691 % | 57.25 % | 6 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 274.2362
[stop_loss] => 275.2319
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:15:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 274.07025
[stop_loss] => 275.2319
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.9043
[stop_loss] => 275.2319
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.73835
[stop_loss] => 275.2319
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:15:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.5724
[stop_loss] => 275.2319
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:15:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.40645
[stop_loss] => 275.2319
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.2405
[stop_loss] => 275.2319
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.07455
[stop_loss] => 275.2319
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 272.9086
[stop_loss] => 275.2319
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.069999999999993
[max_drawdown] => 0.19
[rr_ratio] => 0.37
[high] => 275.09000000
[low] => 274.83000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.03
[mae_pct] => 0.07
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.37
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-15T16:27:08-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-15T18:27:08-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.09
[max_drawdown] => 0.19
[rr_ratio] => 11
[high] => 275.09000000
[low] => 272.81000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.76
[mae_pct] => 0.07
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 11
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-15T16:27:08-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-15T23:27:08-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 275.57000000
[high_after] => 275.09000000
[low_before] => 273.30000000
[low_after] => 272.81000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)