Short Trade on AAVE 15 Dec 2025 at 16:50:17

Take profit at 182.9976 (1.35 %) and Stop Loss at 186.7662 (0.68 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 15 Dec 2025 at 16:50:17

With 6.3684 AAVE at 185.51$ per unit.

Position size of 1181.4027 $

Take profit at 182.9976 (1.35 %) and Stop Loss at 186.7662 (0.68 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.22
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.73
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.9
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.815098

15m : -0.07391

1H : 0.032757

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 0.8374677874
Details
  1. score: 1.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 185.379
  4. ema21 : 188.373
  5. ema50 : 191.318
  6. ema100 : 193.109
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000705955
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0158972
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0153908
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0393541
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.367188
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.212742
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.118143
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0690291
  17. rsi : 0.407468
  18. adx : 0.318323
  19. kc_percentage : 0.29177
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0696697
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.424929
  22. volume_ema1 : 1401468.9094725
  23. volume_ema2 : 983535.48644526
  24. chop : 27.2324
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 183.431
  29. ema21 : 183.781
  30. ema50 : 186.46
  31. ema100 : 188.455
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0113321
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0019069
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0143657
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0156278
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0559227
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0505
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.089397
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0630675
  42. rsi : 0.541699
  43. adx : 0.339854
  44. kc_percentage : 0.773798
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.035734
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.12376
  47. volume_ema1 : 309206.81152697
  48. volume_ema2 : 352879.40500144
  49. chop : 48.2973
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 184.185
  54. ema21 : 183.384
  55. ema50 : 183.335
  56. ema100 : 184.897
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00718952
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00436904
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000266143
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00331074
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0777744
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0361465
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00432057
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0183443
  67. rsi : 0.706742
  68. adx : 0.240167
  69. kc_percentage : 1.12874
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0179221
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.00920142
  72. volume_ema1 : 116139.80763112
  73. volume_ema2 : 117218.38394422
  74. chop : 35.4227
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86667.1
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00676888
  81. 5m_price:
    86080.5
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.815098
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87859.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0202518
  86. 15m_price:
    86080.4
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.07391
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89482
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0380142
  91. 1H_price:
    86080.5
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.032757
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 13:00:00
                        [1] => 190.95
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 22:00:00
                        [1] => 206.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-12 05:00:00
                        [1] => 206.65
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
                        [1] => 189.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
                        [1] => 202.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                        [1] => 195.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                        [1] => 185.69
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 01:00:00
                        [1] => 196.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 179.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
                        [1] => 186.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38153581600301
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4833091436865
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8796472033047
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 03:00:00
                        [1] => 193.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 04:30:00
                        [1] => 193.76
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 05:30:00
                        [1] => 196.22
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 06:30:00
                        [1] => 194.11
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 07:45:00
                        [1] => 195.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 09:30:00
                        [1] => 195.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 179.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 14:15:00
                        [1] => 184.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                        [1] => 180.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:30:00
                        [1] => 186.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38153581600301
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4708418550661
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8633021944613
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 11:40:00
                        [1] => 181.37
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 12:05:00
                        [1] => 183.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 179.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:15:00
                        [1] => 181.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:35:00
                        [1] => 179.26
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 14:25:00
                        [1] => 184.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 15:20:00
                        [1] => 180.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 15:35:00
                        [1] => 183.61
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:05:00
                        [1] => 181.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:35:00
                        [1] => 186.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38153581600301
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0814977973568
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4724669603524
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.38%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.08%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.6762
0.36%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.8576
2.11%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 11:40:00 181.37 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 12:05:00 183.5 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 179.14 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 13:15:00 181.91 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:35:00 179.26 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:25:00 184.95 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:20:00 180.91 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 15:35:00 183.61 ↑ High
2025-12-15 16:05:00 181.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 16:35:00 186.09 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.38%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.47%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.86%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.4538
5.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.8576
2.11%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 03:00:00 193.73 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 04:30:00 193.76 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 05:30:00 196.22 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:30:00 194.11 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 07:45:00 195.7 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:30:00 195.87 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 179.14 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:15:00 184.95 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 180.91 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 16:30:00 186.09 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.38%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.48%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.88%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.9838
10.70%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.8576
2.11%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-11 13:00:00 190.95 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 22:00:00 206.75 ↑ High
2025-12-12 05:00:00 206.65 ↑ High
2025-12-12 11:00:00 189.18 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 05:00:00 202.75 ↑ High
2025-12-13 16:00:00 195.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 18:00:00 185.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 01:00:00 196.58 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 179.14 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 16:00:00 186.09 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
16:50:17
15 Dec 2025
18:00:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
185.51 186.7662 182.9976 2 120.34
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 185.51
  • Stop Loss: 186.7662
  • Take Profit: 182.9976

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 186.7662 - 185.51 = 1.2562

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 185.51 - 182.9976 = 2.5124

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.5124 / 1.2562 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1181.4027 100 6.3684 11.81
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.2562

Taille de position = 8 / 1.2562 = 6.37

Taille de position USD = 6.37 x 185.51 = 1181.7

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.37 avec un stoploss a 186.7662

Avec un position size USD de 1181.7$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.37 x 1.2562 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.37 x 2.5124 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.37
  • Taille de position USD 1181.7
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.35 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.68 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.68
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.1644 % 171.94 % 11

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 182.9976
            [entry_price] => 185.51
            [stop_loss] => 186.89182
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 182.9976
            [entry_price] => 185.51
            [stop_loss] => 187.01744
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 182.9976
            [entry_price] => 185.51
            [stop_loss] => 187.14306
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 182.9976
            [entry_price] => 185.51
            [stop_loss] => 187.3943
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.79999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 9.85
            [rr_ratio] => 0.08
            [high] => 195.36000000
            [low] => 184.71000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.43
            [mae_pct] => 5.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.08
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T16:50:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T18:50:17-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.57
            [max_drawdown] => 9.85
            [rr_ratio] => 0.26
            [high] => 195.36000000
            [low] => 182.94000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.39
            [mae_pct] => 5.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.26
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T16:50:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T23:50:17-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 186.09000000
            [high_after] => 195.36000000
            [low_before] => 179.14000000
            [low_after] => 184.71000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)