Short Trade on AAVE 15 Dec 2025 at 16:59:55

Take profit at 183.3756 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 187.2222 (0.69 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 15 Dec 2025 at 16:59:55

With 6.2394 AAVE at 185.94$ per unit.

Position size of 1160.1458 $

Take profit at 183.3756 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 187.2222 (0.69 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.3
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.61
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.7
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.52
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.815476

15m : -0.012211

1H : -0.100167

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.17
  4. atr: 0.8547890772
Details
  1. score: 1.17
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 185.465
  4. ema21 : 188.412
  5. ema50 : 191.335
  6. ema100 : 193.118
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00256042
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0156449
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0152733
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0371699
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.363492
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.211057
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.117419
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0686647
  17. rsi : 0.418946
  18. adx : 0.318323
  19. kc_percentage : 0.321872
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0695086
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.440766
  22. volume_ema1 : 1420224.3498059
  23. volume_ema2 : 985742.00883742
  24. chop : 27.2324
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 183.431
  29. ema21 : 183.781
  30. ema50 : 186.46
  31. ema100 : 188.455
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0136763
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0019069
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0143657
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0133461
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0559227
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0505
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.089397
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0630675
  42. rsi : 0.541699
  43. adx : 0.339854
  44. kc_percentage : 0.838664
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0356514
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.12376
  47. volume_ema1 : 309206.81152697
  48. volume_ema2 : 352879.40500144
  49. chop : 48.2973
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 184.515
  54. ema21 : 183.606
  55. ema50 : 183.439
  56. ema100 : 184.963
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00771839
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00495443
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000909027
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00528035
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0971214
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0486455
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.010742
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0151819
  67. rsi : 0.728421
  68. adx : 0.257288
  69. kc_percentage : 1.17007
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0183922
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.187922
  72. volume_ema1 : 93122.59686519
  73. volume_ema2 : 114672.04625426
  74. chop : 35.3677
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86679.4
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00522207
  81. 5m_price:
    86226.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.815476
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87859.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0202518
  86. 15m_price:
    86080.4
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.012211
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89484.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0364104
  91. 1H_price:
    86226.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.100167
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 13:00:00
                        [1] => 190.95
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 22:00:00
                        [1] => 206.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-12 05:00:00
                        [1] => 206.65
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
                        [1] => 189.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
                        [1] => 202.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                        [1] => 195.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                        [1] => 185.69
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 01:00:00
                        [1] => 196.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 179.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
                        [1] => 186.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.080606158310498
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.7959138104276
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8796472033047
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 03:00:00
                        [1] => 193.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 04:30:00
                        [1] => 193.76
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 05:30:00
                        [1] => 196.22
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 06:30:00
                        [1] => 194.11
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 07:45:00
                        [1] => 195.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 09:30:00
                        [1] => 195.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 179.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 14:15:00
                        [1] => 184.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                        [1] => 180.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:30:00
                        [1] => 186.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.080606158310498
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7803880382511
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8633021944613
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 11:40:00
                        [1] => 181.37
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 12:05:00
                        [1] => 183.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 179.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:15:00
                        [1] => 181.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:35:00
                        [1] => 179.26
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 14:25:00
                        [1] => 184.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 15:20:00
                        [1] => 180.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 15:35:00
                        [1] => 183.61
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:05:00
                        [1] => 181.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:35:00
                        [1] => 186.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.080606158310498
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3898678414097
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4724669603524
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.39%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.1322
0.60%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.2356
2.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 11:40:00 181.37 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 12:05:00 183.5 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 179.14 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 13:15:00 181.91 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:35:00 179.26 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:25:00 184.95 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:20:00 180.91 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 15:35:00 183.61 ↑ High
2025-12-15 16:05:00 181.6 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 16:35:00 186.09 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.78%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.86%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.9978
4.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.2356
2.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 03:00:00 193.73 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 04:30:00 193.76 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 05:30:00 196.22 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:30:00 194.11 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 07:45:00 195.7 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:30:00 195.87 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 179.14 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:15:00 184.95 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 180.91 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 16:30:00 186.09 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.80%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.88%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.5278
10.43%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.2356
2.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-11 13:00:00 190.95 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 22:00:00 206.75 ↑ High
2025-12-12 05:00:00 206.65 ↑ High
2025-12-12 11:00:00 189.18 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 05:00:00 202.75 ↑ High
2025-12-13 16:00:00 195.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 18:00:00 185.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 01:00:00 196.58 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 179.14 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 16:00:00 186.09 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
16:59:55
15 Dec 2025
18:00:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
185.94 187.2222 183.3756 2 114.33
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 185.94
  • Stop Loss: 187.2222
  • Take Profit: 183.3756

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 187.2222 - 185.94 = 1.2822

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 185.94 - 183.3756 = 2.5644

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.5644 / 1.2822 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1160.1458 100 6.2394 11.60
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.2822

Taille de position = 8 / 1.2822 = 6.24

Taille de position USD = 6.24 x 185.94 = 1160.27

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.24 avec un stoploss a 187.2222

Avec un position size USD de 1160.27$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.24 x 1.2822 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.24 x 2.5644 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.24
  • Taille de position USD 1160.27
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.38 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.69 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9304 % 134.92 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 183.3756
            [entry_price] => 185.94
            [stop_loss] => 187.35042
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 183.3756
            [entry_price] => 185.94
            [stop_loss] => 187.47864
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 183.3756
            [entry_price] => 185.94
            [stop_loss] => 187.60686
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 183.3756
            [entry_price] => 185.94
            [stop_loss] => 187.8633
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.23
            [max_drawdown] => 9.42
            [rr_ratio] => 0.13
            [high] => 195.36000000
            [low] => 184.71000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.66
            [mae_pct] => 5.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T16:59:55-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T18:59:55-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3
            [max_drawdown] => 9.42
            [rr_ratio] => 0.32
            [high] => 195.36000000
            [low] => 182.94000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.61
            [mae_pct] => 5.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.32
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T16:59:55-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T23:59:55-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 186.09000000
            [high_after] => 195.36000000
            [low_before] => 179.14000000
            [low_after] => 184.71000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)