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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 15 Dec 2025 at 17:16:52

Take profit at 3.5378 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 3.5846 (0.44 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 15 Dec 2025 at 17:16:52

With 513.5404 AR at 3.569$ per unit.

Position size of 1832.8257 $

Take profit at 3.5378 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 3.5846 (0.44 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.94
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.79
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.69
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.69
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.731433

15m : -0.005899

1H : -0.124205

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 0.01038542134
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.57248
  4. ema21 : 3.64605
  5. ema50 : 3.74744
  6. ema100 : 3.82463
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000974769
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0201785
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0270561
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0668384
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.435874
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.332418
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.215045
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.135917
  17. rsi : 0.375901
  18. adx : 0.371399
  19. kc_percentage : 0.203487
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0679034
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.29557
  22. volume_ema1 : 113321.48637424
  23. volume_ema2 : 160869.78265884
  24. chop : 32.0852
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 3.54663
  28. ema21 : 3.54847
  29. ema50 : 3.59942
  30. ema100 : 3.65695
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00630559
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000518243
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.014154
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0240514
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0349784
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0361106
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0858421
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0730429
  41. rsi : 0.529826
  42. adx : 0.209185
  43. kc_percentage : 0.728163
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0267062
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.881147
  46. volume_ema1 : 6474.4009673123
  47. volume_ema2 : 54474.096855504
  48. chop : 65.4039
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 3.55499
  52. ema21 : 3.54385
  53. ema50 : 3.53987
  54. ema100 : 3.55575
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00393998
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00314271
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00112439
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00372482
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0830483
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0485239
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0170604
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00304398
  65. rsi : 0.672397
  66. adx : 0.233499
  67. kc_percentage : 1.13936
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0107637
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.710346
  70. volume_ema1 : 3500.1284348161
  71. volume_ema2 : 12083.845266629
  72. chop : 31.2786
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86639.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00726497
  78. 5m_price: 
    86010.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.731433
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87791.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0202875
  83. 15m_price: 
    86010.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.005899
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    89433.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0382755
  88. 1H_price: 
    86010.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.124205
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
                    [1] => 3.78
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 03:00:00
                    [1] => 4.001
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
                    [1] => 3.902
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.941
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                    [1] => 3.885
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 21:00:00
                    [1] => 4.003
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                    [1] => 3.697
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
                    [1] => 3.881
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 09:00:00
                    [1] => 3.777
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 12:00:00
                    [1] => 3.457
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.3216838760921
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4422910037605
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.2565808504484
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 00:45:00
                    [1] => 3.881
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 02:45:00
                    [1] => 3.726
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 03:30:00
                    [1] => 3.768
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 05:30:00
                    [1] => 3.705
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 07:45:00
                    [1] => 3.757
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 09:15:00
                    [1] => 3.777
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 12:45:00
                    [1] => 3.457
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.585
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                    [1] => 3.503
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 17:00:00
                    [1] => 3.583
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19536701088474
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0839280616614
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2837567799029
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 11:35:00
                    [1] => 3.504
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 12:50:00
                    [1] => 3.457
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:15:00
                    [1] => 3.516
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:35:00
                    [1] => 3.467
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.585
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 15:20:00
                    [1] => 3.503
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 15:35:00
                    [1] => 3.534
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 16:05:00
                    [1] => 3.506
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 16:50:00
                    [1] => 3.539
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 17:10:00
                    [1] => 3.583
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19536701088474
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0454930771404
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2432890647075
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.20%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.05%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.24%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0004
0.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0808
2.28%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 11:35:00 3.504 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 12:50:00 3.457 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 13:15:00 3.516 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:35:00 3.467 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 3.585 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:20:00 3.503 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 15:35:00 3.534 ↑ High
2025-12-15 16:05:00 3.506 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 16:50:00 3.539 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 17:10:00 3.583 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.20%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.08%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.28%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2964
8.27%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0808
2.28%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 00:45:00 3.881 ↑ High
2025-12-15 02:45:00 3.726 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 03:30:00 3.768 ↑ High
2025-12-15 05:30:00 3.705 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 07:45:00 3.757 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:15:00 3.777 ↑ High
2025-12-15 12:45:00 3.457 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 3.585 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 3.503 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 17:00:00 3.583 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.44%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.26%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4184
11.67%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0808
2.28%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-12 11:00:00 3.78 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 03:00:00 4.001 ↑ High
2025-12-13 09:00:00 3.902 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 14:00:00 3.941 ↑ High
2025-12-13 16:00:00 3.885 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 21:00:00 4.003 ↑ High
2025-12-14 18:00:00 3.697 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 00:00:00 3.881 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:00:00 3.777 ↑ High
2025-12-15 12:00:00 3.457 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
17:16:52		 15 Dec 2025
18:00:00		 43 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.569 3.5846 3.5378 2 1.622
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.569
  • Stop Loss: 3.5846
  • Take Profit: 3.5378

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.5846 - 3.569 = 0.0156

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.569 - 3.5378 = 0.0312

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0312 / 0.0156 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1832.8257 100 513.5404 18.33
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0156

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0156 = 512.82

Taille de position USD = 512.82 x 3.569 = 1830.25

Donc, tu peux acheter 512.82 avec un stoploss a 3.5846

Avec un position size USD de 1830.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 512.82 x 0.0156 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 512.82 x 0.0312 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 512.82
  • Taille de position USD 1830.25
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.87 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.44 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -0.44
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6164 % 141.02 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5378
            [entry_price] => 3.569
            [stop_loss] => 3.58616
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5378
            [entry_price] => 3.569
            [stop_loss] => 3.58772
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5378
            [entry_price] => 3.569
            [stop_loss] => 3.58928
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5378
            [entry_price] => 3.569
            [stop_loss] => 3.5924
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.013
            [max_drawdown] => 0.031
            [rr_ratio] => 0.42
            [high] => 3.60000000
            [low] => 3.55600000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.36
            [mae_pct] => 0.87
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.42
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T17:16:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T19:16:52-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.083
            [max_drawdown] => 0.031
            [rr_ratio] => 2.68
            [high] => 3.60000000
            [low] => 3.48600000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.33
            [mae_pct] => 0.87
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.68
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T17:16:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T00:16:52-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.58500000
            [high_after] => 3.60000000
            [low_before] => 3.46700000
            [low_after] => 3.52000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)