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Short Trade on AR

Short Trade on AR

The 15 Dec 2025 at 17:16:52

With 513.5404 AR at 3.569$ per unit.

Position size of 1832.8257 $

Take profit at 3.5378 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 3.5846 (0.44 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.94
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.79
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.69
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.69
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.731433

15m : -0.005899

1H : -0.124205

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 0.01038542134
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 3.57248
  4. ema21 - 3.64605
  5. ema50 - 3.74744
  6. ema100 - 3.82463
  7. price_ema9_diff - -0.000974769
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0201785
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0270561
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0668384
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.435874
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.332418
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.215045
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.135917
  17. rsi - 0.375901
  18. adx - 0.371399
  19. kc_percentage - 0.203487
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0679034
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.29557
  22. volume_ema1 - 113321.48637424
  23. volume_ema2 - 160869.78265884
  24. chop - 32.0852
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 3.54663
  28. ema21 - 3.54847
  29. ema50 - 3.59942
  30. ema100 - 3.65695
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00630559
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.000518243
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.014154
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0240514
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0349784
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.0361106
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0858421
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0730429
  41. rsi - 0.529826
  42. adx - 0.209185
  43. kc_percentage - 0.728163
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0267062
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.881147
  46. volume_ema1 - 6474.4009673123
  47. volume_ema2 - 54474.096855504
  48. chop - 65.4039
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 3.55499
  52. ema21 - 3.54385
  53. ema50 - 3.53987
  54. ema100 - 3.55575
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00393998
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00314271
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00112439
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00372482
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0830483
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0485239
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0170604
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.00304398
  65. rsi - 0.672397
  66. adx - 0.233499
  67. kc_percentage - 1.13936
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0107637
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.710346
  70. volume_ema1 - 3500.1284348161
  71. volume_ema2 - 12083.845266629
  72. chop - 31.2786
  73. regime - bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 86639.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00726497
  78. 5m_price: 86010.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.731433
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 87791.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0202875
  83. 15m_price: 86010.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.005899
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 89433.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0382755
  88. 1H_price: 86010.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.124205
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
17:16:52		 15 Dec 2025
18:00:00		 43 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.569 3.5846 3.5378 2 3.607
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.569
  • Stop Loss: 3.5846
  • Take Profit: 3.5378

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.5846 - 3.569 = 0.0156

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.569 - 3.5378 = 0.0312

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0312 / 0.0156 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1832.8257 100 513.5404 18.33
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0156

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0156 = 512.82

Taille de position USD = 512.82 x 3.569 = 1830.25

Donc, tu peux acheter 512.82 avec un stoploss a 3.5846

Avec un position size USD de 1830.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 512.82 x 0.0156 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 512.82 x 0.0312 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 512.82
  • Taille de position USD 1830.25
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.87 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.44 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -0.44
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6164 % 141.02 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5378
            [entry_price] => 3.569
            [stop_loss] => 3.58616
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5378
            [entry_price] => 3.569
            [stop_loss] => 3.58772
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5378
            [entry_price] => 3.569
            [stop_loss] => 3.58928
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5378
            [entry_price] => 3.569
            [stop_loss] => 3.5924
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.013
            [max_drawdown] => 0.031
            [rr_ratio] => 0.42
            [high] => 3.60000000
            [low] => 3.55600000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.36
            [mae_pct] => 0.87
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.42
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T17:16:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T19:16:52-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.083
            [max_drawdown] => 0.031
            [rr_ratio] => 2.68
            [high] => 3.60000000
            [low] => 3.48600000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.33
            [mae_pct] => 0.87
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.68
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T17:16:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T00:16:52-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.58500000
            [high_after] => 3.60000000
            [low_before] => 3.46700000
            [low_after] => 3.52000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)