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Short Trade on AR

Short Trade on AR

The 15 Dec 2025 at 18:01:27

With 527.5475 AR at 3.583$ per unit.

Position size of 1890.2028 $

Take profit at 3.5527 (0.85 %) and Stop Loss at 3.5982 (0.42 %)

That's a 1.99 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -70
ML Pullback Score: 7.35
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.96
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.56
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.82
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.793453

15m : 0.080304

1H : -0.165292

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.01010967348
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 3.57698
  4. ema21 - 3.64156
  5. ema50 - 3.74231
  6. ema100 - 3.82568
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00168133
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0177338
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0269213
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0634362
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.410511
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.329925
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.219318
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.142048
  17. rsi - 0.394846
  18. adx - 0.367411
  19. kc_percentage - 0.255804
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0613097
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.484026
  22. volume_ema1 - 80005.303505048
  23. volume_ema2 - 155057.02816868
  24. chop - 32.6886
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 3.56118
  28. ema21 - 3.5551
  29. ema50 - 3.59658
  30. ema100 - 3.65202
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00612486
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0017121
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.011535
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0189
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0694758
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.00264883
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.065729
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0635563
  41. rsi - 0.560993
  42. adx - 0.203571
  43. kc_percentage - 0.815483
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0252177
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.888926
  46. volume_ema1 - 5420.4410113024
  47. volume_ema2 - 48800.467314405
  48. chop - 61.8347
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 3.57063
  52. ema21 - 3.55963
  53. ema50 - 3.55052
  54. ema100 - 3.56949
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00346249
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00309015
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00256744
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00378374
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0637746
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0549323
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0278463
  64. ema_slope_100 - -3.85949E-5
  65. rsi - 0.636601
  66. adx - 0.299317
  67. kc_percentage - 1.08491
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0107847
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.751383
  70. volume_ema1 - 2024.2596558244
  71. volume_ema2 - 8142.0961074363
  72. chop - 44.8054
  73. regime - bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 86437.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00264604
  78. 5m_price: 86208.8
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.793453
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 87675.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0167308
  83. 15m_price: 86208.8
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.080304
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 89502.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0368
  88. 1H_price: 86208.8
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.165292
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
18:01:27		 15 Dec 2025
18:10:00		 8 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.583 3.5982 3.5527 1.99 3.607
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.583
  • Stop Loss: 3.5982
  • Take Profit: 3.5527

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.5982 - 3.583 = 0.0152

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.583 - 3.5527 = 0.0303

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0303 / 0.0152 = 1.9934

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1890.2028 100 527.5475 18.90
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0152

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0152 = 526.32

Taille de position USD = 526.32 x 3.583 = 1885.8

Donc, tu peux acheter 526.32 avec un stoploss a 3.5982

Avec un position size USD de 1885.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 526.32 x 0.0152 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 526.32 x 0.0303 = 15.95

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.95$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 526.32
  • Taille de position USD 1885.8
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.95
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9934

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.85 % 15.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.42 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
-8.02 $ -0.42
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4745 % 111.86 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5527
            [entry_price] => 3.583
            [stop_loss] => 3.59972
            [rr_ratio] => 1.81
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 18:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5527
            [entry_price] => 3.583
            [stop_loss] => 3.60124
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5527
            [entry_price] => 3.583
            [stop_loss] => 3.60276
            [rr_ratio] => 1.53
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5527
            [entry_price] => 3.583
            [stop_loss] => 3.6058
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.047
            [max_drawdown] => 0.017
            [rr_ratio] => 2.76
            [high] => 3.60000000
            [low] => 3.53600000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.31
            [mae_pct] => 0.47
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.76
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:01:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T20:01:27-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.097
            [max_drawdown] => 0.017
            [rr_ratio] => 5.71
            [high] => 3.60000000
            [low] => 3.48600000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.71
            [mae_pct] => 0.47
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.71
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:01:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T01:01:27-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.59100000
            [high_after] => 3.60000000
            [low_before] => 3.50300000
            [low_after] => 3.48600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)