Short Trade on LINK 15 Dec 2025 at 18:14:14
Take profit at 12.7392 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 12.8904 (0.39 %)
Short Trade on LINK 15 Dec 2025 at 18:14:14
Take profit at 12.7392 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 12.8904 (0.39 %)
Position size of 2037.7798 $
Take profit at 12.7392 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 12.8904 (0.39 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.97 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.57 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.87 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.885926 15m : -0.117916 1H : 0.024793 |
2 |
Indicators:
86349.1
0.00101752
86437
0.885926
87680.2
-0.0141788
86437
-0.117916
89507
-0.0342991
86437
0.024793
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
[1] => 13.263
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 03:00:00
[1] => 13.967
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
[1] => 13.643
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
[1] => 13.606
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 19:00:00
[1] => 13.79
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
[1] => 13.087
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[1] => 13.704
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 05:00:00
[1] => 13.73
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
[1] => 12.458
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
[1] => 12.845
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.015570260801874
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0903836891957
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1064376304383
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 00:15:00
[1] => 13.635
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 01:45:00
[1] => 13.689
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 03:00:00
[1] => 13.543
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 05:30:00
[1] => 13.73
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 07:45:00
[1] => 13.687
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
[1] => 12.458
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
[1] => 12.835
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
[1] => 12.603
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
[1] => 12.603
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
[1] => 12.845
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.015570260801874
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9043084979767
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9201777354598
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 11:40:00
[1] => 12.635
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
[1] => 12.546
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:35:00
[1] => 12.458
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
[1] => 12.835
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 15:20:00
[1] => 12.603
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 15:35:00
[1] => 12.722
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:05:00
[1] => 12.603
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:35:00
[1] => 12.749
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 17:20:00
[1] => 12.658
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 18:10:00
[1] => 12.845
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.015570260801874
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4615263074735
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4773265918787
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 11:40:00 | 12.635 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 12.546 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 13:35:00 | 12.458 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 14:00:00 | 12.835 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 15:20:00 | 12.603 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 15:35:00 | 12.722 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 16:05:00 | 12.603 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 16:35:00 | 12.749 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 17:20:00 | 12.658 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 18:10:00 | 12.845 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 00:15:00 | 13.635 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 01:45:00 | 13.689 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 03:00:00 | 13.543 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 05:30:00 | 13.73 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 07:45:00 | 13.687 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:30:00 | 12.458 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 14:00:00 | 12.835 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 15:15:00 | 12.603 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 16:00:00 | 12.603 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 18:00:00 | 12.845 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 11:00:00 | 13.263 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 03:00:00 | 13.967 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 09:00:00 | 13.643 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 16:00:00 | 13.606 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 19:00:00 | 13.79 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 18:00:00 | 13.087 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 13.704 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 05:00:00 | 13.73 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 12.458 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 18:00:00 | 12.845 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2025 18:14:14 |
15 Dec 2025 19:55:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.84 | 12.8904 | 12.7392 | 2 | 9.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.8904 - 12.84 = 0.0504
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.84 - 12.7392 = 0.1008
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1008 / 0.0504 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2037.7798 | 100 | 158.7056 | 20.38 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0504 = 158.73
Taille de position USD = 158.73 x 12.84 = 2038.09
Donc, tu peux acheter 158.73 avec un stoploss a 12.8904
Avec un position size USD de 2038.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 158.73 x 0.0504 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 158.73 x 0.1008 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.79 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.366 % | 93.25 % | 7 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.7392
[stop_loss] => 12.8904
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:55:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.714
[stop_loss] => 12.8904
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.6888
[stop_loss] => 12.8904
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.6636
[stop_loss] => 12.8904
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.6384
[stop_loss] => 12.8904
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.6132
[stop_loss] => 12.8904
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.588
[stop_loss] => 12.8904
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.5628
[stop_loss] => 12.8904
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.143
[max_drawdown] => 0.047000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 3.04
[high] => 12.88700000
[low] => 12.69700000
[mfe_pct] => 1.11
[mae_pct] => 0.37
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.04
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:14:14-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-15T20:14:14-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.296
[max_drawdown] => 0.047000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 6.3
[high] => 12.88700000
[low] => 12.54400000
[mfe_pct] => 2.31
[mae_pct] => 0.37
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.3
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:14:14-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T01:14:14-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 12.84500000
[high_after] => 12.88700000
[low_before] => 12.60300000
[low_after] => 12.54400000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)