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Short Trade on FIL

Short Trade on FIL

The 15 Dec 2025 at 18:15:17

With 1840.423 FIL at 1.261$ per unit.

Position size of 2320.7734 $

Take profit at 1.2523 (0.69 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2653 (0.34 %)

That's a 2.02 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 110
ML Pullback Score: 6
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.91
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.81
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.98
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.736287

15m : -0.112674

1H : 0.221702

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.48
  4. atr: 0.002897884496
Details
  1. score: 1.48
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 1.25824
  4. ema21 - 1.27957
  5. ema50 - 1.30428
  6. ema100 - 1.32361
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00219114
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0166731
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0189395
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0473033
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.451061
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.299142
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.168661
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.104016
  17. rsi - 0.3795
  18. adx - 0.344753
  19. kc_percentage - 0.219394
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0485748
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.298311
  22. volume_ema1 - 227449.22740003
  23. volume_ema2 - 324145.51091817
  24. chop - 21.4062
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 1.2512
  28. ema21 - 1.24949
  29. ema50 - 1.26559
  30. ema100 - 1.28317
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00782942
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00136867
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0127254
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0172832
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.07533
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.0131324
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0750474
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0643939
  41. rsi - 0.583672
  42. adx - 0.306709
  43. kc_percentage - 0.932335
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0216489
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.676737
  46. volume_ema1 - 31768.011175772
  47. volume_ema2 - 98273.242112281
  48. chop - 54.0792
  49. regime - bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 1.25559
  52. ema21 - 1.25035
  53. ema50 - 1.24639
  54. ema100 - 1.24895
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00430392
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00419468
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00317784
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00964289
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0779451
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0587377
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0292564
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.00752129
  65. rsi - 0.715111
  66. adx - 0.276228
  67. kc_percentage - 1.4782
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00837646
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.557872
  70. volume_ema1 - 11203.808732508
  71. volume_ema2 - 25340.657683496
  72. chop - 34.1663
  73. regime - bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 86277.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00168062
  78. 5m_price: 86422.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.736287
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 87624.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0137199
  83. 15m_price: 86422.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.112674
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 89506.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0344569
  88. 1H_price: 86422.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.221702
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
18:15:17		 15 Dec 2025
19:50:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.261 1.2653 1.2523 2.02 1.272
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.261
  • Stop Loss: 1.2653
  • Take Profit: 1.2523

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.2653 - 1.261 = 0.0043000000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.261 - 1.2523 = 0.0086999999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0086999999999999 / 0.0043000000000002 = 2.0233

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2320.7734 100 1840.423 23.21
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0043000000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0043000000000002 = 1860.47

Taille de position USD = 1860.47 x 1.261 = 2346.05

Donc, tu peux acheter 1860.47 avec un stoploss a 1.2653

Avec un position size USD de 2346.05$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1860.47 x 0.0043000000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1860.47 x 0.0086999999999999 = 16.19

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.19$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1860.47
  • Taille de position USD 2346.05
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.19
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0233

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.69 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.34 % 7.91 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 0.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3172 % 93.02 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.2524
            [stop_loss] => 1.2653
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.25025
            [stop_loss] => 1.2653
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.2481
            [stop_loss] => 1.2653
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.24595
            [stop_loss] => 1.2653
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.2438
            [stop_loss] => 1.2653
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.24165
            [stop_loss] => 1.2653
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.2395
            [stop_loss] => 1.2653
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.23735
            [stop_loss] => 1.2653
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.014
            [max_drawdown] => 0.004
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [high] => 1.26500000
            [low] => 1.24700000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.11
            [mae_pct] => 0.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:15:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T20:15:17-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.024
            [max_drawdown] => 0.004
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [high] => 1.26500000
            [low] => 1.23700000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.9
            [mae_pct] => 0.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:15:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T01:15:17-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 1.26100000
            [high_after] => 1.26500000
            [low_before] => 1.23000000
            [low_after] => 1.23700000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)