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Short Trade on AR

Short Trade on AR

The 15 Dec 2025 at 18:16:02

With 542.4761 AR at 3.596$ per unit.

Position size of 1950.744 $

Take profit at 3.5665 (0.82 %) and Stop Loss at 3.6107 (0.41 %)

That's a 2.01 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.75
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.96
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.771523

15m : -0.149852

1H : 0.296531

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.19
  4. atr: 0.009831462825
Details
  1. score: 1.19
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 3.57958
  4. ema21 - 3.64274
  5. ema50 - 3.74282
  6. ema100 - 3.82594
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00458548
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0173387
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0267381
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0601014
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.404752
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.327327
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.218212
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.141496
  17. rsi - 0.411893
  18. adx - 0.364125
  19. kc_percentage - 0.314086
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0626454
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.398892
  22. volume_ema1 - 94210.543038381
  23. volume_ema2 - 156728.23281966
  24. chop - 32.7385
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 3.57023
  28. ema21 - 3.55989
  29. ema50 - 3.59685
  30. ema100 - 3.64967
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00721786
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00290386
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0102758
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0147075
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.100719
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.018242
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0541495
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0570818
  41. rsi - 0.589628
  42. adx - 0.211004
  43. kc_percentage - 0.910465
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.024683
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.715681
  46. volume_ema1 - 13850.720740868
  47. volume_ema2 - 48715.553555361
  48. chop - 54.9548
  49. regime - bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 3.58352
  52. ema21 - 3.56901
  53. ema50 - 3.55444
  54. ema100 - 3.56065
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00348093
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00406551
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00409854
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00992793
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0635771
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0576735
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0343321
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0105589
  65. rsi - 0.680746
  66. adx - 0.338884
  67. kc_percentage - 1.19383
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0104282
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.170274
  70. volume_ema1 - 9871.7482659233
  71. volume_ema2 - 11897.606351862
  72. chop - 45.6296
  73. regime - bull_low_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 86277.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00168062
  78. 5m_price: 86422.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.771523
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 87624.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0137199
  83. 15m_price: 86422.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.149852
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 89506.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0344569
  88. 1H_price: 86422.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.296531
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
18:16:02		 15 Dec 2025
19:35:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.596 3.6107 3.5665 2.01 3.603
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.596
  • Stop Loss: 3.6107
  • Take Profit: 3.5665

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.6107 - 3.596 = 0.0147

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.596 - 3.5665 = 0.0295

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0295 / 0.0147 = 2.0068

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1950.744 100 542.4761 19.51
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0147

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0147 = 544.22

Taille de position USD = 544.22 x 3.596 = 1957.02

Donc, tu peux acheter 544.22 avec un stoploss a 3.6107

Avec un position size USD de 1957.02$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 544.22 x 0.0147 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 544.22 x 0.0295 = 16.05

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.05$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 544.22
  • Taille de position USD 1957.02
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.05
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0068

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.82 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.41 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.82
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0834 % 20.4 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5666
            [stop_loss] => 3.6107
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.55925
            [stop_loss] => 3.6107
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5519
            [stop_loss] => 3.6107
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.54455
            [stop_loss] => 3.6107
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5372
            [stop_loss] => 3.6107
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.52985
            [stop_loss] => 3.6107
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5225
            [stop_loss] => 3.6107
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.51515
            [stop_loss] => 3.6107
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5078
            [stop_loss] => 3.6107
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.50045
            [stop_loss] => 3.6107
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.4931
            [stop_loss] => 3.6107
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.06
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0030000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 20
            [high] => 3.59900000
            [low] => 3.53600000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.67
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 20
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:16:02-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T20:16:02-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.11
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0030000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 36.67
            [high] => 3.59900000
            [low] => 3.48600000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.06
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 36.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:16:02-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T01:16:02-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.60000000
            [high_after] => 3.59900000
            [low_before] => 3.50300000
            [low_after] => 3.48600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)