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Short Trade on TRUMP

Short Trade on TRUMP

The 15 Dec 2025 at 18:19:37

With 608.3194 TRUMP at 5.327$ per unit.

Position size of 3240.5173 $

Take profit at 5.3007 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 5.3402 (0.25 %)

That's a 1.99 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.89
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.84
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.92
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.694868

15m : -0.10368

1H : 0.32338

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.29
  4. atr: 0.008767324513
Details
  1. score: 1.29
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 5.3216
  4. ema21 - 5.37096
  5. ema50 - 5.43964
  6. ema100 - 5.50589
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00101386
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00919024
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0126255
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.032491
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.232753
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.158696
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.101889
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0700801
  17. rsi - 0.382519
  18. adx - 0.480025
  19. kc_percentage - 0.238324
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0291398
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.42306
  22. volume_ema1 - 147389.37903199
  23. volume_ema2 - 255467.51475956
  24. chop - 24.9915
  25. regime - bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 5.30235
  28. ema21 - 5.3005
  29. ema50 - 5.33739
  30. ema100 - 5.37299
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00464853
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000348983
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00691148
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00856089
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0352702
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.013915
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0426768
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0341384
  41. rsi - 0.562258
  42. adx - 0.294213
  43. kc_percentage - 0.874054
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0137106
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.409762
  46. volume_ema1 - 36743.230446568
  47. volume_ema2 - 62251.587987532
  48. chop - 51.9881
  49. regime - bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 5.311
  52. ema21 - 5.29887
  53. ema50 - 5.2927
  54. ema100 - 5.30436
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00301251
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0022889
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00116512
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00426801
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.041793
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0279306
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0114365
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.000357333
  65. rsi - 0.694508
  66. adx - 0.222981
  67. kc_percentage - 1.29026
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00652477
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.169143
  70. volume_ema1 - 14061.482681901
  71. volume_ema2 - 16924.088343042
  72. chop - 34.2581
  73. regime - range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 86275
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.000199154
  78. 5m_price: 86292.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.694868
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 87622.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.015179
  83. 15m_price: 86292.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.10368
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 89504.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0358859
  88. 1H_price: 86292.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.32338
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
18:19:37		 15 Dec 2025
19:35:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.327 5.3402 5.3007 1.99 5.276
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.327
  • Stop Loss: 5.3402
  • Take Profit: 5.3007

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5.3402 - 5.327 = 0.0132

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.327 - 5.3007 = 0.0263

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0263 / 0.0132 = 1.9924

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3240.5173 100 608.3194 32.41
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0132

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0132 = 606.06

Taille de position USD = 606.06 x 5.327 = 3228.48

Donc, tu peux acheter 606.06 avec un stoploss a 5.3402

Avec un position size USD de 3228.48$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 606.06 x 0.0132 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 606.06 x 0.0263 = 15.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 606.06
  • Taille de position USD 3228.48
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9924

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.49 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1126 % 45.44 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.3006
            [stop_loss] => 5.3402
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.294
            [stop_loss] => 5.3402
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2874
            [stop_loss] => 5.3402
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2808
            [stop_loss] => 5.3402
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2742
            [stop_loss] => 5.3402
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2676
            [stop_loss] => 5.3402
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.261
            [stop_loss] => 5.3402
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2544
            [stop_loss] => 5.3402
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2478
            [stop_loss] => 5.3402
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2412
            [stop_loss] => 5.3402
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2346
            [stop_loss] => 5.3402
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.052
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0060000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 8.67
            [high] => 5.33300000
            [low] => 5.27500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.98
            [mae_pct] => 0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:19:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T20:19:37-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.122
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0060000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 20.33
            [high] => 5.33300000
            [low] => 5.20500000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.29
            [mae_pct] => 0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 20.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:19:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T01:19:37-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5.32900000
            [high_after] => 5.33300000
            [low_before] => 5.25200000
            [low_after] => 5.20500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)