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Short Trade on TRUMP

Short Trade on TRUMP

The 15 Dec 2025 at 18:36:18

With 678.9679 TRUMP at 5.323$ per unit.

Position size of 3614.1462 $

Take profit at 5.2994 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 5.3348 (0.22 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.79
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.65
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.83
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.613839

15m : -0.152942

1H : -0.020714

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.007855059432
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 5.3208
  4. ema21 - 5.3706
  5. ema50 - 5.43948
  6. ema100 - 5.50581
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.000412603
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00927212
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0126639
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0332036
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.233971
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.15925
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.102126
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.070199
  17. rsi - 0.373697
  18. adx - 0.480025
  19. kc_percentage - 0.21501
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0291617
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.402999
  22. volume_ema1 - 152901.24286532
  23. volume_ema2 - 256115.96932819
  24. chop - 24.9915
  25. regime - bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 5.30488
  28. ema21 - 5.30172
  29. ema50 - 5.33676
  30. ema100 - 5.37411
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00341544
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000595913
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00656564
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00951116
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0405329
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.0072492
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.039045
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0332851
  41. rsi - 0.547368
  42. adx - 0.280925
  43. kc_percentage - 0.805788
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.013491
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.517432
  46. volume_ema1 - 28650.217864379
  47. volume_ema2 - 59370.365934217
  48. chop - 51.3849
  49. regime - bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 5.3168
  52. ema21 - 5.30572
  53. ema50 - 5.29567
  54. ema100 - 5.29724
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00116517
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00208858
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00189814
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00486265
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0445838
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0336671
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0176157
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.00674778
  65. rsi - 0.644833
  66. adx - 0.253378
  67. kc_percentage - 1.05416
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00561006
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.641657
  70. volume_ema1 - 5156.2458309928
  71. volume_ema2 - 14389.145631088
  72. chop - 34.8384
  73. regime - range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 86165.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00199465
  78. 5m_price: 86337.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.613839
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 87629
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0145387
  83. 15m_price: 86355
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.152942
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 89505
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0353917
  88. 1H_price: 86337.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.020714
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
18:36:18		 15 Dec 2025
19:35:00		 58 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.323 5.3348 5.2994 2 5.276
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.323
  • Stop Loss: 5.3348
  • Take Profit: 5.2994

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5.3348 - 5.323 = 0.0118

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.323 - 5.2994 = 0.0236

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0236 / 0.0118 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3614.1462 100 678.9679 36.14
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0118

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0118 = 677.97

Taille de position USD = 677.97 x 5.323 = 3608.83

Donc, tu peux acheter 677.97 avec un stoploss a 5.3348

Avec un position size USD de 3608.83$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 677.97 x 0.0118 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 677.97 x 0.0236 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 677.97
  • Taille de position USD 3608.83
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.44 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.22 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
16.02 $ 0.44
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1879 % 84.75 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2994
            [stop_loss] => 5.3348
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2935
            [stop_loss] => 5.3348
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2876
            [stop_loss] => 5.3348
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2817
            [stop_loss] => 5.3348
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2758
            [stop_loss] => 5.3348
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2699
            [stop_loss] => 5.3348
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.264
            [stop_loss] => 5.3348
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2581
            [stop_loss] => 5.3348
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2522
            [stop_loss] => 5.3348
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2463
            [stop_loss] => 5.3348
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2404
            [stop_loss] => 5.3348
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.061000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0099999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 6.1
            [high] => 5.33300000
            [low] => 5.26200000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.15
            [mae_pct] => 0.19
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:36:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T20:36:18-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.118
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0099999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 11.8
            [high] => 5.33300000
            [low] => 5.20500000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.22
            [mae_pct] => 0.19
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.8
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:36:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T01:36:18-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5.33100000
            [high_after] => 5.33300000
            [low_before] => 5.25200000
            [low_after] => 5.20500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)