Short Trade on FIL

The 15 Dec 2025 at 18:45:06

With 1868.013 FIL at 1.264$ per unit.

Position size of 2361.1684 $

Take profit at 1.2554 (0.68 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2683 (0.34 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.79
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.76
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.92
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.717798

15m : 0.024912

1H : -0.070798

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.31
  4. atr: 0.002855083702
Details
  1. score: 1.31
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 1.25884
  4. ema21 - 1.27985
  5. ema50 - 1.30439
  6. ema100 - 1.32367
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0040966
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0164138
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0188189
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0450796
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.447302
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.29743
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.167924
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.103647
  17. rsi - 0.395262
  18. adx - 0.341741
  19. kc_percentage - 0.269722
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0497254
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.193591
  22. volume_ema1 - 264951.4544667
  23. volume_ema2 - 328557.5376319
  24. chop - 21.4606
  25. regime - bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 1.25529
  29. ema21 - 1.25171
  30. ema50 - 1.26545
  31. ema100 - 1.28327
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.00693187
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00286585
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0108602
  35. price_ema100_diff - -0.0150224
  36. all_emas_in_trend - False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - 0.113461
  39. ema_slope_21 - 0.0197054
  40. ema_slope_50 - -0.0567695
  41. ema_slope_100 - -0.0569464
  42. rsi - 0.595368
  43. adx - 0.287729
  44. kc_percentage - 0.967024
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.0210543
  46. volume_ema_diff - -0.616371
  47. volume_ema1 - 36187.078092936
  48. volume_ema2 - 94328.376417509
  49. chop - 48.8874
  50. regime - bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 1.26018
  54. ema21 - 1.25503
  55. ema50 - 1.24915
  56. ema100 - 1.24787
  57. price_ema9_diff - 0.00302752
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00410524
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00470692
  60. price_ema100_diff - 0.0129243
  61. all_emas_in_trend - True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  63. ema_slope_9 - 0.0854287
  64. ema_slope_21 - 0.0701615
  65. ema_slope_50 - 0.0421276
  66. ema_slope_100 - 0.0204505
  67. rsi - 0.697874
  68. adx - 0.356962
  69. kc_percentage - 1.30574
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.00845321
  71. volume_ema_diff - -0.327087
  72. volume_ema1 - 13582.26844044
  73. volume_ema2 - 20184.313148125
  74. chop - 36.126
  75. regime - bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 86226.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00238828
  81. 5m_price: 86432.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.717798
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 87558.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0128594
  86. 15m_price: 86432.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.024912
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 89506.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.034344
  91. 1H_price: 86432.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.070798
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
18:45:06
15 Dec 2025
19:15:00
29 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.264 1.2683 1.2554 2 1.272
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.264
  • Stop Loss: 1.2683
  • Take Profit: 1.2554

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.2683 - 1.264 = 0.0043

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.264 - 1.2554 = 0.0085999999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0085999999999999 / 0.0043 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2361.1684 100 1868.013 23.61
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0043

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0043 = 1860.47

Taille de position USD = 1860.47 x 1.264 = 2351.63

Donc, tu peux acheter 1860.47 avec un stoploss a 1.2683

Avec un position size USD de 2351.63$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1860.47 x 0.0043 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1860.47 x 0.0085999999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1860.47
  • Taille de position USD 2351.63
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.68 % 16.06 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.34 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
16.06 $ 0.68
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0791 % 23.25 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.2554
            [stop_loss] => 1.2683
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.25325
            [stop_loss] => 1.2683
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.2511
            [stop_loss] => 1.2683
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
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            [take_profit] => 1.24895
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            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.2468
            [stop_loss] => 1.2683
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.24465
            [stop_loss] => 1.2683
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.2425
            [stop_loss] => 1.2683
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.24035
            [stop_loss] => 1.2683
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.2382
            [stop_loss] => 1.2683
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.017
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00099999999999989
            [rr_ratio] => 17
            [high] => 1.26500000
            [low] => 1.24700000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.34
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 17
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:45:06-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T20:45:06-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.027
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00099999999999989
            [rr_ratio] => 27
            [high] => 1.26500000
            [low] => 1.23700000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.14
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 27
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:45:06-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T01:45:06-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 1.26500000
            [high_after] => 1.26500000
            [low_before] => 1.23000000
            [low_after] => 1.23700000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)