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Short Trade on TRUMP

Short Trade on TRUMP

The 15 Dec 2025 at 18:48:46

With 701.2935 TRUMP at 5.325$ per unit.

Position size of 3734.388 $

Take profit at 5.3022 (0.43 %) and Stop Loss at 5.3364 (0.21 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.91
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.58
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.79
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.610791

15m : 0.048913

1H : -0.036411

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.007604994354
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 5.3212
  4. ema21 - 5.37078
  5. ema50 - 5.43956
  6. ema100 - 5.50585
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.000713256
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00923118
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0126447
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0328473
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.233362
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.158973
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.102007
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0701395
  17. rsi - 0.378139
  18. adx - 0.479323
  19. kc_percentage - 0.228069
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.029301
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.382497
  22. volume_ema1 - 158563.48079865
  23. volume_ema2 - 256782.1149674
  24. chop - 25.0021
  25. regime - bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 5.30938
  28. ema21 - 5.30408
  29. ema50 - 5.33612
  30. ema100 - 5.37103
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00294098
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000999253
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00600347
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00857088
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0527901
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.00265667
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0333059
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0297624
  41. rsi - 0.551704
  42. adx - 0.271461
  43. kc_percentage - 0.813561
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0128285
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.597531
  46. volume_ema1 - 23329.618031808
  47. volume_ema2 - 57966.387578922
  48. chop - 49.7994
  49. regime - bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 5.32042
  52. ema21 - 5.30945
  53. ema50 - 5.29839
  54. ema100 - 5.30055
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.000859477
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00206686
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00208778
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00461266
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.05071
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0386514
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0208131
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0080358
  65. rsi - 0.644528
  66. adx - 0.27984
  67. kc_percentage - 1.01588
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00538216
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.570639
  70. volume_ema1 - 5714.6367952561
  71. volume_ema2 - 13309.636598332
  72. chop - 32.9862
  73. regime - range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 86226
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00183697
  78. 5m_price: 86384.4
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.610791
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 87557.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0134024
  83. 15m_price: 86384.4
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.048913
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 89505.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0348755
  88. 1H_price: 86384.4
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.036411
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
18:48:46		 15 Dec 2025
19:30:00		 41 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.325 5.3364 5.3022 2 5.259
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.325
  • Stop Loss: 5.3364
  • Take Profit: 5.3022

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5.3364 - 5.325 = 0.0114

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.325 - 5.3022 = 0.0228

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0228 / 0.0114 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3734.388 100 701.2935 37.34
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0114

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0114 = 701.75

Taille de position USD = 701.75 x 5.325 = 3736.82

Donc, tu peux acheter 701.75 avec un stoploss a 5.3364

Avec un position size USD de 3736.82$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 701.75 x 0.0114 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 701.75 x 0.0228 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 701.75
  • Taille de position USD 3736.82
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.43 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.21 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 0.43
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1502 % 70.15 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.3022
            [stop_loss] => 5.3364
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2965
            [stop_loss] => 5.3364
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2908
            [stop_loss] => 5.3364
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2851
            [stop_loss] => 5.3364
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2794
            [stop_loss] => 5.3364
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2737
            [stop_loss] => 5.3364
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.268
            [stop_loss] => 5.3364
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2623
            [stop_loss] => 5.3364
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2566
            [stop_loss] => 5.3364
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2509
            [stop_loss] => 5.3364
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2452
            [stop_loss] => 5.3364
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.063000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.008
            [rr_ratio] => 7.88
            [high] => 5.33300000
            [low] => 5.26200000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.18
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.88
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:48:46-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T20:48:46-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.12
            [max_drawdown] => 0.008
            [rr_ratio] => 15
            [high] => 5.33300000
            [low] => 5.20500000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 15
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:48:46-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T01:48:46-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5.33100000
            [high_after] => 5.33300000
            [low_before] => 5.25200000
            [low_after] => 5.20500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)