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Short Trade on SPX

Short Trade on SPX

The 15 Dec 2025 at 18:55:25

With 3551.4903 SPX at 0.5218$ per unit.

Position size of 1853.1676 $

Take profit at 0.5173 (0.86 %) and Stop Loss at 0.5241 (0.44 %)

That's a 1.96 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.96
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.95
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.735394

15m : 0.028184

1H : -0.076551

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.001501717003
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.522225
  4. ema21 - 0.534298
  5. ema50 - 0.553003
  6. ema100 - 0.571319
  7. price_ema9_diff - -0.000815343
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0225958
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0338238
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0866759
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.547555
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.393239
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.264826
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.182295
  17. rsi - 0.355414
  18. adx - 0.401431
  19. kc_percentage - 0.225791
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0812673
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.39943
  22. volume_ema1 - 140097.60097349
  23. volume_ema2 - 233274.64871469
  24. chop - 29.6149
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 0.518319
  28. ema21 - 0.518001
  29. ema50 - 0.525521
  30. ema100 - 0.534154
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00671558
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000613748
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0143097
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0231296
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0738699
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.00882037
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0792676
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0712033
  41. rsi - 0.517718
  42. adx - 0.220947
  43. kc_percentage - 0.763692
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0286544
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.820109
  46. volume_ema1 - 11917.050685159
  47. volume_ema2 - 66245.967804861
  48. chop - 66.1865
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 0.520568
  52. ema21 - 0.518795
  53. ema50 - 0.517159
  54. ema100 - 0.518318
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00236505
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00341794
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00316374
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00671702
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0878793
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0634636
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0328561
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.00904687
  65. rsi - 0.631747
  66. adx - 0.243118
  67. kc_percentage - 1.0261
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0105186
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.642595
  70. volume_ema1 - 3737.1223734096
  71. volume_ema2 - 10456.294114132
  72. chop - 37.7384
  73. regime - bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 86252.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00144111
  78. 5m_price: 86377.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.735394
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 87557.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0135267
  83. 15m_price: 86373.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.028184
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 89505.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0349555
  88. 1H_price: 86377.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.076551
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
18:55:25		 15 Dec 2025
19:30:00		 34 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5218 0.5241 0.5173 1.96 0.5131
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5218
  • Stop Loss: 0.5241
  • Take Profit: 0.5173

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5241 - 0.5218 = 0.0023

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5218 - 0.5173 = 0.0045000000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0045000000000001 / 0.0023 = 1.9565

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1853.1676 100 3551.4903 18.53
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0023

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0023 = 3478.26

Taille de position USD = 3478.26 x 0.5218 = 1814.96

Donc, tu peux acheter 3478.26 avec un stoploss a 0.5241

Avec un position size USD de 1814.96$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3478.26 x 0.0023 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3478.26 x 0.0045000000000001 = 15.65

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.65$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3478.26
  • Taille de position USD 1814.96
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.65
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9565

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.86 % 15.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.44 % 8.17 $
PNL PNL %
15.98 $ 0.86
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0192 % 4.36 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5172
            [stop_loss] => 0.5241
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.51605
            [stop_loss] => 0.5241
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5149
            [stop_loss] => 0.5241
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.51375
            [stop_loss] => 0.5241
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5126
            [stop_loss] => 0.5241
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.51145
            [stop_loss] => 0.5241
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5103
            [stop_loss] => 0.5241
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.50915
            [stop_loss] => 0.5241
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.508
            [stop_loss] => 0.5241
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.50685
            [stop_loss] => 0.5241
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 19:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5057
            [stop_loss] => 0.5241
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0164
            [max_drawdown] => 9.9999999999989E-5
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.52190000
            [low] => 0.50540000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.14
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 164
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:55:25-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T20:55:25-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0269
            [max_drawdown] => 9.9999999999989E-5
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.52190000
            [low] => 0.49490000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.16
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 269
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T18:55:25-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T01:55:25-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.52270000
            [high_after] => 0.52190000
            [low_before] => 0.50630000
            [low_after] => 0.49490000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)