Short Trade on XPL 15 Dec 2025 at 22:05:30

Take profit at 0.1328 (1.12 %) and Stop Loss at 0.135 (0.52 %)

Short Trade on XPL

The 15 Dec 2025 at 22:05:30

With 10977.9437 XPL at 0.1343$ per unit.

Position size of 1474.3378 $

Take profit at 0.1328 (1.12 %) and Stop Loss at 0.135 (0.52 %)

That's a 2.14 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 5.8
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.93
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.94
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.459741

15m : -0.082464

1H : 0.139499

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.24
  4. atr: 0.0004858226153
Details
  1. score: 1.24
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.134039
  4. ema21 : 0.137315
  5. ema50 : 0.143314
  6. ema100 : 0.148249
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00194626
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0238586
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0418585
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0940977
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.465606
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.459554
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.332993
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.216706
  17. rsi : 0.382289
  18. adx : 0.390591
  19. kc_percentage : 0.239472
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0781894
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.574726
  22. volume_ema1 : 320921.08711963
  23. volume_ema2 : 754622.5367365
  24. chop : 47.4884
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.132997
  29. ema21 : 0.133219
  30. ema50 : 0.135128
  31. ema100 : 0.138803
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0097921
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00166693
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0141248
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0324443
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0922642
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.091806
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.102767
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.10383
  42. rsi : 0.548193
  43. adx : 0.270759
  44. kc_percentage : 0.780931
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.02975
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.526909
  47. volume_ema1 : 73907.569991548
  48. volume_ema2 : 156223.03675434
  49. chop : 42.8741
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.133572
  54. ema21 : 0.132892
  55. ema50 : 0.132916
  56. ema100 : 0.133243
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00544286
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00511906
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000176641
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00792619
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.157924
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0779937
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0153628
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00015674
  67. rsi : 0.68179
  68. adx : 0.366164
  69. kc_percentage : 1.2421
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0138627
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.485846
  72. volume_ema1 : 17849.174675016
  73. volume_ema2 : 34715.665510065
  74. chop : 25.5455
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86028
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00198837
  81. 5m_price:
    85857
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.459741
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87407.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0177352
  86. 15m_price:
    85857
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.082464
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89192.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.037397
  91. 1H_price:
    85857
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.139499
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1618
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1535
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 21:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1602
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1498
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1588
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1552
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1411
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1316
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1358
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1303
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.81001472754051
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3768227168074
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.2210283960092
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 05:15:00
                        [1] => 0.142
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 06:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1454
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:15:00
                        [1] => 0.1316
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 14:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1358
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                        [1] => 0.1332
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:15:00
                        [1] => 0.1354
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 17:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1332
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 18:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1358
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1303
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1347
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3768227168074
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3768227168074
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:20:00
                        [1] => 0.1354
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:50:00
                        [1] => 0.1345
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1353
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 17:35:00
                        [1] => 0.1332
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 18:40:00
                        [1] => 0.1358
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1303
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:25:00
                        [1] => 0.1306
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
                        [1] => 0.1306
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1313
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 22:05:00
                        [1] => 0.1347
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1393568147014
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5894897182026
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.14%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.59%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0008
0.59%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0025
1.88%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 16:20:00 0.1354 ↑ High
2025-12-15 16:50:00 0.1345 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 17:00:00 0.1353 ↑ High
2025-12-15 17:35:00 0.1332 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:40:00 0.1358 ↑ High
2025-12-15 19:45:00 0.1303 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:25:00 0.1306 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:35:00 0.1306 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:45:00 0.1313 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:05:00 0.1347 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.38%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.38%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0104
7.70%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0025
1.88%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 05:15:00 0.142 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 06:30:00 0.1454 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:15:00 0.1316 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:45:00 0.1358 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 0.1332 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 16:15:00 0.1354 ↑ High
2025-12-15 17:30:00 0.1332 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:30:00 0.1358 ↑ High
2025-12-15 19:45:00 0.1303 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 0.1347 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.81%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.38%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.22%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0268
19.85%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0025
1.88%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 06:00:00 0.1618 ↑ High
2025-12-13 16:00:00 0.1535 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 21:00:00 0.1602 ↑ High
2025-12-14 05:00:00 0.1498 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 08:00:00 0.1588 ↑ High
2025-12-14 20:00:00 0.1552 ↑ High
2025-12-14 21:00:00 0.1411 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 13:00:00 0.1316 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:00:00 0.1358 ↑ High
2025-12-15 19:00:00 0.1303 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 Dec 2025
22:05:30
15 Dec 2025
22:25:00
19 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1343 0.135 0.1328 2.14 0.0965
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1343
  • Stop Loss: 0.135
  • Take Profit: 0.1328

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.135 - 0.1343 = 0.00070000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1343 - 0.1328 = 0.0015

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0015 / 0.00070000000000001 = 2.1429

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1474.3378 100 10977.9437 14.74
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00070000000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00070000000000001 = 11428.57

Taille de position USD = 11428.57 x 0.1343 = 1534.86

Donc, tu peux acheter 11428.57 avec un stoploss a 0.135

Avec un position size USD de 1534.86$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11428.57 x 0.00070000000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11428.57 x 0.0015 = 17.14

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17.14$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11428.57
  • Taille de position USD 1534.86
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 17.14
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.1429

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.12 % 16.47 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.52 % 7.68 $
PNL PNL %
16.47 $ 1.12
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3723 % 71.43 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1329
            [stop_loss] => 0.135
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.13255
            [stop_loss] => 0.135
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 22:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1322
            [stop_loss] => 0.135
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.13185
            [stop_loss] => 0.135
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0027
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0005
            [rr_ratio] => 5.4
            [high] => 0.13480000
            [low] => 0.13160000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.01
            [mae_pct] => 0.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.4
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T22:05:30-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T00:05:30-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0027
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00089999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [high] => 0.13520000
            [low] => 0.13160000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.01
            [mae_pct] => 0.67
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-15T22:05:30-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T05:05:30-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.13580000
            [high_after] => 0.13490000
            [low_before] => 0.13030000
            [low_after] => 0.13160000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)