Short Trade on USTC 15 Dec 2025 at 23:05:10
Take profit at 0.006598 (1.23 %) and Stop Loss at 0.006721 (0.61 %)
Short Trade on USTC 15 Dec 2025 at 23:05:10
Take profit at 0.006598 (1.23 %) and Stop Loss at 0.006721 (0.61 %)
Position size of 1307.7127 $
Take profit at 0.006598 (1.23 %) and Stop Loss at 0.006721 (0.61 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.96 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.67 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.97 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.186132 15m : 0.032851 1H : 0.017762 |
2 |
Indicators:
85990.9
-0.00247615
85778
0.186132
87234.7
-0.0166986
85778
0.032851
89206.7
-0.0384364
85778
0.017762
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 03:00:00
[1] => 0.00796
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 07:00:00
[1] => 0.00904
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
[1] => 0.00815
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 01:00:00
[1] => 0.00907
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 20:00:00
[1] => 0.00753
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 00:00:00
[1] => 0.00779
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 05:00:00
[1] => 0.00729
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 15:00:00
[1] => 0.00783
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
[1] => 0.00737
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
[1] => 0.00709
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.6417489421721
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3681747269891
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.9492242595204
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 00:15:00
[1] => 0.00733
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 02:00:00
[1] => 0.00714
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 04:00:00
[1] => 0.00711
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 04:30:00
[1] => 0.00726
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 05:45:00
[1] => 0.00719
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 06:45:00
[1] => 0.00737
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 15:45:00
[1] => 0.00661
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:15:00
[1] => 0.0067
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 18:30:00
[1] => 0.00709
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
[1] => 0.0067
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14925373134329
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3681747269891
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.8208955223881
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 17:30:00
[1] => 0.00667
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 18:30:00
[1] => 0.00641
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 18:35:00
[1] => 0.00709
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:05:00
[1] => 0.00663
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:35:00
[1] => 0.00644
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:50:00
[1] => 0.00656
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
[1] => 0.00645
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 21:35:00
[1] => 0.00662
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:05:00
[1] => 0.0065
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:05:00
[1] => 0.0067
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14925373134329
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9230769230769
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0769230769231
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 17:30:00 | 0.00667 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 18:30:00 | 0.00641 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 18:35:00 | 0.00709 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 19:05:00 | 0.00663 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 19:35:00 | 0.00644 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 19:50:00 | 0.00656 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 20:35:00 | 0.00645 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 21:35:00 | 0.00662 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 22:05:00 | 0.0065 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 23:05:00 | 0.0067 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 00:15:00 | 0.00733 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 02:00:00 | 0.00714 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 04:00:00 | 0.00711 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 04:30:00 | 0.00726 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 05:45:00 | 0.00719 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 06:45:00 | 0.00737 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 15:45:00 | 0.00661 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 16:15:00 | 0.0067 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 18:30:00 | 0.00709 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:00:00 | 0.0067 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 03:00:00 | 0.00796 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 07:00:00 | 0.00904 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:00:00 | 0.00815 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 01:00:00 | 0.00907 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 20:00:00 | 0.00753 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 00:00:00 | 0.00779 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 05:00:00 | 0.00729 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 15:00:00 | 0.00783 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 06:00:00 | 0.00737 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 18:00:00 | 0.00709 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2025 23:05:10 |
16 Dec 2025 01:40:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00668 | 0.006721 | 0.006598 | 2 | 0.00487 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006721 - 0.00668 = 4.1E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00668 - 0.006598 = 8.2E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 8.2E-5 / 4.1E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1307.7127 | 100 | 195765.3683 | 13.08 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 4.1E-5 = 195121.95
Taille de position USD = 195121.95 x 0.00668 = 1303.41
Donc, tu peux acheter 195121.95 avec un stoploss a 0.006721
Avec un position size USD de 1303.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 195121.95 x 4.1E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 195121.95 x 8.2E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.23 % | 16.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.61 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.05 $ | 1.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4491 % | 73.17 % | 8 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006598
[stop_loss] => 0.006721
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:40:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0065775
[stop_loss] => 0.006721
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006557
[stop_loss] => 0.006721
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0065365
[stop_loss] => 0.006721
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006516
[stop_loss] => 0.006721
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0064955
[stop_loss] => 0.006721
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006475
[stop_loss] => 0.006721
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0064545
[stop_loss] => 0.006721
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006434
[stop_loss] => 0.006721
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0064135
[stop_loss] => 0.006721
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.006393
[stop_loss] => 0.006721
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 8.0E-5
[max_drawdown] => 3.0E-5
[rr_ratio] => 2.67
[high] => 0.00671000
[low] => 0.00660000
[mfe_pct] => 1.2
[mae_pct] => 0.45
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.67
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-15T23:05:10-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T01:05:10-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 9.0E-5
[max_drawdown] => 0.00072
[rr_ratio] => 0.13
[high] => 0.00740000
[low] => 0.00659000
[mfe_pct] => 1.35
[mae_pct] => 10.78
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.13
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-15T23:05:10-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T06:05:10-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.00670000
[high_after] => 0.00723000
[low_before] => 0.00644000
[low_after] => 0.00659000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)