Short Trade on SPX 16 Dec 2025 at 00:44:59

Take profit at 0.5053 (1.12 %) and Stop Loss at 0.5139 (0.57 %)

Short Trade on SPX

The 16 Dec 2025 at 00:44:59

With 2806.8472 SPX at 0.511$ per unit.

Position size of 1434.2989 $

Take profit at 0.5053 (1.12 %) and Stop Loss at 0.5139 (0.57 %)

That's a 1.97 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.06
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.93
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.64
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.95
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.715503

15m : 0.12589

1H : -0.069495

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.001900115333
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.511349
  4. ema21 : 0.522582
  5. ema50 : 0.543397
  6. ema100 : 0.565099
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000683164
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0214946
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0383052
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0957344
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.373753
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.379143
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.289667
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.2075
  17. rsi : 0.36868
  18. adx : 0.460424
  19. kc_percentage : 0.238877
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0800148
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.506755
  22. volume_ema1 : 100518.64566251
  23. volume_ema2 : 203790.8931061
  24. chop : 55.6629
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.505863
  29. ema21 : 0.507833
  30. ema50 : 0.51469
  31. ema100 : 0.525108
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0101534
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00387946
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0133218
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.026868
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0710626
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0814359
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0900494
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0831084
  42. rsi : 0.49043
  43. adx : 0.360903
  44. kc_percentage : 0.728061
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0288554
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.400279
  47. volume_ema1 : 23810.05263748
  48. volume_ema2 : 39701.926462927
  49. chop : 46.3528
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.507557
  54. ema21 : 0.506236
  55. ema50 : 0.507297
  56. ema100 : 0.509989
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0067827
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0026102
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00209214
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00198236
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0606118
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0134711
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0129434
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0185593
  67. rsi : 0.649626
  68. adx : 0.317569
  69. kc_percentage : 1.11675
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0150379
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.266084
  72. volume_ema1 : 12038.320968639
  73. volume_ema2 : 9508.3107034249
  74. chop : 16.8585
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    85923.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00152293
  81. 5m_price:
    86054.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.715503
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87113.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0134029
  86. 15m_price:
    85945.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.12589
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89201
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0352737
  91. 1H_price:
    86054.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.069495
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-12 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.6344
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.5724
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 03:00:00
                        [1] => 0.6001
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.5848
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.6074
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.537
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.5671
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.4985
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.5227
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 0.4949
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.2383776544863
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2531824611033
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.6172964235199
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.4985
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.5214
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                        [1] => 0.5063
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:30:00
                        [1] => 0.5191
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 17:15:00
                        [1] => 0.5128
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 18:30:00
                        [1] => 0.5227
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:00:00
                        [1] => 0.5029
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                        [1] => 0.5122
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 0.4949
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 00:30:00
                        [1] => 0.5114
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.078216660148603
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2531824611033
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3340068700748
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 17:10:00
                        [1] => 0.516
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 17:20:00
                        [1] => 0.5128
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 18:35:00
                        [1] => 0.5227
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:55:00
                        [1] => 0.5061
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
                        [1] => 0.5054
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:05:00
                        [1] => 0.5029
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                        [1] => 0.5122
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                        [1] => 0.503
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 0.4949
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 00:35:00
                        [1] => 0.5114
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.078216660148603
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2531824611033
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3340068700748
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.25%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.33%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0088
1.71%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0104
2.06%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 17:10:00 0.516 ↑ High
2025-12-15 17:20:00 0.5128 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:35:00 0.5227 ↑ High
2025-12-15 19:55:00 0.5061 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:35:00 0.5054 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:05:00 0.5029 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 0.5122 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 0.503 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:45:00 0.4949 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 00:35:00 0.5114 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.25%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.33%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0088
1.71%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0104
2.06%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 13:30:00 0.4985 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 0.5214 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 0.5063 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 16:30:00 0.5191 ↑ High
2025-12-15 17:15:00 0.5128 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:30:00 0.5227 ↑ High
2025-12-15 21:00:00 0.5029 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 0.5122 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 0.4949 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 00:30:00 0.5114 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.25%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.62%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1205
23.45%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0104
2.06%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-12 08:00:00 0.6344 ↑ High
2025-12-12 11:00:00 0.5724 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 03:00:00 0.6001 ↑ High
2025-12-13 09:00:00 0.5848 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 14:00:00 0.6074 ↑ High
2025-12-14 18:00:00 0.537 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 01:00:00 0.5671 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 0.4985 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:00:00 0.5227 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:00:00 0.4949 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
00:44:59
16 Dec 2025
01:50:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.511 0.5139 0.5053 1.97 0.3125
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.511
  • Stop Loss: 0.5139
  • Take Profit: 0.5053

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5139 - 0.511 = 0.0029

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.511 - 0.5053 = 0.0057

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0057 / 0.0029 = 1.9655

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1434.2989 100 2806.8472 14.34
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0029

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0029 = 2758.62

Taille de position USD = 2758.62 x 0.511 = 1409.65

Donc, tu peux acheter 2758.62 avec un stoploss a 0.5139

Avec un position size USD de 1409.65$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2758.62 x 0.0029 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2758.62 x 0.0057 = 15.72

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.72$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2758.62
  • Taille de position USD 1409.65
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.72
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9655

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.12 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.57 % 8.14 $
PNL PNL %
-8.14 $ -0.57
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8611 % 151.74 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5053
            [entry_price] => 0.511
            [stop_loss] => 0.51419
            [rr_ratio] => 1.79
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5053
            [entry_price] => 0.511
            [stop_loss] => 0.51448
            [rr_ratio] => 1.64
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5053
            [entry_price] => 0.511
            [stop_loss] => 0.51477
            [rr_ratio] => 1.51
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5053
            [entry_price] => 0.511
            [stop_loss] => 0.51535
            [rr_ratio] => 1.31
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0058
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0083
            [rr_ratio] => 0.7
            [high] => 0.51930000
            [low] => 0.50520000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.14
            [mae_pct] => 1.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.7
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T00:44:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T02:44:59-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0082
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0098
            [rr_ratio] => 0.84
            [high] => 0.52080000
            [low] => 0.50280000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.6
            [mae_pct] => 1.92
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.84
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T00:44:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T07:44:59-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.51220000
            [high_after] => 0.51930000
            [low_before] => 0.49490000
            [low_after] => 0.50280000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)