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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 16 Dec 2025 at 01:13:04

Take profit at 161.8136 (0.51 %) and Stop Loss at 163.0532 (0.25 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 16 Dec 2025 at 01:13:04

With 19.3622 MSTR at 162.64$ per unit.

Position size of 3149.0697 $

Take profit at 161.8136 (0.51 %) and Stop Loss at 163.0532 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 90
ML Pullback Score: 4.32
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.63
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.82
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.198286

15m : 0.150353

1H : -0.023985

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.34
  4. atr: 0.2754506638
Details
  1. score: 1.34
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 162.187
  4. ema21 : 165.185
  5. ema50 : 170.092
  6. ema100 : 174.046
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00279256
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0181544
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0288451
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0655361
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.326165
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.350895
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.241037
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.154767
  17. rsi : 0.332265
  18. adx : 0.628601
  19. kc_percentage : 0.144163
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0397217
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.912387
  22. volume_ema1 : 40196.611582544
  23. volume_ema2 : 458802.25620229
  24. chop : 55.885
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.524
  28. ema21 : 161.537
  29. ema50 : 163.168
  30. ema100 : 166.468
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00690727
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -8.39263E-5
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00999443
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0229993
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00186811
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0227358
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.05981
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.070549
  41. rsi : 0.594594
  42. adx : 0.332736
  43. kc_percentage : 1.00247
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0137734
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.939911
  46. volume_ema1 : 5460.4838712807
  47. volume_ema2 : 90874.647230339
  48. chop : 42.8115
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.995
  52. ema21 : 161.6
  53. ema50 : 161.435
  54. ema100 : 161.61
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00397857
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0024446
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00102331
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00636894
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0625766
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0389881
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0144217
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00354416
  65. rsi : 0.670581
  66. adx : 0.283909
  67. kc_percentage : 1.34479
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00741679
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.340226
  70. volume_ema1 : 2072.3072289782
  71. volume_ema2 : 1546.2363369309
  72. chop : 15.605
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85965.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00261022
  78. 5m_price: 
    86190
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.198286
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87079
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0102097
  83. 15m_price: 
    86190
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.150353
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    89096.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0326237
  88. 1H_price: 
    86190
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.023985
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 09:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 11:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 13:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 15:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
                    [1] => 173.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
                    [1] => 162.64
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6182442986567
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6182442986567
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:15:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 165.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 161.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:15:00
                    [1] => 163.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:45:00
                    [1] => 160.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:15:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
                    [1] => 162.64
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6182442986567
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6182442986567
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:25:00
                    [1] => 161.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 161.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:10:00
                    [1] => 161.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:20:00
                    [1] => 161.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 160.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:55:00
                    [1] => 160.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:10:00
                    [1] => 162.64
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4977533699451
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4977533699451
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.50%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.50%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4132
0.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7636
1.09%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 21:45:00 161.86 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:25:00 161.4 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 161.09 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:10:00 161.09 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:20:00 161.09 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 160.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:55:00 160.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:10:00 162.64 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.62%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.62%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.5868
8.95%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7636
1.09%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 06:15:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:30:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 165.54 ↑ High
2025-12-15 16:00:00 161.02 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:15:00 163.25 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:45:00 160.57 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:15:00 161.86 ↑ High
2025-12-15 21:45:00 161.86 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:00:00 162.64 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.62%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.62%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.9468
9.17%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7636
1.09%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 09:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 11:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 13:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 15:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 20:00:00 173.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:00:00 162.64 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
01:13:04		 16 Dec 2025
02:20:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
162.64 163.0532 161.8136 2 133.07
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 162.64
  • Stop Loss: 163.0532
  • Take Profit: 161.8136

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 163.0532 - 162.64 = 0.41320000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 162.64 - 161.8136 = 0.82639999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.82639999999998 / 0.41320000000002 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3149.0697 100 19.3622 31.49
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.41320000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.41320000000002 = 19.36

Taille de position USD = 19.36 x 162.64 = 3148.71

Donc, tu peux acheter 19.36 avec un stoploss a 163.0532

Avec un position size USD de 3148.71$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 19.36 x 0.41320000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 19.36 x 0.82639999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 19.36
  • Taille de position USD 3148.71
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.51 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0553 % 21.76 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.8136
            [stop_loss] => 163.0532
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.607
            [stop_loss] => 163.0532
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.4004
            [stop_loss] => 163.0532
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.1938
            [stop_loss] => 163.0532
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.9872
            [stop_loss] => 163.0532
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.7806
            [stop_loss] => 163.0532
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.574
            [stop_loss] => 163.0532
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.3674
            [stop_loss] => 163.0532
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.1608
            [stop_loss] => 163.0532
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.9542
            [stop_loss] => 163.0532
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.7476
            [stop_loss] => 163.0532
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.95
            [max_drawdown] => 0.090000000000003
            [rr_ratio] => 21.67
            [high] => 162.73000000
            [low] => 160.69000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.2
            [mae_pct] => 0.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 21.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:13:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T03:13:04-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.95
            [max_drawdown] => 3.67
            [rr_ratio] => 0.53
            [high] => 166.31000000
            [low] => 160.69000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.2
            [mae_pct] => 2.26
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:13:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T08:13:04-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 162.64000000
            [high_after] => 165.96000000
            [low_before] => 160.05000000
            [low_after] => 160.69000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)