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Short Trade on BTC

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Short Trade on BTC 16 Dec 2025 at 01:24:45

Take profit at 85977.0257 (0.42 %) and Stop Loss at 86520.2871 (0.21 %)

Short Trade on BTC

The 16 Dec 2025 at 01:24:45

With 0.04418 BTC at 86339.2$ per unit.

Position size of 3814.2608 $

Take profit at 85977.0257 (0.42 %) and Stop Loss at 86520.2871 (0.21 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 1.97
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.96
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.87
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 1

15m : 0.026086

1H : -0.103979

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.19
  4. atr: 120.7247649
Details
  1. score: 1.19
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 86129
  4. ema21 : 86764.1
  5. ema50 : 87947.9
  6. ema100 : 89099.6
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00243986
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0073198
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0134607
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0309813
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.127529
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.149498
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.110813
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0772681
  17. rsi : 0.389186
  18. adx : 0.490951
  19. kc_percentage : 0.344513
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0276138
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.434142
  22. volume_ema1 : 80752285.179641
  23. volume_ema2 : 142707825.44199
  24. chop : 71.0687
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 86003.9
  28. ema21 : 85964.3
  29. ema50 : 86285.9
  30. ema100 : 87039.4
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0038986
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000460418
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00372717
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00804491
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0103565
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00499511
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0224298
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0295745
  41. rsi : 0.577101
  42. adx : 0.334619
  43. kc_percentage : 0.903086
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0108448
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.341035
  46. volume_ema1 : 20524525.031529
  47. volume_ema2 : 31146655.002571
  48. chop : 51.1036
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 86146.4
  52. ema21 : 86011.7
  53. ema50 : 85934.9
  54. ema100 : 85951.3
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0022379
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00156583
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000893006
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0045126
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0313839
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0226066
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00971511
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0036232
  65. rsi : 0.701436
  66. adx : 0.225503
  67. kc_percentage : 1.18843
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00538377
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.49199
  70. volume_ema1 : 12208728.622855
  71. volume_ema2 : 8182844.8135046
  72. chop : 46.4299
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85951.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0045126
  78. 5m_price: 
    86339.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    1
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87039.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00930066
  83. 15m_price: 
    86229.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.026086
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    89099.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0309813
  88. 1H_price: 
    86339.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.103979
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
                    [1] => 90594.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
                    [1] => 89900
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                    [1] => 89730.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 19:00:00
                    [1] => 90450
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                    [1] => 87530.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 89991.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 89941.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 85111
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 85228.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
                    [1] => 86347.5
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0041692000347501
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3090737572775
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3132977113209
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 04:45:00
                    [1] => 89941.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 09:30:00
                    [1] => 89838.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
                    [1] => 85111
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 86530.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 85500.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
                    [1] => 86494.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:30:00
                    [1] => 85635.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:15:00
                    [1] => 86199.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 85228.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:15:00
                    [1] => 86347.5
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0041692000347501
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3090737572775
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3132977113209
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:20:00
                    [1] => 86089.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 19:05:00
                    [1] => 86494.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 85680
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:10:00
                    [1] => 86135
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
                    [1] => 85635.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:25:00
                    [1] => 86199.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                    [1] => 85350
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 85899.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 85228.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:20:00
                    [1] => 86347.5
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0041692000347501
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3090737572775
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 19
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3132977113209
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.31%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
19 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.31%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
25.6871
0.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
748.8257
0.87%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 18:20:00 86089.3 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 19:05:00 86494.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:00:00 85680 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:10:00 86135 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:35:00 85635.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:25:00 86199.3 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 85350 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 85899.2 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 85228.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:20:00 86347.5 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.31%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.31%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3,421.3129
3.95%
TP to Pivot Distance
866.0257
1.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 04:45:00 89941.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:30:00 89838.3 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:30:00 85111 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 86530.4 ↑ High
2025-12-15 16:00:00 85500.7 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 19:00:00 86494.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:30:00 85635.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:15:00 86199.3 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 85228.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:15:00 86347.5 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.31%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.31%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4,073.8129
4.71%
TP to Pivot Distance
866.0257
1.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 05:00:00 90594.1 ↑ High
2025-12-13 09:00:00 89900 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 16:00:00 89730.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 19:00:00 90450 ↑ High
2025-12-14 18:00:00 87530.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 21:00:00 89991.2 ↑ High
2025-12-15 04:00:00 89941.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 85111 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 85228.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:00:00 86347.5 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
01:24:45		 16 Dec 2025
01:50:00		 25 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
86339.2 86520.2871 85977.0257 2 67548.9
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 86339.2
  • Stop Loss: 86520.2871
  • Take Profit: 85977.0257

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 86520.2871 - 86339.2 = 181.0871

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 86339.2 - 85977.0257 = 362.1743

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 362.1743 / 181.0871 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3814.2608 100 0.04418 38.14
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 181.0871

Taille de position = 8 / 181.0871 = 0.04

Taille de position USD = 0.04 x 86339.2 = 3453.57

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.04 avec un stoploss a 86520.2871

Avec un position size USD de 3453.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.04 x 181.0871 = 7.24

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.24$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.04 x 362.1743 = 14.49

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 14.49$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.04
  • Taille de position USD 3453.57
  • Perte potentielle 7.24
  • Gain potentiel 14.49
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.42 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.21 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.21
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2911 % 138.82 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85977.0257
            [entry_price] => 86339.2
            [stop_loss] => 86538.39581
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85977.0257
            [entry_price] => 86339.2
            [stop_loss] => 86556.50452
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85977.0257
            [entry_price] => 86339.2
            [stop_loss] => 86574.61323
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85977.0257
            [entry_price] => 86339.2
            [stop_loss] => 86610.83065
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 528.2
            [max_drawdown] => 251.3
            [rr_ratio] => 2.1
            [high] => 86590.50000000
            [low] => 85811.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.61
            [mae_pct] => 0.29
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:24:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T03:24:45-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 528.2
            [max_drawdown] => 1105.7
            [rr_ratio] => 0.48
            [high] => 87444.90000000
            [low] => 85811.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.61
            [mae_pct] => 1.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.48
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:24:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T08:24:45-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 86347.50000000
            [high_after] => 87318.30000000
            [low_before] => 85228.20000000
            [low_after] => 85811.00000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)