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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 16 Dec 2025 at 01:26:42

Take profit at 3.5514 (0.66 %) and Stop Loss at 3.5868 (0.33 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 16 Dec 2025 at 01:26:42

With 678.9313 AR at 3.575$ per unit.

Position size of 2427.1793 $

Take profit at 3.5514 (0.66 %) and Stop Loss at 3.5868 (0.33 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.76
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.94
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.79
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.53
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.753492

15m : 0.078583

1H : -0.064534

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.25
  4. atr: 0.007855483436
Details
  1. score: 1.25
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.55861
  4. ema21 : 3.59805
  5. ema50 : 3.69587
  6. ema100 : 3.79093
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00460292
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0109594
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0264671
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0569601
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.119498
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.215158
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.194205
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.139807
  17. rsi : 0.435927
  18. adx : 0.358837
  19. kc_percentage : 0.406457
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0572063
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.607745
  22. volume_ema1 : 51693.872399488
  23. volume_ema2 : 131786.40789735
  24. chop : 65.1816
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 3.55165
  28. ema21 : 3.55183
  29. ema50 : 3.56868
  30. ema100 : 3.62274
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00657351
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -5.08488E-5
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00472287
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0131778
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0106674
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0130739
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0287298
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0460588
  41. rsi : 0.546551
  42. adx : 0.210632
  43. kc_percentage : 0.837736
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0193179
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.567387
  46. volume_ema1 : 11195.63938348
  47. volume_ema2 : 25879.14481756
  48. chop : 44.2092
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 3.56001
  52. ema21 : 3.55233
  53. ema50 : 3.55131
  54. ema100 : 3.55572
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00420784
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00216251
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00028742
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0054197
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0498607
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0254796
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00617261
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.000495917
  65. rsi : 0.674724
  66. adx : 0.250736
  67. kc_percentage : 1.25392
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00829588
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.421616
  70. volume_ema1 : 3001.2513390315
  71. volume_ema2 : 5189.0370647485
  72. chop : 47.2813
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85959.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00458421
  78. 5m_price: 
    86354
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.753492
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87039.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00930066
  83. 15m_price: 
    86229.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.078583
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    89099.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0308183
  88. 1H_price: 
    86354
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.064534
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.941
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                    [1] => 3.885
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 21:00:00
                    [1] => 4.003
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                    [1] => 3.697
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
                    [1] => 3.881
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 09:00:00
                    [1] => 3.777
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 12:00:00
                    [1] => 3.457
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
                    [1] => 3.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 3.486
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
                    [1] => 3.584
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.08370535714286
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7251864601262
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8112449799197
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 07:45:00
                    [1] => 3.757
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 09:15:00
                    [1] => 3.777
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 12:45:00
                    [1] => 3.457
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.585
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                    [1] => 3.503
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
                    [1] => 3.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:30:00
                    [1] => 3.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:15:00
                    [1] => 3.577
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 3.486
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:15:00
                    [1] => 3.584
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.08370535714286
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7251864601262
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8112449799197
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 19:55:00
                    [1] => 3.536
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
                    [1] => 3.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:25:00
                    [1] => 3.577
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                    [1] => 3.533
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:50:00
                    [1] => 3.567
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:10:00
                    [1] => 3.567
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 3.486
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 00:45:00
                    [1] => 3.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 00:55:00
                    [1] => 3.542
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:25:00
                    [1] => 3.584
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.08370535714286
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1010728402033
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1857707509881
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.10%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.19%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0028
0.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0654
1.84%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 19:55:00 3.536 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:35:00 3.52 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:25:00 3.577 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 3.533 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:50:00 3.567 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:10:00 3.567 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 3.486 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 00:45:00 3.56 ↑ High
2025-12-16 00:55:00 3.542 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:25:00 3.584 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.73%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.81%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1902
5.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0944
2.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 07:45:00 3.757 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:15:00 3.777 ↑ High
2025-12-15 12:45:00 3.457 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 3.585 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 3.503 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:00:00 3.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:30:00 3.52 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:15:00 3.577 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 3.486 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:15:00 3.584 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.73%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.81%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4162
11.60%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0944
2.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 14:00:00 3.941 ↑ High
2025-12-13 16:00:00 3.885 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 21:00:00 4.003 ↑ High
2025-12-14 18:00:00 3.697 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 00:00:00 3.881 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:00:00 3.777 ↑ High
2025-12-15 12:00:00 3.457 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:00:00 3.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:00:00 3.486 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:00:00 3.584 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
01:26:42		 16 Dec 2025
01:55:00		 28 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.575 3.5868 3.5514 2 1.674
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.575
  • Stop Loss: 3.5868
  • Take Profit: 3.5514

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.5868 - 3.575 = 0.0118

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.575 - 3.5514 = 0.0236

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0236 / 0.0118 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2427.1793 100 678.9313 24.27
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0118

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0118 = 677.97

Taille de position USD = 677.97 x 3.575 = 2423.74

Donc, tu peux acheter 677.97 avec un stoploss a 3.5868

Avec un position size USD de 2423.74$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 677.97 x 0.0118 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 677.97 x 0.0236 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 677.97
  • Taille de position USD 2423.74
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.66 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.33 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -0.33
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5035 % 152.53 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5514
            [entry_price] => 3.575
            [stop_loss] => 3.58798
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5514
            [entry_price] => 3.575
            [stop_loss] => 3.58916
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5514
            [entry_price] => 3.575
            [stop_loss] => 3.59034
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5514
            [entry_price] => 3.575
            [stop_loss] => 3.5927
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.054
            [max_drawdown] => 0.019
            [rr_ratio] => 2.84
            [high] => 3.59400000
            [low] => 3.52100000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.51
            [mae_pct] => 0.53
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.84
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:26:42-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T03:26:42-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.054
            [max_drawdown] => 0.066
            [rr_ratio] => 0.82
            [high] => 3.64100000
            [low] => 3.52100000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.51
            [mae_pct] => 1.85
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.82
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:26:42-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T08:26:42-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.58400000
            [high_after] => 3.64100000
            [low_before] => 3.48600000
            [low_after] => 3.52100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)