Short Trade on BTC 16 Dec 2025 at 01:37:33

Take profit at 86061.4313 (0.39 %) and Stop Loss at 86569.2844 (0.2 %)

Short Trade on BTC

The 16 Dec 2025 at 01:37:33

With 0.04726 BTC at 86400$ per unit.

Position size of 4083.0703 $

Take profit at 86061.4313 (0.39 %) and Stop Loss at 86569.2844 (0.2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -70
ML Pullback Score: 2.74
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.94
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.85
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 1

15m : -0.045773

1H : 0.043523

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.18
  4. atr: 112.8562488
Details
  1. score: 1.18
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 86141.2
  4. ema21 : 86769.6
  5. ema50 : 87950.3
  6. ema100 : 89100.8
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00300417
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00724289
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0134246
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.030312
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.126371
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.148977
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.110591
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0771565
  17. rsi : 0.399494
  18. adx : 0.488992
  19. kc_percentage : 0.369177
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.02793
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.357117
  22. volume_ema1 : 92643748.335444
  23. volume_ema2 : 144106821.10738
  24. chop : 71.0899
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 86090.6
  29. ema21 : 86008.7
  30. ema50 : 86294.3
  31. ema100 : 87039.5
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00359272
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000952561
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00330907
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00734741
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.021624
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.00164416
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0189683
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0279463
  42. rsi : 0.594491
  43. adx : 0.307352
  44. kc_percentage : 0.917096
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0108631
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.16225
  47. volume_ema1 : 26599465.129
  48. volume_ema2 : 31751097.393458
  49. chop : 44.9853
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 86254.9
  54. ema21 : 86100.2
  55. ema50 : 85981.8
  56. ema100 : 85960.6
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00168184
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00179694
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00137675
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00511096
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.036446
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0273183
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0134271
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00621661
  67. rsi : 0.702816
  68. adx : 0.253982
  69. kc_percentage : 1.18057
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00493937
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.196417
  72. volume_ema1 : 10360975.944715
  73. volume_ema2 : 8659999.7463054
  74. chop : 46.7155
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    85960.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00511096
  81. 5m_price:
    86400
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    1
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87039.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0081999
  86. 15m_price:
    86325.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.045773
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89100.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.030312
  91. 1H_price:
    86400
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.043523
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
                        [1] => 90594.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
                        [1] => 89900
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                        [1] => 89730.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 19:00:00
                        [1] => 90450
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                        [1] => 87530.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                        [1] => 89991.2
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 89941.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 85111
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 85228.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
                        [1] => 86420
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.046169868086084
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3515479618249
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3983634524723
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 04:45:00
                        [1] => 89941.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 09:30:00
                        [1] => 89838.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
                        [1] => 85111
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                        [1] => 86530.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
                        [1] => 85500.7
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 86494.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:30:00
                        [1] => 85635.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:15:00
                        [1] => 86199.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 85228.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 01:15:00
                        [1] => 86420
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.046169868086084
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3515479618249
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3983634524723
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 18:20:00
                        [1] => 86089.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:05:00
                        [1] => 86494.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                        [1] => 85680
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:10:00
                        [1] => 86135
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
                        [1] => 85635.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:25:00
                        [1] => 86199.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                        [1] => 85350
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 85899.2
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 85228.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 01:25:00
                        [1] => 86420
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.046169868086084
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3515479618249
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3983634524723
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.35%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
22 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.40%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
74.6844
0.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
833.2313
0.97%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 18:20:00 86089.3 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 19:05:00 86494.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:00:00 85680 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:10:00 86135 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:35:00 85635.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:25:00 86199.3 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 85350 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 85899.2 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 85228.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:25:00 86420 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.35%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.40%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3,372.3156
3.90%
TP to Pivot Distance
950.4313
1.10%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 04:45:00 89941.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:30:00 89838.3 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:30:00 85111 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 86530.4 ↑ High
2025-12-15 16:00:00 85500.7 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 19:00:00 86494.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:30:00 85635.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:15:00 86199.3 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 85228.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:15:00 86420 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.35%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.40%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4,024.8156
4.65%
TP to Pivot Distance
950.4313
1.10%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 05:00:00 90594.1 ↑ High
2025-12-13 09:00:00 89900 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 16:00:00 89730.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 19:00:00 90450 ↑ High
2025-12-14 18:00:00 87530.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 21:00:00 89991.2 ↑ High
2025-12-15 04:00:00 89941.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 85111 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 85228.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:00:00 86420 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
01:37:33
16 Dec 2025
01:50:00
12 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
86400 86569.2844 86061.4313 2 67621.4
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 86400
  • Stop Loss: 86569.2844
  • Take Profit: 86061.4313

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 86569.2844 - 86400 = 169.2844

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 86400 - 86061.4313 = 338.5687

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 338.5687 / 169.2844 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4083.0703 100 0.04726 40.83
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 169.2844

Taille de position = 8 / 169.2844 = 0.05

Taille de position USD = 0.05 x 86400 = 4320

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.05 avec un stoploss a 86569.2844

Avec un position size USD de 4320$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.05 x 169.2844 = 8.46

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.46$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.05 x 338.5687 = 16.93

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.93$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.05
  • Taille de position USD 4320
  • Perte potentielle 8.46
  • Gain potentiel 16.93
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.39 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2205 % 112.56 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 86061.4313
            [entry_price] => 86400
            [stop_loss] => 86586.21284
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 86061.4313
            [entry_price] => 86400
            [stop_loss] => 86603.14128
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 86061.4313
            [entry_price] => 86400
            [stop_loss] => 86620.06972
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 86061.4313
            [entry_price] => 86400
            [stop_loss] => 86653.9266
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 589
            [max_drawdown] => 190.5
            [rr_ratio] => 3.09
            [high] => 86590.50000000
            [low] => 85811.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.22
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:37:33-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T03:37:33-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 589
            [max_drawdown] => 1350
            [rr_ratio] => 0.44
            [high] => 87750.00000000
            [low] => 85811.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.68
            [mae_pct] => 1.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.44
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:37:33-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T08:37:33-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 86420.00000000
            [high_after] => 87318.30000000
            [low_before] => 85228.20000000
            [low_after] => 85811.00000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)