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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 16 Dec 2025 at 01:39:08

Take profit at 3.5492 (0.69 %) and Stop Loss at 3.5864 (0.35 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 16 Dec 2025 at 01:39:08

With 644.0722 AR at 3.574$ per unit.

Position size of 2301.9142 $

Take profit at 3.5492 (0.69 %) and Stop Loss at 3.5864 (0.35 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.51
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.93
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.85
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.74248

15m : -0.036438

1H : -0.019744

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.008280644703
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.55841
  4. ema21 : 3.59796
  5. ema50 : 3.69583
  6. ema100 : 3.79091
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00437836
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.01099
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0264814
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.057219
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.11996
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.215363
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.194291
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.13985
  17. rsi : 0.434476
  18. adx : 0.356171
  19. kc_percentage : 0.403912
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0583415
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.574822
  22. volume_ema1 : 56261.128132821
  23. volume_ema2 : 132323.73210127
  24. chop : 65.2155
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 3.55912
  28. ema21 : 3.55536
  29. ema50 : 3.5693
  30. ema100 : 3.62009
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00418009
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00105821
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0039068
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0127332
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00693206
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00450403
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0239874
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0423198
  41. rsi : 0.573327
  42. adx : 0.187055
  43. kc_percentage : 0.757779
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0202115
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.537609
  46. volume_ema1 : 12294.664533431
  47. volume_ema2 : 26589.365736884
  48. chop : 38.7564
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 3.5663
  52. ema21 : 3.55679
  53. ema50 : 3.55322
  54. ema100 : 3.55538
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00215888
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00267241
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00100535
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0052353
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0590175
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.034347
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0118667
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00333151
  65. rsi : 0.636923
  66. adx : 0.270947
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02081
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00900351
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.168685
  70. volume_ema1 : 4254.5927580881
  71. volume_ema2 : 5117.9093180031
  72. chop : 38.9838
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85960.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00490231
  78. 5m_price: 
    86381.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.74248
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87039.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0081999
  83. 15m_price: 
    86325.8
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.036438
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    89100.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0305134
  88. 1H_price: 
    86381.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.019744
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.941
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                    [1] => 3.885
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 21:00:00
                    [1] => 4.003
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                    [1] => 3.697
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
                    [1] => 3.881
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 09:00:00
                    [1] => 3.777
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 12:00:00
                    [1] => 3.457
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
                    [1] => 3.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 3.486
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
                    [1] => 3.585
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.30683403068341
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5243832472748
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8399311531842
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 07:45:00
                    [1] => 3.757
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 09:15:00
                    [1] => 3.777
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 12:45:00
                    [1] => 3.457
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.585
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                    [1] => 3.503
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
                    [1] => 3.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:30:00
                    [1] => 3.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:15:00
                    [1] => 3.577
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 3.486
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:30:00
                    [1] => 3.585
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.30683403068341
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5243832472748
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8399311531842
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 19:55:00
                    [1] => 3.536
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
                    [1] => 3.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:25:00
                    [1] => 3.577
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                    [1] => 3.533
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:50:00
                    [1] => 3.567
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:10:00
                    [1] => 3.567
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 3.486
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 00:45:00
                    [1] => 3.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 00:55:00
                    [1] => 3.542
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:30:00
                    [1] => 3.585
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.30683403068341
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.90344438170525
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2140033879164
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.31%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.90%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.21%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0014
0.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0632
1.78%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 19:55:00 3.536 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:35:00 3.52 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:25:00 3.577 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 3.533 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:50:00 3.567 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:10:00 3.567 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 3.486 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 00:45:00 3.56 ↑ High
2025-12-16 00:55:00 3.542 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:30:00 3.585 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.31%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.52%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.84%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1906
5.31%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0922
2.60%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 07:45:00 3.757 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:15:00 3.777 ↑ High
2025-12-15 12:45:00 3.457 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 3.585 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 3.503 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:00:00 3.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:30:00 3.52 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:15:00 3.577 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 3.486 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:30:00 3.585 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.31%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.52%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.84%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4166
11.62%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0922
2.60%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 14:00:00 3.941 ↑ High
2025-12-13 16:00:00 3.885 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 21:00:00 4.003 ↑ High
2025-12-14 18:00:00 3.697 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 00:00:00 3.881 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:00:00 3.777 ↑ High
2025-12-15 12:00:00 3.457 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:00:00 3.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:00:00 3.486 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:00:00 3.585 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
01:39:08		 16 Dec 2025
01:55:00		 15 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.574 3.5864 3.5492 2 1.634
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.574
  • Stop Loss: 3.5864
  • Take Profit: 3.5492

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.5864 - 3.574 = 0.0124

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.574 - 3.5492 = 0.0248

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0248 / 0.0124 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2301.9142 100 644.0722 23.02
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0124

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0124 = 645.16

Taille de position USD = 645.16 x 3.574 = 2305.8

Donc, tu peux acheter 645.16 avec un stoploss a 3.5864

Avec un position size USD de 2305.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 645.16 x 0.0124 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 645.16 x 0.0248 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 645.16
  • Taille de position USD 2305.8
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.69 % 15.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.35 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -0.35
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5316 % 153.2 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5492
            [entry_price] => 3.574
            [stop_loss] => 3.58764
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5492
            [entry_price] => 3.574
            [stop_loss] => 3.58888
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5492
            [entry_price] => 3.574
            [stop_loss] => 3.59012
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5492
            [entry_price] => 3.574
            [stop_loss] => 3.5926
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.053
            [max_drawdown] => 0.02
            [rr_ratio] => 2.65
            [high] => 3.59400000
            [low] => 3.52100000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.48
            [mae_pct] => 0.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.65
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:39:08-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T03:39:08-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.053
            [max_drawdown] => 0.081
            [rr_ratio] => 0.65
            [high] => 3.65500000
            [low] => 3.52100000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.48
            [mae_pct] => 2.27
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.65
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:39:08-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T08:39:08-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.58500000
            [high_after] => 3.64100000
            [low_before] => 3.48600000
            [low_after] => 3.52100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)