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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 16 Dec 2025 at 01:46:28

Take profit at 12.2119 (0.58 %) and Stop Loss at 12.3185 (0.29 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 16 Dec 2025 at 01:46:28

With 225.0632 AVAX at 12.283$ per unit.

Position size of 2764.4516 $

Take profit at 12.2119 (0.58 %) and Stop Loss at 12.3185 (0.29 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 3.99
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.76
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.87
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.710279

15m : 0.263846

1H : -0.090579

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.02369704449
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.2828
  4. ema21 : 12.4632
  5. ema50 : 12.7518
  6. ema100 : 12.996
  7. price_ema9_diff : 1.13843E-5
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0144717
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0226377
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0548675
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.259066
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.271593
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.187891
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.123136
  17. rsi : 0.341915
  18. adx : 0.446655
  19. kc_percentage : 0.18272
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0425753
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.331224
  22. volume_ema1 : 462180.45595633
  23. volume_ema2 : 691084.27652307
  24. chop : 59.6126
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 12.2426
  28. ema21 : 12.2454
  29. ema50 : 12.3393
  30. ema100 : 12.5364
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00329754
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000233158
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00760492
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0202179
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.00928031
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.024154
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0480108
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0564328
  41. rsi : 0.535397
  42. adx : 0.403884
  43. kc_percentage : 0.695239
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0162406
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.354908
  46. volume_ema1 : 92978.807544618
  47. volume_ema2 : 144132.82128678
  48. chop : 47.8909
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 12.2549
  52. ema21 : 12.2343
  53. ema50 : 12.232
  54. ema100 : 12.2517
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00228719
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00168491
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000191262
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00254793
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0399584
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0233225
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00577759
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00142441
  65. rsi : 0.648016
  66. adx : 0.203435
  67. kc_percentage : 1.04878
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00707695
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.141242
  70. volume_ema1 : 34302.330220222
  71. volume_ema2 : 39944.133226772
  72. chop : 49.2408
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85995.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00465994
  78. 5m_price: 
    86396.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.710279
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87012.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0070799
  83. 15m_price: 
    86396.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.263846
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    89100.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0303549
  88. 1H_price: 
    86396.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.090579
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 01:00:00
                    [1] => 13.783
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
                    [1] => 12.795
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
                    [1] => 13.462
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
                    [1] => 13.218
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                    [1] => 13.231
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                    [1] => 12.953
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                    [1] => 12.72
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 05:00:00
                    [1] => 13.347
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 12.181
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 12.046
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -7.9643365550311
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9757595882451
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1207039681222
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 05:30:00
                    [1] => 13.347
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 09:15:00
                    [1] => 13.199
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
                    [1] => 12.181
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 12.469
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                    [1] => 12.237
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
                    [1] => 12.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 12.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                    [1] => 12.326
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 12.046
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:45:00
                    [1] => 12.288
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.03255208333333
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9757595882451
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.008965631745
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 12.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:45:00
                    [1] => 12.304
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:05:00
                    [1] => 12.207
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                    [1] => 12.326
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                    [1] => 12.177
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 12.276
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 12.046
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 00:10:00
                    [1] => 12.222
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 00:35:00
                    [1] => 12.177
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:45:00
                    [1] => 12.288
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.03255208333333
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.87870575675455
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.91155457009116
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.88%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.91%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0075
0.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1659
1.36%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 20:00:00 12.16 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:45:00 12.304 ↑ High
2025-12-15 21:05:00 12.207 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 12.326 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 12.177 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 12.276 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 12.046 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 00:10:00 12.222 ↑ High
2025-12-16 00:35:00 12.177 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:45:00 12.288 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.98%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.01%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.0285
8.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1659
1.36%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 05:30:00 13.347 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:15:00 13.199 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:30:00 12.181 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 12.469 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 12.237 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:00:00 12.37 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:00:00 12.16 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 12.326 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 12.046 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:45:00 12.288 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-7.96%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.98%
Bars Since Swing High
20 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.12%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.4645
11.89%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1659
1.36%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-12 01:00:00 13.783 ↑ High
2025-12-12 11:00:00 12.795 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 05:00:00 13.462 ↑ High
2025-12-13 09:00:00 13.218 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 16:00:00 13.231 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 06:00:00 12.953 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 18:00:00 12.72 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 05:00:00 13.347 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 12.181 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 12.046 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
01:46:28		 16 Dec 2025
01:55:00		 8 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.283 12.3185 12.2119 2 9.293
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.283
  • Stop Loss: 12.3185
  • Take Profit: 12.2119

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.3185 - 12.283 = 0.035500000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.283 - 12.2119 = 0.071099999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.071099999999999 / 0.035500000000001 = 2.0028

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2764.4516 100 225.0632 27.64
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.035500000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.035500000000001 = 225.35

Taille de position USD = 225.35 x 12.283 = 2767.97

Donc, tu peux acheter 225.35 avec un stoploss a 12.3185

Avec un position size USD de 2767.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 225.35 x 0.035500000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 225.35 x 0.071099999999999 = 16.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 225.35
  • Taille de position USD 2767.97
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0028

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.58 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.29 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -0.29
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3908 % 135.22 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2119
            [entry_price] => 12.283
            [stop_loss] => 12.32205
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2119
            [entry_price] => 12.283
            [stop_loss] => 12.3256
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2119
            [entry_price] => 12.283
            [stop_loss] => 12.32915
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2119
            [entry_price] => 12.283
            [stop_loss] => 12.33625
            [rr_ratio] => 1.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.126
            [max_drawdown] => 0.048
            [rr_ratio] => 2.62
            [high] => 12.33100000
            [low] => 12.15700000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.03
            [mae_pct] => 0.39
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.62
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:46:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T03:46:28-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.353
            [max_drawdown] => 0.112
            [rr_ratio] => 3.15
            [high] => 12.39500000
            [low] => 11.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.87
            [mae_pct] => 0.91
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.15
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:46:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T08:46:28-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.28800000
            [high_after] => 12.39200000
            [low_before] => 12.04600000
            [low_after] => 12.13500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)