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Short Trade on SPX

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Short Trade on SPX 16 Dec 2025 at 01:49:04

Take profit at 0.5079 (0.84 %) and Stop Loss at 0.5143 (0.41 %)

Short Trade on SPX

The 16 Dec 2025 at 01:49:04

With 3738.9457 SPX at 0.5122$ per unit.

Position size of 1915.088 $

Take profit at 0.5079 (0.84 %) and Stop Loss at 0.5143 (0.41 %)

That's a 2.05 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.13
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.88
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.74
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.709497

15m : 0.29857

1H : -0.113031

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.001426427049
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.511263
  4. ema21 : 0.521505
  5. ema50 : 0.542043
  6. ema100 : 0.563506
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00183179
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0196397
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0378899
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0910488
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.323441
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.356584
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.282931
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.20417
  17. rsi : 0.38147
  18. adx : 0.461076
  19. kc_percentage : 0.282117
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0755928
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.551732
  22. volume_ema1 : 87516.972441674
  23. volume_ema2 : 195233.86429764
  24. chop : 64.5798
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.509495
  28. ema21 : 0.509102
  29. ema50 : 0.514203
  30. ema100 : 0.524989
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00530821
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000772056
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00991975
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0243619
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0242239
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0254814
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0638867
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0745134
  41. rsi : 0.552382
  42. adx : 0.29758
  43. kc_percentage : 0.75428
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0243161
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.595449
  46. volume_ema1 : 14618.191539229
  47. volume_ema2 : 36134.443412712
  48. chop : 41.5395
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.51102
  52. ema21 : 0.509418
  53. ema50 : 0.508555
  54. ema100 : 0.50978
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00230812
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00314535
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00169652
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00474605
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0517621
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0480736
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0202589
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00307629
  65. rsi : 0.635524
  66. adx : 0.240131
  67. kc_percentage : 1.0123
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0102203
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.512241
  70. volume_ema1 : 3636.7512513053
  71. volume_ema2 : 7456.0490083692
  72. chop : 60.7606
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85995
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0044867
  78. 5m_price: 
    86380.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.709497
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87011.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00725116
  83. 15m_price: 
    86380.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.29857
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    89100.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0305222
  88. 1H_price: 
    86380.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.113031
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5724
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 03:00:00
                    [1] => 0.6001
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5848
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.6074
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                    [1] => 0.537
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 01:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5671
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 0.4985
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5227
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 0.4949
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5133
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21429962984609
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4956556880178
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7179228126894
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
                    [1] => 0.4985
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5214
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                    [1] => 0.5063
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 16:30:00
                    [1] => 0.5191
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 17:15:00
                    [1] => 0.5128
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:30:00
                    [1] => 0.5227
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5029
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                    [1] => 0.5122
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 0.4949
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:30:00
                    [1] => 0.5133
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21429962984609
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4956556880178
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7179228126894
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:35:00
                    [1] => 0.5227
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 19:55:00
                    [1] => 0.5061
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
                    [1] => 0.5054
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:05:00
                    [1] => 0.5029
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                    [1] => 0.5122
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                    [1] => 0.503
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 0.4949
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 00:35:00
                    [1] => 0.5114
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
                    [1] => 0.5085
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:30:00
                    [1] => 0.5133
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21429962984609
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.72763028515242
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.94395280235989
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.73%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.94%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0084
1.63%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0130
2.56%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 18:35:00 0.5227 ↑ High
2025-12-15 19:55:00 0.5061 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:35:00 0.5054 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:05:00 0.5029 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 0.5122 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 0.503 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:45:00 0.4949 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 00:35:00 0.5114 ↑ High
2025-12-16 01:00:00 0.5085 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:30:00 0.5133 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.50%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.72%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0084
1.63%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0130
2.56%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 13:30:00 0.4985 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 0.5214 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 0.5063 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 16:30:00 0.5191 ↑ High
2025-12-15 17:15:00 0.5128 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:30:00 0.5227 ↑ High
2025-12-15 21:00:00 0.5029 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 0.5122 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 0.4949 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:30:00 0.5133 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.50%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.72%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0931
18.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0130
2.56%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-12 11:00:00 0.5724 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 03:00:00 0.6001 ↑ High
2025-12-13 09:00:00 0.5848 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 14:00:00 0.6074 ↑ High
2025-12-14 18:00:00 0.537 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 01:00:00 0.5671 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 0.4985 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:00:00 0.5227 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:00:00 0.4949 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:00:00 0.5133 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
01:49:04		 16 Dec 2025
01:50:00		 56 seconds

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5122 0.5143 0.5079 2.05 0.3272
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5122
  • Stop Loss: 0.5143
  • Take Profit: 0.5079

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5143 - 0.5122 = 0.0021

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5122 - 0.5079 = 0.0043

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0043 / 0.0021 = 2.0476

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1915.088 100 3738.9457 19.15
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0021

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0021 = 3809.52

Taille de position USD = 3809.52 x 0.5122 = 1951.24

Donc, tu peux acheter 3809.52 avec un stoploss a 0.5143

Avec un position size USD de 1951.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3809.52 x 0.0021 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3809.52 x 0.0043 = 16.38

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.38$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3809.52
  • Taille de position USD 1951.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.38
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0476

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.84 % 16.08 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.41 % 7.85 $
PNL PNL %
-7.85 $ -0.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6248 % 152.39 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5079
            [entry_price] => 0.5122
            [stop_loss] => 0.51451
            [rr_ratio] => 1.86
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5079
            [entry_price] => 0.5122
            [stop_loss] => 0.51472
            [rr_ratio] => 1.71
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5079
            [entry_price] => 0.5122
            [stop_loss] => 0.51493
            [rr_ratio] => 1.58
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5079
            [entry_price] => 0.5122
            [stop_loss] => 0.51535
            [rr_ratio] => 1.37
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.007
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0071
            [rr_ratio] => 0.99
            [high] => 0.51930000
            [low] => 0.50520000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.37
            [mae_pct] => 1.39
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.99
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:49:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T03:49:04-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0094
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0164
            [rr_ratio] => 0.57
            [high] => 0.52860000
            [low] => 0.50280000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.84
            [mae_pct] => 3.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.57
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:49:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T08:49:04-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.51330000
            [high_after] => 0.52080000
            [low_before] => 0.49490000
            [low_after] => 0.50280000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)