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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 16 Dec 2025 at 01:58:28

Take profit at 12.2489 (0.59 %) and Stop Loss at 12.3586 (0.3 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 16 Dec 2025 at 01:58:28

With 218.7755 AVAX at 12.322$ per unit.

Position size of 2695.752 $

Take profit at 12.2489 (0.59 %) and Stop Loss at 12.3586 (0.3 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 7.07
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.87
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.92
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.713178

15m : -0.078122

1H : -0.049222

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.28
  4. atr: 0.02437810789
Details
  1. score: 1.28
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.2906
  4. ema21 : 12.4667
  5. ema50 : 12.7534
  6. ema100 : 12.9968
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00254989
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0141263
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0224769
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0519229
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.253938
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.2693
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.186914
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.122648
  17. rsi : 0.369824
  18. adx : 0.441136
  19. kc_percentage : 0.259041
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0439988
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.31738
  22. volume_ema1 : 472583.08328966
  23. volume_ema2 : 692308.11503287
  24. chop : 59.6763
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 12.2428
  28. ema21 : 12.2455
  29. ema50 : 12.3393
  30. ema100 : 12.5364
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00646669
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000224248
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00760071
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0171085
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.00914432
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0240923
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0479845
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0564197
  41. rsi : 0.536586
  42. adx : 0.402439
  43. kc_percentage : 0.886392
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0163515
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.339922
  46. volume_ema1 : 95320.695677951
  47. volume_ema2 : 144408.33753776
  48. chop : 47.116
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 12.2774
  52. ema21 : 12.2487
  53. ema50 : 12.2381
  54. ema100 : 12.2512
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00362704
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00234613
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00086474
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00577285
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0547638
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0333004
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0116996
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00234658
  65. rsi : 0.712696
  66. adx : 0.239019
  67. kc_percentage : 1.28034
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00747202
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.416221
  70. volume_ema1 : 22148.369090469
  71. volume_ema2 : 37939.665483924
  72. chop : 37.7444
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86011.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0056828
  78. 5m_price: 
    86500.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.713178
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87012
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00714976
  83. 15m_price: 
    86389.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.078122
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    89102.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0292057
  88. 1H_price: 
    86500.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.049222
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
                    [1] => 12.795
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
                    [1] => 13.462
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
                    [1] => 13.218
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                    [1] => 13.231
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                    [1] => 12.953
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                    [1] => 12.72
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 05:00:00
                    [1] => 13.347
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 12.181
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 12.046
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
                    [1] => 12.331
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.072986781282948
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2912170014943
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3659305993691
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 05:30:00
                    [1] => 13.347
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 09:15:00
                    [1] => 13.199
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
                    [1] => 12.181
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 12.469
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                    [1] => 12.237
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
                    [1] => 12.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 12.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                    [1] => 12.326
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 12.046
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:45:00
                    [1] => 12.331
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.072986781282948
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2912170014943
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3659305993691
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 12.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:45:00
                    [1] => 12.304
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:05:00
                    [1] => 12.207
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                    [1] => 12.326
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                    [1] => 12.177
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 12.276
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 12.046
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 00:10:00
                    [1] => 12.222
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 00:35:00
                    [1] => 12.177
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
                    [1] => 12.331
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.072986781282948
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1907694834524
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2646793134598
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.19%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.26%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0276
0.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2029
1.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 20:00:00 12.16 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:45:00 12.304 ↑ High
2025-12-15 21:05:00 12.207 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 12.326 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 12.177 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 12.276 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 12.046 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 00:10:00 12.222 ↑ High
2025-12-16 00:35:00 12.177 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:55:00 12.331 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.29%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.37%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.9884
8.00%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2029
1.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 05:30:00 13.347 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:15:00 13.199 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:30:00 12.181 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 12.469 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 12.237 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:00:00 12.37 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:00:00 12.16 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 12.326 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 12.046 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:45:00 12.331 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.29%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.37%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.1034
8.93%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2029
1.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-12 11:00:00 12.795 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 05:00:00 13.462 ↑ High
2025-12-13 09:00:00 13.218 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 16:00:00 13.231 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 06:00:00 12.953 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 18:00:00 12.72 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 05:00:00 13.347 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 12.181 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 12.046 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:00:00 12.331 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
01:58:28		 16 Dec 2025
02:15:00		 16 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.322 12.3586 12.2489 2 9.344
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.322
  • Stop Loss: 12.3586
  • Take Profit: 12.2489

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.3586 - 12.322 = 0.0366

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.322 - 12.2489 = 0.073099999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.073099999999998 / 0.0366 = 1.9973

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2695.752 100 218.7755 26.96
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0366

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0366 = 218.58

Taille de position USD = 218.58 x 12.322 = 2693.34

Donc, tu peux acheter 218.58 avec un stoploss a 12.3586

Avec un position size USD de 2693.34$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 218.58 x 0.0366 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 218.58 x 0.073099999999998 = 15.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 218.58
  • Taille de position USD 2693.34
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9973

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.59 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.3 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 0.59
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0487 % 16.4 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2488
            [stop_loss] => 12.3586
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2305
            [stop_loss] => 12.3586
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2122
            [stop_loss] => 12.3586
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1939
            [stop_loss] => 12.3586
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1756
            [stop_loss] => 12.3586
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1573
            [stop_loss] => 12.3586
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.139
            [stop_loss] => 12.3586
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 04:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1207
            [stop_loss] => 12.3586
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1024
            [stop_loss] => 12.3586
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0841
            [stop_loss] => 12.3586
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0658
            [stop_loss] => 12.3586
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.179
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0060000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 29.83
            [high] => 12.32800000
            [low] => 12.14300000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.45
            [mae_pct] => 0.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 29.83
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:58:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T03:58:28-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.392
            [max_drawdown] => 0.073
            [rr_ratio] => 5.37
            [high] => 12.39500000
            [low] => 11.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.18
            [mae_pct] => 0.59
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.37
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T01:58:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T08:58:28-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.33100000
            [high_after] => 12.39200000
            [low_before] => 12.04600000
            [low_after] => 12.13500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)