Short Trade on TRUMP 16 Dec 2025 at 02:02:57

Take profit at 5.2724 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 5.3003 (0.18 %)

Short Trade on TRUMP

The 16 Dec 2025 at 02:02:57

With 860.8412 TRUMP at 5.291$ per unit.

Position size of 4554.7108 $

Take profit at 5.2724 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 5.3003 (0.18 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.86
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.711471

15m : -0.002977

1H : -0.028225

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.16
  4. atr: 0.006195490272
Details
  1. score: 1.16
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 5.28368
  4. ema21 : 5.31918
  5. ema50 : 5.39407
  6. ema100 : 5.47188
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0013837
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00667409
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0138823
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0330571
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.104825
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.132061
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.107451
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0785319
  17. rsi : 0.396432
  18. adx : 0.495979
  19. kc_percentage : 0.314426
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0254933
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.658437
  22. volume_ema1 : 70966.386294638
  23. volume_ema2 : 207769.93286093
  24. chop : 54.8118
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 5.27682
  29. ema21 : 5.27429
  30. ema50 : 5.29339
  31. ema100 : 5.33855
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00268593
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000480032
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00360907
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00890772
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0142422
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.00701379
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0231297
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0295748
  42. rsi : 0.566459
  43. adx : 0.302762
  44. kc_percentage : 0.806816
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0104128
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.459949
  47. volume_ema1 : 18334.601077
  48. volume_ema2 : 33949.781482883
  49. chop : 36.2314
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 5.28032
  54. ema21 : 5.27453
  55. ema50 : 5.27104
  56. ema100 : 5.27511
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0020217
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00109691
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000662362
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00301094
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0196717
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0190073
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0086048
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00200831
  67. rsi : 0.666722
  68. adx : 0.211943
  69. kc_percentage : 1.16481
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00457104
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.165025
  72. volume_ema1 : 7184.9064888108
  73. volume_ema2 : 8604.9450126777
  74. chop : 50.5781
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86016.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00554965
  81. 5m_price:
    86494.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.711471
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87011.6
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00594778
  86. 15m_price:
    86494.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.002977
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89067.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0288894
  91. 1H_price:
    86494.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.028225
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 07:00:00
                        [1] => 5.532
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 15:00:00
                        [1] => 5.586
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 17:00:00
                        [1] => 5.538
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 5.447
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                        [1] => 5.347
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 01:00:00
                        [1] => 5.513
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 5.223
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5.333
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 5.205
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
                        [1] => 5.293
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.037785754770447
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6522574447647
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6906820365034
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 07:45:00
                        [1] => 5.485
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 09:15:00
                        [1] => 5.483
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
                        [1] => 5.223
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                        [1] => 5.312
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                        [1] => 5.252
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5.333
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:30:00
                        [1] => 5.262
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                        [1] => 5.288
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 5.205
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
                        [1] => 5.293
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.037785754770447
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6522574447647
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6906820365034
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                        [1] => 5.275
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
                        [1] => 5.262
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:05:00
                        [1] => 5.262
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:25:00
                        [1] => 5.288
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                        [1] => 5.244
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 5.269
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 5.205
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 01:20:00
                        [1] => 5.287
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 01:45:00
                        [1] => 5.268
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
                        [1] => 5.293
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.037785754770447
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.43659832953684
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.47456340167047
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.44%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0073
0.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0674
1.28%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 20:00:00 5.275 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:35:00 5.262 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:05:00 5.262 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:25:00 5.288 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 5.244 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 5.269 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 5.205 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:20:00 5.287 ↑ High
2025-12-16 01:45:00 5.268 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 02:00:00 5.293 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.65%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.69%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1847
3.48%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0674
1.28%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 07:45:00 5.485 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:15:00 5.483 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:30:00 5.223 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 5.312 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 5.252 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 19:00:00 5.333 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:30:00 5.262 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 5.288 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 5.205 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 02:00:00 5.293 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.65%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.69%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2857
5.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0674
1.28%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 07:00:00 5.532 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 15:00:00 5.586 ↑ High
2025-12-13 17:00:00 5.538 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 06:00:00 5.447 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 18:00:00 5.347 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 01:00:00 5.513 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 5.223 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 19:00:00 5.333 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:00:00 5.205 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 02:00:00 5.293 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
02:02:57
16 Dec 2025
02:40:00
37 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.291 5.3003 5.2724 2 3.524
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.291
  • Stop Loss: 5.3003
  • Take Profit: 5.2724

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5.3003 - 5.291 = 0.0092999999999996

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.291 - 5.2724 = 0.0186

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0186 / 0.0092999999999996 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4554.7108 100 860.8412 45.55
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0092999999999996

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0092999999999996 = 860.22

Taille de position USD = 860.22 x 5.291 = 4551.42

Donc, tu peux acheter 860.22 avec un stoploss a 5.3003

Avec un position size USD de 4551.42$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 860.22 x 0.0092999999999996 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 860.22 x 0.0186 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 860.22
  • Taille de position USD 4551.42
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.35 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.18 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 0.35
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0189 % 10.75 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2724
            [stop_loss] => 5.3003
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.26775
            [stop_loss] => 5.3003
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2631
            [stop_loss] => 5.3003
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.25845
            [stop_loss] => 5.3003
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2538
            [stop_loss] => 5.3003
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 03:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.24915
            [stop_loss] => 5.3003
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2445
            [stop_loss] => 5.3003
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.23985
            [stop_loss] => 5.3003
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2352
            [stop_loss] => 5.3003
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 06:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.23055
            [stop_loss] => 5.3003
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 06:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2259
            [stop_loss] => 5.3003
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 08:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.04
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00099999999999945
            [rr_ratio] => 40
            [high] => 5.29200000
            [low] => 5.25100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.76
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 40
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T02:02:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T04:02:57-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.125
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00099999999999945
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 5.29200000
            [low] => 5.16600000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.36
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 125
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T02:02:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T09:02:57-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5.29300000
            [high_after] => 5.29200000
            [low_before] => 5.20500000
            [low_after] => 5.22200000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)