Short Trade on BTC 16 Dec 2025 at 02:05:38

Take profit at 86176.1855 (0.36 %) and Stop Loss at 86648.7072 (0.18 %)

Short Trade on BTC

The 16 Dec 2025 at 02:05:38

With 0.05079 BTC at 86491.2$ per unit.

Position size of 4393.0017 $

Take profit at 86176.1855 (0.36 %) and Stop Loss at 86648.7072 (0.18 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 4.32
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.95
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.74
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 1

15m : -0.059344

1H : 0.10478

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 105.0048301
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 86220.2
  4. ema21 : 86749
  5. ema50 : 87897.5
  6. ema100 : 89067.1
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00314304
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00609589
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0130668
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0289213
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0932757
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.132037
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.104927
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0752993
  17. rsi : 0.414732
  18. adx : 0.473822
  19. kc_percentage : 0.408074
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0261563
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.466467
  22. volume_ema1 : 74465851.132803
  23. volume_ema2 : 139571255.01084
  24. chop : 69.1882
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 86232.1
  29. ema21 : 86091.3
  30. ema50 : 86308.1
  31. ema100 : 87011.5
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00300383
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0016363
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00251266
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00598045
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0377459
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0128396
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0124199
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0241591
  42. rsi : 0.63658
  43. adx : 0.271378
  44. kc_percentage : 0.946648
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0102604
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.227061
  47. volume_ema1 : 24269061.721105
  48. volume_ema2 : 31398457.645352
  49. chop : 38.822
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 86411.5
  54. ema21 : 86255.6
  55. ema50 : 86086.1
  56. ema100 : 86046.6
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.000921887
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00180781
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00196862
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00516634
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0364866
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0315176
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0182369
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00889906
  67. rsi : 0.686565
  68. adx : 0.33268
  69. kc_percentage : 1.06771
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0045742
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.192674
  72. volume_ema1 : 6986167.6619298
  73. volume_ema2 : 8653467.8205168
  74. chop : 38.1186
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86046.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00516634
  81. 5m_price:
    86491.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    1
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87011.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00598045
  86. 15m_price:
    86491.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.059344
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89067.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0289213
  91. 1H_price:
    86491.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.10478
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
                        [1] => 90594.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
                        [1] => 89900
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                        [1] => 89730.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 19:00:00
                        [1] => 90450
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                        [1] => 87530.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                        [1] => 89991.2
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 89941.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 85111
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 85228.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
                        [1] => 86590.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11617902656759
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4803785601479
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5984146092491
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 04:45:00
                        [1] => 89941.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 09:30:00
                        [1] => 89838.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
                        [1] => 85111
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                        [1] => 86530.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
                        [1] => 85500.7
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 86494.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:30:00
                        [1] => 85635.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:15:00
                        [1] => 86199.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 85228.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 01:45:00
                        [1] => 86590.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11617902656759
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4803785601479
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5984146092491
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 18:20:00
                        [1] => 86089.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:05:00
                        [1] => 86494.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                        [1] => 85680
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:10:00
                        [1] => 86135
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:35:00
                        [1] => 85635.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:25:00
                        [1] => 86199.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                        [1] => 85350
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 85899.2
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 85228.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
                        [1] => 86590.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11617902656759
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4803785601479
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 28
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5984146092491
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.48%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
28 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.60%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
58.2072
0.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
947.9855
1.10%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 18:20:00 86089.3 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 19:05:00 86494.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:00:00 85680 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:10:00 86135 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:35:00 85635.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:25:00 86199.3 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 85350 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 85899.2 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 85228.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:50:00 86590.5 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.48%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.60%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3,292.8928
3.80%
TP to Pivot Distance
1,065.1855
1.24%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 04:45:00 89941.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:30:00 89838.3 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:30:00 85111 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 86530.4 ↑ High
2025-12-15 16:00:00 85500.7 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 19:00:00 86494.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:30:00 85635.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:15:00 86199.3 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 85228.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:45:00 86590.5 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.48%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.60%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3,945.3928
4.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
1,065.1855
1.24%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 05:00:00 90594.1 ↑ High
2025-12-13 09:00:00 89900 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 16:00:00 89730.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 19:00:00 90450 ↑ High
2025-12-14 18:00:00 87530.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 21:00:00 89991.2 ↑ High
2025-12-15 04:00:00 89941.6 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 85111 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 85228.2 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:00:00 86590.5 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
02:05:38
16 Dec 2025
02:15:00
9 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
86491.2 86648.7072 86176.1855 2 67181.9
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 86491.2
  • Stop Loss: 86648.7072
  • Take Profit: 86176.1855

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 86648.7072 - 86491.2 = 157.50720000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 86491.2 - 86176.1855 = 315.01449999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 315.01449999999 / 157.50720000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4393.0017 100 0.05079 43.93
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 157.50720000001

Taille de position = 8 / 157.50720000001 = 0.05

Taille de position USD = 0.05 x 86491.2 = 4324.56

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.05 avec un stoploss a 86648.7072

Avec un position size USD de 4324.56$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.05 x 157.50720000001 = 7.88

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.88$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.05 x 315.01449999999 = 15.75

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.75$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.05
  • Taille de position USD 4324.56
  • Perte potentielle 7.88
  • Gain potentiel 15.75
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.36 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.18 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.36
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0016 % 0.88 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 86176.1856
            [stop_loss] => 86648.7072
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 86097.432
            [stop_loss] => 86648.7072
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 86018.6784
            [stop_loss] => 86648.7072
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85939.9248
            [stop_loss] => 86648.7072
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85861.1712
            [stop_loss] => 86648.7072
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85782.4176
            [stop_loss] => 86648.7072
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85703.664
            [stop_loss] => 86648.7072
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85624.9104
            [stop_loss] => 86648.7072
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85546.1568
            [stop_loss] => 86648.7072
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85467.4032
            [stop_loss] => 86648.7072
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 85388.6496
            [stop_loss] => 86648.7072
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 680.2
            [max_drawdown] => 1.4000000000087
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 86492.60000000
            [low] => 85811.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.79
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 485.86
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T02:05:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T04:05:38-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 680.2
            [max_drawdown] => 1258.8
            [rr_ratio] => 0.54
            [high] => 87750.00000000
            [low] => 85811.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.79
            [mae_pct] => 1.46
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.54
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T02:05:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T09:05:38-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 86590.50000000
            [high_after] => 87444.90000000
            [low_before] => 85228.20000000
            [low_after] => 85811.00000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)