Short Trade on AVAX 16 Dec 2025 at 02:06:52

Take profit at 12.2531 (0.55 %) and Stop Loss at 12.355 (0.28 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 16 Dec 2025 at 02:06:52

With 235.4863 AVAX at 12.321$ per unit.

Position size of 2901.4261 $

Take profit at 12.2531 (0.55 %) and Stop Loss at 12.355 (0.28 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 7.12
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.96
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.65
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.88
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.707531

15m : -0.058544

1H : 0.047289

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.2
  4. atr: 0.02264817284
Details
  1. score: 1.2
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.2967
  4. ema21 : 12.4535
  5. ema50 : 12.7363
  6. ema100 : 12.9823
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00197384
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0125899
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0222046
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0509436
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.212415
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.2494
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.181469
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.120981
  17. rsi : 0.369394
  18. adx : 0.440649
  19. kc_percentage : 0.259267
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0401539
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.515052
  22. volume_ema1 : 319808.76585977
  23. volume_ema2 : 659471.40465641
  24. chop : 59.0884
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.2645
  29. ema21 : 12.2555
  30. ema50 : 12.3404
  31. ema100 : 12.5357
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00460323
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000731853
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00687861
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0171344
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.00824378
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0145964
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0431101
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0542435
  42. rsi : 0.576219
  43. adx : 0.370228
  44. kc_percentage : 0.825403
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0165259
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.470401
  47. volume_ema1 : 73674.333585301
  48. volume_ema2 : 139113.67156646
  49. chop : 40.6387
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.2926
  54. ema21 : 12.261
  55. ema50 : 12.2449
  56. ema100 : 12.2581
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00230542
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00257985
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00131173
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00512993
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0575152
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0384545
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0154257
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00396202
  67. rsi : 0.702753
  68. adx : 0.271487
  69. kc_percentage : 1.19764
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00677681
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.631943
  72. volume_ema1 : 13171.549540209
  73. volume_ema2 : 35786.737168456
  74. chop : 36.4
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86047
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00542262
  81. 5m_price:
    86513.7
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.707531
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87012
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00572695
  86. 15m_price:
    86513.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.058544
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89067.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0286736
  91. 1H_price:
    86513.7
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.047289
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
                        [1] => 12.795
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
                        [1] => 13.462
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
                        [1] => 13.218
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                        [1] => 13.231
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 12.953
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                        [1] => 12.72
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 05:00:00
                        [1] => 13.347
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 12.181
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.046
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
                        [1] => 12.331
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12164463547157
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2414079362444
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3659305993691
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 05:30:00
                        [1] => 13.347
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 09:15:00
                        [1] => 13.199
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:30:00
                        [1] => 12.181
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                        [1] => 12.469
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                        [1] => 12.237
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
                        [1] => 12.37
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                        [1] => 12.16
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                        [1] => 12.326
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 12.046
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 01:45:00
                        [1] => 12.331
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12164463547157
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2414079362444
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3659305993691
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                        [1] => 12.16
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 20:45:00
                        [1] => 12.304
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:05:00
                        [1] => 12.207
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                        [1] => 12.326
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                        [1] => 12.177
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.276
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 12.046
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 00:10:00
                        [1] => 12.222
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 00:35:00
                        [1] => 12.177
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
                        [1] => 12.331
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12164463547157
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1414962634475
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2646793134598
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.14%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.26%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0240
0.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2071
1.69%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 20:00:00 12.16 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 20:45:00 12.304 ↑ High
2025-12-15 21:05:00 12.207 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 12.326 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 12.177 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 12.276 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 12.046 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 00:10:00 12.222 ↑ High
2025-12-16 00:35:00 12.177 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:55:00 12.331 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.24%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.37%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.9920
8.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2071
1.69%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 05:30:00 13.347 ↑ High
2025-12-15 09:15:00 13.199 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:30:00 12.181 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 14:00:00 12.469 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 12.237 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:00:00 12.37 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:00:00 12.16 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 12.326 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 12.046 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:45:00 12.331 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.24%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.37%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.1070
8.96%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2071
1.69%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-12 11:00:00 12.795 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 05:00:00 13.462 ↑ High
2025-12-13 09:00:00 13.218 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 16:00:00 13.231 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 06:00:00 12.953 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 18:00:00 12.72 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 05:00:00 13.347 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 12.181 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 12.046 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:00:00 12.331 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
02:06:52
16 Dec 2025
02:15:00
8 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.321 12.355 12.2531 2 9.259
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.321
  • Stop Loss: 12.355
  • Take Profit: 12.2531

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.355 - 12.321 = 0.034000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.321 - 12.2531 = 0.0679

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0679 / 0.034000000000001 = 1.9971

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2901.4261 100 235.4863 29.01
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.034000000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.034000000000001 = 235.29

Taille de position USD = 235.29 x 12.321 = 2899.01

Donc, tu peux acheter 235.29 avec un stoploss a 12.355

Avec un position size USD de 2899.01$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 235.29 x 0.034000000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 235.29 x 0.0679 = 15.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 235.29
  • Taille de position USD 2899.01
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9971

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.55 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.28 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 0.55
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.253
            [stop_loss] => 12.355
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.236
            [stop_loss] => 12.355
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.219
            [stop_loss] => 12.355
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.202
            [stop_loss] => 12.355
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.185
            [stop_loss] => 12.355
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.168
            [stop_loss] => 12.355
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.151
            [stop_loss] => 12.355
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 03:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.134
            [stop_loss] => 12.355
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.117
            [stop_loss] => 12.355
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1
            [stop_loss] => 12.355
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.083
            [stop_loss] => 12.355
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.178
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 12.31600000
            [low] => 12.14300000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.44
            [mae_pct] => -0.04
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T02:06:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T04:06:52-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.415
            [max_drawdown] => 0.074
            [rr_ratio] => 5.61
            [high] => 12.39500000
            [low] => 11.90600000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.37
            [mae_pct] => 0.6
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T02:06:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T09:06:52-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.33100000
            [high_after] => 12.39200000
            [low_before] => 12.04600000
            [low_after] => 12.13500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)