Short Trade on COIN 16 Dec 2025 at 02:21:23
Take profit at 248.4465 (0.094 %) and Stop Loss at 248.7968 (0.047 %)
Short Trade on COIN 16 Dec 2025 at 02:21:23
Take profit at 248.4465 (0.094 %) and Stop Loss at 248.7968 (0.047 %)
Position size of 17036.5988 $
Take profit at 248.4465 (0.094 %) and Stop Loss at 248.7968 (0.047 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.77 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.93 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.73 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.083444 15m : -0.032888 1H : -0.096477 |
2 |
Indicators:
86090.7
0.00110991
86186.3
0.083444
86996.7
-0.00935308
86183.1
-0.032888
89061.1
-0.032279
86186.3
-0.096477
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 07:00:00
[1] => 267.29
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 09:00:00
[1] => 267.29
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 11:00:00
[1] => 267.29
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 13:00:00
[1] => 267.29
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 15:00:00
[1] => 267.29
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
[1] => 264
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[1] => 267.7
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 05:00:00
[1] => 269.1
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
[1] => 246.09
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
[1] => 248.68
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0524604819375
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0524604819375
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:30:00
[1] => 267.76
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 10:00:00
[1] => 250.88
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 11:15:00
[1] => 258.08
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
[1] => 255.15
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 15:30:00
[1] => 246.98
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 18:15:00
[1] => 250.97
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 20:30:00
[1] => 246.71
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
[1] => 246.09
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:00:00
[1] => 246.25
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
[1] => 248.68
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.98680203045686
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.98680203045686
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:05:00
[1] => 246.74
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:15:00
[1] => 246.74
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:25:00
[1] => 246.74
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:40:00
[1] => 246.25
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:50:00
[1] => 246.25
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:00:00
[1] => 246.25
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:05:00
[1] => 247.05
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:35:00
[1] => 247
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:10:00
[1] => 248.68
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:20:00
[1] => 248.68
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.68016194331984
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 23:05:00 | 246.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:15:00 | 246.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:25:00 | 246.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:40:00 | 246.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 23:50:00 | 246.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 00:00:00 | 246.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 00:05:00 | 247.05 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 00:35:00 | 247 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 02:10:00 | 248.68 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 02:20:00 | 248.68 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 09:30:00 | 267.76 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 10:00:00 | 250.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 11:15:00 | 258.08 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 14:00:00 | 255.15 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 15:30:00 | 246.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 18:15:00 | 250.97 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 20:30:00 | 246.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 22:30:00 | 246.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 00:00:00 | 246.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 02:00:00 | 248.68 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 07:00:00 | 267.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 09:00:00 | 267.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 11:00:00 | 267.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 13:00:00 | 267.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 15:00:00 | 267.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 20:00:00 | 264 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 267.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 05:00:00 | 269.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 22:00:00 | 246.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 02:00:00 | 248.68 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 02:21:23 |
16 Dec 2025 02:45:00 |
23 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 248.68 | 248.7968 | 248.4465 | 2 | 182.42 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 248.7968 - 248.68 = 0.11679999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 248.68 - 248.4465 = 0.23350000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.23350000000002 / 0.11679999999998 = 1.9991
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17036.5988 | 100 | 68.5081 | 170.37 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.11679999999998 = 68.49
Taille de position USD = 68.49 x 248.68 = 17032.09
Donc, tu peux acheter 68.49 avec un stoploss a 248.7968
Avec un position size USD de 17032.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 68.49 x 0.11679999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 68.49 x 0.23350000000002 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.094 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.047 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0241 % | 51.28 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 248.4464
[stop_loss] => 248.7968
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 248.388
[stop_loss] => 248.7968
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 248.3296
[stop_loss] => 248.7968
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 248.2712
[stop_loss] => 248.7968
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 248.2128
[stop_loss] => 248.7968
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 248.1544
[stop_loss] => 248.7968
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 248.096
[stop_loss] => 248.7968
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 248.0376
[stop_loss] => 248.7968
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 247.9792
[stop_loss] => 248.7968
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 247.9208
[stop_loss] => 248.7968
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 247.8624
[stop_loss] => 248.7968
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.32
[max_drawdown] => 1.79
[rr_ratio] => 0.74
[high] => 250.47000000
[low] => 247.36000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.53
[mae_pct] => 0.72
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.74
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T02:21:23-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T04:21:23-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.32
[max_drawdown] => 5.98
[rr_ratio] => 0.22
[high] => 254.66000000
[low] => 247.36000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.53
[mae_pct] => 2.4
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.22
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T02:21:23-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T09:21:23-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 248.68000000
[high_after] => 254.19000000
[low_before] => 246.09000000
[low_after] => 247.36000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)