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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 16 Dec 2025 at 04:20:05

Take profit at 161.7071 (0.48 %) and Stop Loss at 162.8815 (0.24 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 16 Dec 2025 at 04:20:05

With 20.4362 MSTR at 162.49$ per unit.

Position size of 3320.6762 $

Take profit at 161.7071 (0.48 %) and Stop Loss at 162.8815 (0.24 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.26
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.58
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.008049

15m : 0.142375

1H : -0.072543

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.16
  4. atr: 0.2609749581
Details
  1. score: 1.16
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 162.039
  4. ema21 : 164.352
  5. ema50 : 169.179
  6. ema100 : 173.509
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00278267
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0140747
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0285313
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0635075
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.193859
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.280577
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.222289
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.151682
  17. rsi : 0.367843
  18. adx : 0.610512
  19. kc_percentage : 0.235345
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0382275
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.882339
  22. volume_ema1 : 49983.201420754
  23. volume_ema2 : 424807.46191108
  24. chop : 67.6857
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.844
  28. ema21 : 161.764
  29. ema50 : 162.638
  30. ema100 : 165.376
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00398622
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000496631
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00537632
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0174529
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00501835
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00652369
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0254771
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0481295
  41. rsi : 0.563116
  42. adx : 0.255731
  43. kc_percentage : 0.839278
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0131886
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.498013
  46. volume_ema1 : 29617.1516591
  47. volume_ema2 : 58999.940994124
  48. chop : 50.1509
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.882
  52. ema21 : 161.77
  53. ema50 : 161.688
  54. ema100 : 161.578
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00375074
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000695052
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000509326
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00564422
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0295907
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0135226
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00623759
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00425426
  65. rsi : 0.626662
  66. adx : 0.146629
  67. kc_percentage : 1.15863
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00668724
  69. volume_ema_diff : 4.55781
  70. volume_ema1 : 26467.619231454
  71. volume_ema2 : 4762.2306821371
  72. chop : 28.1258
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86070.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00258753
  78. 5m_price: 
    86293.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.008049
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86903.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00702881
  83. 15m_price: 
    86293.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.142375
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88961.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0299932
  88. 1H_price: 
    86293.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.072543
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 11:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 13:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 15:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
                    [1] => 173.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:00:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23966078780802
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4308028741018
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 165.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 161.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:15:00
                    [1] => 163.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:45:00
                    [1] => 160.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:15:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:45:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:30:00
                    [1] => 160.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:15:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23966078780802
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0268218308544
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2695251726928
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:10:00
                    [1] => 161.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:20:00
                    [1] => 161.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 160.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:55:00
                    [1] => 160.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
                    [1] => 160.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:50:00
                    [1] => 160.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:10:00
                    [1] => 161.56
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:20:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23966078780802
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.48279277048775
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.72418915573161
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.48%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.72%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1515
0.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.4671
0.91%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 23:10:00 161.09 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:20:00 161.09 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 160.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:55:00 160.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:50:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 02:00:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 02:40:00 160.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 02:50:00 160.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 04:10:00 161.56 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 04:20:00 162.73 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.03%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.27%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.6585
1.63%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6571
1.02%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 14:00:00 165.54 ↑ High
2025-12-15 16:00:00 161.02 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:15:00 163.25 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:45:00 160.57 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:15:00 161.86 ↑ High
2025-12-15 21:45:00 161.86 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:45:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 02:30:00 160.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 04:15:00 162.73 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.43%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.1185
9.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6571
1.02%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 11:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 13:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 15:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 20:00:00 173.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:00:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 04:00:00 162.73 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
04:20:05		 16 Dec 2025
05:20:00		 59 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
162.49 162.8815 161.7071 2 134.8
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 162.49
  • Stop Loss: 162.8815
  • Take Profit: 161.7071

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 162.8815 - 162.49 = 0.39149999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 162.49 - 161.7071 = 0.78290000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.78290000000001 / 0.39149999999998 = 1.9997

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3320.6762 100 20.4362 33.21
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.39149999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.39149999999998 = 20.43

Taille de position USD = 20.43 x 162.49 = 3319.67

Donc, tu peux acheter 20.43 avec un stoploss a 162.8815

Avec un position size USD de 3319.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 20.43 x 0.39149999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 20.43 x 0.78290000000001 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 20.43
  • Taille de position USD 3319.67
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9997

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.48 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.24 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3569 % 148.15 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.7071
            [entry_price] => 162.49
            [stop_loss] => 162.92065
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.7071
            [entry_price] => 162.49
            [stop_loss] => 162.9598
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.7071
            [entry_price] => 162.49
            [stop_loss] => 162.99895
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.7071
            [entry_price] => 162.49
            [stop_loss] => 163.07725
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.71000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 2.62
            [rr_ratio] => 0.27
            [high] => 165.11000000
            [low] => 161.78000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.44
            [mae_pct] => 1.61
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.27
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T04:20:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T06:20:05-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.71000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 9.18
            [rr_ratio] => 0.08
            [high] => 171.67000000
            [low] => 161.78000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.44
            [mae_pct] => 5.65
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.08
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T04:20:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T11:20:05-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 162.73000000
            [high_after] => 168.77000000
            [low_before] => 160.69000000
            [low_after] => 161.78000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)