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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 16 Dec 2025 at 04:24:24

Take profit at 161.7916 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 163.0042 (0.25 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 16 Dec 2025 at 04:24:24

With 19.7925 MSTR at 162.6$ per unit.

Position size of 3218.2652 $

Take profit at 161.7916 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 163.0042 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 0.32
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.98
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.160018

15m : 0.036461

1H : 0.031556

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.16
  4. atr: 0.2694619451
Details
  1. score: 1.16
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 162.061
  4. ema21 : 164.362
  5. ema50 : 169.183
  6. ema100 : 173.511
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0033253
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0140008
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.028497
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0628853
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.192754
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.280087
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.222082
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.151579
  17. rsi : 0.373282
  18. adx : 0.608087
  19. kc_percentage : 0.255152
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0387921
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.861287
  22. volume_ema1 : 59074.625287421
  23. volume_ema2 : 425877.04118952
  24. chop : 67.7131
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.842
  28. ema21 : 161.763
  29. ema50 : 162.638
  30. ema100 : 165.376
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0046783
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00048989
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00537951
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0167866
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00491531
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00647682
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0254971
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0481394
  41. rsi : 0.562354
  42. adx : 0.255731
  43. kc_percentage : 0.891052
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0131796
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.49715
  46. volume_ema1 : 29671.3116591
  47. volume_ema2 : 59006.31275883
  48. chop : 50.1509
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 162.024
  52. ema21 : 161.844
  53. ema50 : 161.723
  54. ema100 : 161.598
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00355097
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0011102
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000751646
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00620019
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0313179
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0157656
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00749004
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00492614
  65. rsi : 0.64033
  66. adx : 0.153611
  67. kc_percentage : 1.16189
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00694922
  69. volume_ema_diff : 3.73337
  70. volume_ema1 : 26718.450020969
  71. volume_ema2 : 5644.6877237316
  72. chop : 33.7111
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86070.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00257272
  78. 5m_price: 
    86291.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.160018
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86903.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00702881
  83. 15m_price: 
    86293.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.036461
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88961.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0300075
  88. 1H_price: 
    86291.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.031556
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 11:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 13:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 15:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
                    [1] => 173.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:00:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23966078780802
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4308028741018
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 165.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 161.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:15:00
                    [1] => 163.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:45:00
                    [1] => 160.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:15:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:45:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:30:00
                    [1] => 160.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:15:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23966078780802
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0268218308544
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2695251726928
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:10:00
                    [1] => 161.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:20:00
                    [1] => 161.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 160.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:55:00
                    [1] => 160.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
                    [1] => 160.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:50:00
                    [1] => 160.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:10:00
                    [1] => 161.56
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:20:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23966078780802
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.48279277048775
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.72418915573161
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.48%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.72%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2742
0.17%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5516
0.96%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 23:10:00 161.09 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:20:00 161.09 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 160.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:55:00 160.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:50:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 02:00:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 02:40:00 160.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 02:50:00 160.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 04:10:00 161.56 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 04:20:00 162.73 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.03%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.27%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.5358
1.56%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7416
1.08%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 14:00:00 165.54 ↑ High
2025-12-15 16:00:00 161.02 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:15:00 163.25 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:45:00 160.57 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:15:00 161.86 ↑ High
2025-12-15 21:45:00 161.86 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:45:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 02:30:00 160.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 04:15:00 162.73 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.43%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.9958
9.20%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7416
1.08%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 11:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 13:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 15:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 20:00:00 173.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:00:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 04:00:00 162.73 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
04:24:24		 16 Dec 2025
04:25:00		 36 seconds

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
162.6 163.0042 161.7916 2 133.04
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 162.6
  • Stop Loss: 163.0042
  • Take Profit: 161.7916

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 163.0042 - 162.6 = 0.4042

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 162.6 - 161.7916 = 0.80840000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.80840000000001 / 0.4042 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3218.2652 100 19.7925 32.18
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4042

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4042 = 19.79

Taille de position USD = 19.79 x 162.6 = 3217.85

Donc, tu peux acheter 19.79 avec un stoploss a 163.0042

Avec un position size USD de 3217.85$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 19.79 x 0.4042 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 19.79 x 0.80840000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 19.79
  • Taille de position USD 3217.85
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.5 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0185 % 7.44 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.7916
            [stop_loss] => 163.0042
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 04:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.5895
            [stop_loss] => 163.0042
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.3874
            [stop_loss] => 163.0042
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.1853
            [stop_loss] => 163.0042
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.9832
            [stop_loss] => 163.0042
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.7811
            [stop_loss] => 163.0042
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.579
            [stop_loss] => 163.0042
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.3769
            [stop_loss] => 163.0042
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.1748
            [stop_loss] => 163.0042
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.9727
            [stop_loss] => 163.0042
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.7706
            [stop_loss] => 163.0042
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.81999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 2.51
            [rr_ratio] => 0.33
            [high] => 165.11000000
            [low] => 161.78000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.5
            [mae_pct] => 1.54
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T04:24:24-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T06:24:24-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.81999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 9.07
            [rr_ratio] => 0.09
            [high] => 171.67000000
            [low] => 161.78000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.5
            [mae_pct] => 5.58
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T04:24:24-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T11:24:24-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 162.73000000
            [high_after] => 168.77000000
            [low_before] => 160.69000000
            [low_after] => 161.78000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)