Short Trade on FOLKS 16 Dec 2025 at 04:53:08
Take profit at 13.9388 (4.92 %) and Stop Loss at 15.0206 (2.46 %)
Short Trade on FOLKS 16 Dec 2025 at 04:53:08
Take profit at 13.9388 (4.92 %) and Stop Loss at 15.0206 (2.46 %)
Position size of 325.2526 $
Take profit at 13.9388 (4.92 %) and Stop Loss at 15.0206 (2.46 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.66 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.55 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.024994 15m : -0.080466 1H : 0.189078 |
2 |
Indicators:
86059.4
0.0021516
86244.6
-0.024994
86879
-0.00694275
86275.9
-0.080466
88960.4
-0.030529
86244.6
0.189078
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 18:00:00
[1] => 14.9883
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 11:00:00
[1] => 31.2364
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 17:00:00
[1] => 26.1404
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 21:00:00
[1] => 46.4173
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 01:00:00
[1] => 20.2379
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 11:00:00
[1] => 22.9595
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[1] => 28.771
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 05:00:00
[1] => 22.8189
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 21:00:00
[1] => 13.153
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 03:00:00
[1] => 13.5953
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -49.323624482986
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.2436798011077
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 31
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3627309359082
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 11:00:00
[1] => 22.0399
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:30:00
[1] => 20.8163
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:15:00
[1] => 22.5787
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
[1] => 22.201
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 21:00:00
[1] => 13.153
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
[1] => 16.636
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:00:00
[1] => 14.1423
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 01:30:00
[1] => 15.2443
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 03:30:00
[1] => 13.5953
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 04:45:00
[1] => 14.8291
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6791308980316
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.2436798011077
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.0751951041904
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:10:00
[1] => 14.5343
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:00:00
[1] => 14.1423
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:35:00
[1] => 14.878
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:50:00
[1] => 14.26
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 01:40:00
[1] => 15.2443
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
[1] => 14.3068
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:30:00
[1] => 14.7914
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
[1] => 13.8
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 03:30:00
[1] => 13.5953
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 04:50:00
[1] => 14.8291
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6791308980316
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.2436798011077
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.0751951041904
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 23:10:00 | 14.5343 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 00:00:00 | 14.1423 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 00:35:00 | 14.878 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 00:50:00 | 14.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 01:40:00 | 15.2443 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 01:55:00 | 14.3068 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 02:30:00 | 14.7914 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 02:40:00 | 13.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 03:30:00 | 13.5953 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 04:50:00 | 14.8291 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 11:00:00 | 22.0399 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 14:30:00 | 20.8163 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 16:15:00 | 22.5787 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 19:00:00 | 22.201 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 21:00:00 | 13.153 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 22:30:00 | 16.636 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 00:00:00 | 14.1423 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 01:30:00 | 15.2443 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 03:30:00 | 13.5953 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 04:45:00 | 14.8291 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 18:00:00 | 14.9883 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 11:00:00 | 31.2364 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 17:00:00 | 26.1404 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 21:00:00 | 46.4173 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 01:00:00 | 20.2379 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 11:00:00 | 22.9595 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 28.771 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 05:00:00 | 22.8189 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 21:00:00 | 13.153 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 03:00:00 | 13.5953 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 04:53:08 |
16 Dec 2025 05:40:00 |
46 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.66 | 15.0206 | 13.9388 | 2 | 1.4467 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 15.0206 - 14.66 = 0.3606
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.66 - 13.9388 = 0.7212
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7212 / 0.3606 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 325.2526 | 100 | 22.1864 | 3.25 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.3606 = 22.19
Taille de position USD = 22.19 x 14.66 = 325.31
Donc, tu peux acheter 22.19 avec un stoploss a 15.0206
Avec un position size USD de 325.31$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 22.19 x 0.3606 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 22.19 x 0.7212 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.92 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.46 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 4.92 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5825 % | 64.33 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.9388
[stop_loss] => 15.0206
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.7585
[stop_loss] => 15.0206
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.5782
[stop_loss] => 15.0206
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.3979
[stop_loss] => 15.0206
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.2176
[stop_loss] => 15.0206
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.0373
[stop_loss] => 15.0206
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.857
[stop_loss] => 15.0206
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.6767
[stop_loss] => 15.0206
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.4964
[stop_loss] => 15.0206
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.3161
[stop_loss] => 15.0206
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.1358
[stop_loss] => 15.0206
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 07:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.8302
[max_drawdown] => 0.3576
[rr_ratio] => 2.32
[high] => 15.01760000
[low] => 13.82980000
[mfe_pct] => 5.66
[mae_pct] => 2.44
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.32
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T04:53:08-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T06:53:08-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.5025
[max_drawdown] => 0.6285
[rr_ratio] => 7.16
[high] => 15.28850000
[low] => 10.15750000
[mfe_pct] => 30.71
[mae_pct] => 4.29
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.16
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T04:53:08-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T11:53:08-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 15.24430000
[high_after] => 15.28850000
[low_before] => 13.59530000
[low_after] => 10.15750000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)