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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 16 Dec 2025 at 05:26:45

Take profit at 162.2054 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 163.5023 (0.27 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 16 Dec 2025 at 05:26:45

With 18.5061 MSTR at 163.07$ per unit.

Position size of 3017.7885 $

Take profit at 162.2054 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 163.5023 (0.27 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.05
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.89
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.56
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.76
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.201003

15m : 0.129134

1H : -0.004581

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.2881933786
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 162.203
  4. ema21 : 164.214
  5. ema50 : 168.909
  6. ema100 : 173.147
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00534095
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.012243
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.027798
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0582
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.14692
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.252352
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.211998
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.146377
  17. rsi : 0.39846
  18. adx : 0.591193
  19. kc_percentage : 0.344162
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0369955
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.855189
  22. volume_ema1 : 59186.361236058
  23. volume_ema2 : 408716.79783088
  24. chop : 75.3185
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 162.256
  28. ema21 : 161.994
  29. ema50 : 162.632
  30. ema100 : 165.295
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00501385
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00161501
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00391922
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0134656
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00951742
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00715445
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.021326
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0459654
  41. rsi : 0.585376
  42. adx : 0.199378
  43. kc_percentage : 0.982059
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.013563
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.68851
  46. volume_ema1 : 16902.640460645
  47. volume_ema2 : 54263.989786273
  48. chop : 49.082
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 162.655
  52. ema21 : 162.354
  53. ema50 : 162.038
  54. ema100 : 161.783
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00254772
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00185542
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00195039
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00795397
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0353708
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0268444
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0163852
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0105839
  65. rsi : 0.670847
  66. adx : 0.138208
  67. kc_percentage : 1.11665
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0069364
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.663304
  70. volume_ema1 : 1945.7380183679
  71. volume_ema2 : 5778.9231564328
  72. chop : 47.5559
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86126.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00340164
  78. 5m_price: 
    86419.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.201003
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86860.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00544916
  83. 15m_price: 
    86387.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.129134
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88901.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0279177
  88. 1H_price: 
    86419.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.004581
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 09:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 11:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 13:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 15:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
                    [1] => 173.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 163.07
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8869103405186
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8869103405186
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 165.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 161.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:15:00
                    [1] => 163.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:45:00
                    [1] => 160.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:15:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:45:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:30:00
                    [1] => 160.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:15:00
                    [1] => 163.07
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4811127014749
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4811127014749
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 160.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:55:00
                    [1] => 160.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
                    [1] => 160.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:50:00
                    [1] => 160.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:10:00
                    [1] => 161.56
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:20:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:55:00
                    [1] => 161.95
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:20:00
                    [1] => 163.07
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.69157147267676
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.69157147267676
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.69%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.69%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4323
0.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9654
1.21%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 23:45:00 160.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:55:00 160.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:50:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 02:00:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 02:40:00 160.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 02:50:00 160.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 04:10:00 161.56 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 04:20:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 04:55:00 161.95 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 05:20:00 163.07 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.48%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.48%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.0377
1.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1554
1.33%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 14:00:00 165.54 ↑ High
2025-12-15 16:00:00 161.02 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:15:00 163.25 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:45:00 160.57 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:15:00 161.86 ↑ High
2025-12-15 21:45:00 161.86 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:45:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 02:30:00 160.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 05:15:00 163.07 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.89%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.89%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.4977
8.87%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1554
1.33%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 09:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 11:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 13:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 15:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 20:00:00 173.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 05:00:00 163.07 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
05:26:45		 16 Dec 2025
05:35:00		 8 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
163.07 163.5023 162.2054 2 129.34
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 163.07
  • Stop Loss: 163.5023
  • Take Profit: 162.2054

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 163.5023 - 163.07 = 0.4323

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 163.07 - 162.2054 = 0.8646

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8646 / 0.4323 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3017.7885 100 18.5061 30.18
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4323

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4323 = 18.51

Taille de position USD = 18.51 x 163.07 = 3018.43

Donc, tu peux acheter 18.51 avec un stoploss a 163.5023

Avec un position size USD de 3018.43$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 18.51 x 0.4323 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 18.51 x 0.8646 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 18.51
  • Taille de position USD 3018.43
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.53 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.27 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.27
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3557 % 134.18 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.2054
            [entry_price] => 163.07
            [stop_loss] => 163.54553
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.2054
            [entry_price] => 163.07
            [stop_loss] => 163.58876
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.2054
            [entry_price] => 163.07
            [stop_loss] => 163.63199
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.2054
            [entry_price] => 163.07
            [stop_loss] => 163.71845
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.16
            [max_drawdown] => 3.24
            [rr_ratio] => 0.05
            [high] => 166.31000000
            [low] => 162.91000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.1
            [mae_pct] => 1.99
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T05:26:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T07:26:45-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.16
            [max_drawdown] => 8.6
            [rr_ratio] => 0.02
            [high] => 171.67000000
            [low] => 162.91000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.1
            [mae_pct] => 5.27
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T05:26:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T12:26:45-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 163.07000000
            [high_after] => 171.67000000
            [low_before] => 160.69000000
            [low_after] => 162.91000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)