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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 16 Dec 2025 at 05:41:47

Take profit at 12.2058 (0.73 %) and Stop Loss at 12.3411 (0.37 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 16 Dec 2025 at 05:41:47

With 177.4058 AVAX at 12.296$ per unit.

Position size of 2181.3819 $

Take profit at 12.2058 (0.73 %) and Stop Loss at 12.3411 (0.37 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.84
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.789063

15m : 0.08776

1H : 0.059994

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.29
  4. atr: 0.03006289995
Details
  1. score: 1.29
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.245
  4. ema21 : 12.3845
  5. ema50 : 12.673
  6. ema100 : 12.942
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00416234
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0112658
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0227669
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0499198
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.157224
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.214932
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.174168
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.121654
  17. rsi : 0.407356
  18. adx : 0.436458
  19. kc_percentage : 0.352789
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0418783
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.522639
  22. volume_ema1 : 297832.05198932
  23. volume_ema2 : 623914.03943935
  24. chop : 67.8382
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 12.1805
  28. ema21 : 12.1983
  29. ema50 : 12.2714
  30. ema100 : 12.4513
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00947661
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00145457
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00595699
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0124769
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0336023
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0283826
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0379375
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0487983
  41. rsi : 0.460299
  42. adx : 0.304445
  43. kc_percentage : 1.07014
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.014159
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.660795
  46. volume_ema1 : 35539.813226922
  47. volume_ema2 : 104773.91486678
  48. chop : 63.8512
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 12.2137
  52. ema21 : 12.1946
  53. ema50 : 12.1995
  54. ema100 : 12.2206
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00673363
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00156683
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000399641
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00616328
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0319034
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0103761
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00179992
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0051163
  65. rsi : 0.740961
  66. adx : 0.199982
  67. kc_percentage : 1.28992
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0103856
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.877608
  70. volume_ema1 : 49621.669860458
  71. volume_ema2 : 26428.126359365
  72. chop : 31.623
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86183.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00632934
  78. 5m_price: 
    86728.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.789063
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86853.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00518716
  83. 15m_price: 
    86403
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.08776
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88907.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0245091
  88. 1H_price: 
    86728.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.059994
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
                    [1] => 12.795
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
                    [1] => 13.462
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
                    [1] => 13.218
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                    [1] => 13.231
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                    [1] => 12.953
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                    [1] => 12.72
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 05:00:00
                    [1] => 13.347
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 12.181
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 12.046
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 12.375
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16969696969698
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5568653494936
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7311970778682
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 12.469
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                    [1] => 12.237
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
                    [1] => 12.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 12.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                    [1] => 12.326
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 12.046
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:45:00
                    [1] => 12.331
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 03:45:00
                    [1] => 12.234
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:15:00
                    [1] => 12.135
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:30:00
                    [1] => 12.375
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16969696969698
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8046971569839
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9777503090235
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 00:10:00
                    [1] => 12.222
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 00:35:00
                    [1] => 12.177
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
                    [1] => 12.331
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
                    [1] => 12.157
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 03:05:00
                    [1] => 12.231
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 03:45:00
                    [1] => 12.234
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:25:00
                    [1] => 12.135
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:45:00
                    [1] => 12.188
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 12.144
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
                    [1] => 12.375
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16969696969698
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7292490118577
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9021739130435
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.73%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.90%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0339
0.27%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0708
0.58%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 00:10:00 12.222 ↑ High
2025-12-16 00:35:00 12.177 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:55:00 12.331 ↑ High
2025-12-16 02:40:00 12.157 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 03:05:00 12.231 ↑ High
2025-12-16 03:45:00 12.234 ↑ High
2025-12-16 04:25:00 12.135 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 04:45:00 12.188 ↑ High
2025-12-16 05:00:00 12.144 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 05:40:00 12.375 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.80%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.98%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1279
1.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1598
1.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 14:00:00 12.469 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 12.237 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:00:00 12.37 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:00:00 12.16 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 12.326 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 12.046 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:45:00 12.331 ↑ High
2025-12-16 03:45:00 12.234 ↑ High
2025-12-16 04:15:00 12.135 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 05:30:00 12.375 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.56%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.73%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.1209
9.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1598
1.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-12 11:00:00 12.795 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 05:00:00 13.462 ↑ High
2025-12-13 09:00:00 13.218 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 16:00:00 13.231 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 06:00:00 12.953 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 18:00:00 12.72 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 05:00:00 13.347 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 12.181 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 12.046 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 05:00:00 12.375 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
05:41:47		 16 Dec 2025
05:45:00		 3 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.296 12.3411 12.2058 2 8.609
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.296
  • Stop Loss: 12.3411
  • Take Profit: 12.2058

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.3411 - 12.296 = 0.045100000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.296 - 12.2058 = 0.090199999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.090199999999999 / 0.045100000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2181.3819 100 177.4058 21.81
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.045100000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.045100000000001 = 177.38

Taille de position USD = 177.38 x 12.296 = 2181.06

Donc, tu peux acheter 177.38 avec un stoploss a 12.3411

Avec un position size USD de 2181.06$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 177.38 x 0.045100000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 177.38 x 0.090199999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 177.38
  • Taille de position USD 2181.06
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.73 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.37 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.37
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7807 % 212.84 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2058
            [entry_price] => 12.296
            [stop_loss] => 12.34561
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2058
            [entry_price] => 12.296
            [stop_loss] => 12.35012
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2058
            [entry_price] => 12.296
            [stop_loss] => 12.35463
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2058
            [entry_price] => 12.296
            [stop_loss] => 12.36365
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 05:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.056999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.096
            [rr_ratio] => 0.59
            [high] => 12.39200000
            [low] => 12.23900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 0.78
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.59
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T05:41:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T07:41:47-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.39
            [max_drawdown] => 0.099
            [rr_ratio] => 3.94
            [high] => 12.39500000
            [low] => 11.90600000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.17
            [mae_pct] => 0.81
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.94
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T05:41:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T12:41:47-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.37500000
            [high_after] => 12.39500000
            [low_before] => 12.13500000
            [low_after] => 11.90600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)