Short Trade on ZEC 16 Dec 2025 at 05:45:30
Take profit at 386.6944 (2.47 %) and Stop Loss at 401.3878 (1.24 %)
Short Trade on ZEC 16 Dec 2025 at 05:45:30
Take profit at 386.6944 (2.47 %) and Stop Loss at 401.3878 (1.24 %)
Position size of 647.6193 $
Take profit at 386.6944 (2.47 %) and Stop Loss at 401.3878 (1.24 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.94 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.93 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.92 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.533534 15m : 0.109898 1H : 0.010353 |
1 |
Indicators:
86200.7
0.0104368
87100.4
0.533534
86866.7
0.00268935
87100.4
0.109898
88915.3
-0.0204117
87100.4
0.010353
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
[1] => 422.77
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 18:00:00
[1] => 445
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 01:00:00
[1] => 418.65
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 09:00:00
[1] => 398.01
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
[1] => 418.54
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 22:00:00
[1] => 392
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 10:00:00
[1] => 417.91
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
[1] => 386.31
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
[1] => 416.89
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 03:00:00
[1] => 374.15
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.4762647221089
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.321395162368
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.423225978885
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
[1] => 395.35
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 17:15:00
[1] => 415
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
[1] => 416.89
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 20:15:00
[1] => 401.15
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
[1] => 409.07
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
[1] => 396.88
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
[1] => 392.86
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 01:30:00
[1] => 402.44
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 03:30:00
[1] => 374.15
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 05:30:00
[1] => 398.54
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1241029758619
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.321395162368
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.5187758920219
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:15:00
[1] => 401.3
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 00:30:00
[1] => 395.48
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 01:05:00
[1] => 395.75
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 01:30:00
[1] => 402.44
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
[1] => 379.28
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 03:10:00
[1] => 387.84
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 03:35:00
[1] => 374.15
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 04:40:00
[1] => 384.14
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 05:25:00
[1] => 380.88
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
[1] => 398.54
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1241029758619
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4604074774207
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6366309598824
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 00:15:00 | 401.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 00:30:00 | 395.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 01:05:00 | 395.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 01:30:00 | 402.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 02:40:00 | 379.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 03:10:00 | 387.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 03:35:00 | 374.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 04:40:00 | 384.14 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 05:25:00 | 380.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 05:40:00 | 398.54 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 16:00:00 | 395.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 17:15:00 | 415 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 19:00:00 | 416.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 20:15:00 | 401.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 21:30:00 | 409.07 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 22:00:00 | 396.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 23:45:00 | 392.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 01:30:00 | 402.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 03:30:00 | 374.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 05:30:00 | 398.54 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 09:00:00 | 422.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 18:00:00 | 445 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 01:00:00 | 418.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 09:00:00 | 398.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 20:00:00 | 418.54 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 22:00:00 | 392 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 10:00:00 | 417.91 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 386.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 19:00:00 | 416.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 03:00:00 | 374.15 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 05:45:30 |
16 Dec 2025 10:45:00 |
4 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 396.49 | 401.3878 | 386.6944 | 2 | 238.93 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 401.3878 - 396.49 = 4.8978
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 396.49 - 386.6944 = 9.7956
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 9.7956 / 4.8978 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 647.6193 | 100 | 1.6334 | 6.48 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 4.8978 = 1.63
Taille de position USD = 1.63 x 396.49 = 646.28
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.63 avec un stoploss a 401.3878
Avec un position size USD de 646.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.63 x 4.8978 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.63 x 9.7956 = 15.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.47 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.24 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.0354 % | 164.77 % | 20 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 386.6944
[entry_price] => 396.49
[stop_loss] => 401.87758
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 10:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 386.6944
[entry_price] => 396.49
[stop_loss] => 402.36736
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 10:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 386.6944
[entry_price] => 396.49
[stop_loss] => 402.85714
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 10:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 386.6944
[entry_price] => 396.49
[stop_loss] => 403.8367
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 10:45:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 6.04
[max_drawdown] => 1.51
[rr_ratio] => 4
[high] => 398.00000000
[low] => 390.45000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.52
[mae_pct] => 0.38
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T05:45:30-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T07:45:30-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 8.06
[max_drawdown] => 17.2
[rr_ratio] => 0.47
[high] => 413.69000000
[low] => 388.43000000
[mfe_pct] => 2.03
[mae_pct] => 4.34
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.47
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T05:45:30-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T12:45:30-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 401.20000000
[high_after] => 413.69000000
[low_before] => 374.15000000
[low_after] => 388.43000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)