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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 16 Dec 2025 at 06:18:21

Take profit at 163.1412 (0.63 %) and Stop Loss at 164.6994 (0.32 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 16 Dec 2025 at 06:18:21

With 15.4024 MSTR at 164.18$ per unit.

Position size of 2528.7581 $

Take profit at 163.1412 (0.63 %) and Stop Loss at 164.6994 (0.32 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.15
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.86
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.2658

15m : 0.215522

1H : -0.183327

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.3462674745
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 162.826
  4. ema21 : 164.328
  5. ema50 : 168.765
  6. ema100 : 172.907
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00831474
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0091416
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0262915
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0504769
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0942007
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.219011
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.198979
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.140206
  17. rsi : 0.449543
  18. adx : 0.542305
  19. kc_percentage : 0.504925
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0387622
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.783229
  22. volume_ema1 : 83873.875157372
  23. volume_ema2 : 386925.33389922
  24. chop : 57.6423
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 163.449
  28. ema21 : 162.724
  29. ema50 : 162.87
  30. ema100 : 165.152
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00447105
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00445518
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000900156
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00588749
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0938883
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0543251
  39. ema_slope_50 : 0.00521521
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.029768
  41. rsi : 0.655652
  42. adx : 0.26136
  43. kc_percentage : 1.0523
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0156629
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.471513
  46. volume_ema1 : 27819.437292638
  47. volume_ema2 : 52639.829480563
  48. chop : 25.6152
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 164.006
  52. ema21 : 163.435
  53. ema50 : 162.711
  54. ema100 : 162.213
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00105495
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00349829
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00444552
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0121251
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0812942
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0632519
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0389769
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0237599
  65. rsi : 0.702308
  66. adx : 0.31938
  67. kc_percentage : 1.01426
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00834677
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.212477
  70. volume_ema1 : 7538.5644029401
  71. volume_ema2 : 9572.5094841254
  72. chop : 20.6005
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86250.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00916915
  78. 5m_price: 
    87041.4
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.2658
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86867.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00199749
  83. 15m_price: 
    87041.4
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.215522
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88864.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0205173
  88. 1H_price: 
    87041.4
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.183327
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 09:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 11:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 13:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 15:00:00
                    [1] => 176.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
                    [1] => 173.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
                    [1] => 178
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 06:00:00
                    [1] => 177.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 165.11
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.56326085639877
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5804436113714
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1615120274914
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 165.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 16:00:00
                    [1] => 161.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:15:00
                    [1] => 163.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:45:00
                    [1] => 160.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:15:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:45:00
                    [1] => 161.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 22:30:00
                    [1] => 160.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:45:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:30:00
                    [1] => 160.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:30:00
                    [1] => 165.11
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.56326085639877
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1718837513224
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7506378741677
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 160.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:55:00
                    [1] => 160.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:50:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
                    [1] => 160.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:50:00
                    [1] => 160.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:10:00
                    [1] => 161.56
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:20:00
                    [1] => 162.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:55:00
                    [1] => 161.95
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:40:00
                    [1] => 165.11
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.56326085639877
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3769682000618
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9512195121951
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.56%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.38%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.95%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4106
0.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.9012
1.78%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 23:45:00 160.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:55:00 160.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:50:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 02:00:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 02:40:00 160.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 02:50:00 160.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 04:10:00 161.56 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 04:20:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 04:55:00 161.95 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 05:40:00 165.11 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.56%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.17%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.75%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8406
0.51%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.0912
1.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 14:00:00 165.54 ↑ High
2025-12-15 16:00:00 161.02 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:15:00 163.25 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:45:00 160.57 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:15:00 161.86 ↑ High
2025-12-15 21:45:00 161.86 ↑ High
2025-12-15 22:30:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:45:00 162.73 ↑ High
2025-12-16 02:30:00 160.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 05:30:00 165.11 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.56%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.58%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.16%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.3006
8.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.0912
1.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 09:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 11:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 13:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 15:00:00 176.96 ↑ High
2025-12-14 20:00:00 173.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 21:00:00 178 ↑ High
2025-12-15 06:00:00 177.64 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 22:00:00 160.05 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 05:00:00 165.11 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
06:18:21		 16 Dec 2025
06:30:00		 11 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
164.18 164.6994 163.1412 2 128.86
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 164.18
  • Stop Loss: 164.6994
  • Take Profit: 163.1412

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 164.6994 - 164.18 = 0.51939999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 164.18 - 163.1412 = 1.0388

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0388 / 0.51939999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2528.7581 100 15.4024 25.29
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.51939999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.51939999999999 = 15.4

Taille de position USD = 15.4 x 164.18 = 2528.37

Donc, tu peux acheter 15.4 avec un stoploss a 164.6994

Avec un position size USD de 2528.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 15.4 x 0.51939999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 15.4 x 1.0388 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 15.4
  • Taille de position USD 2528.37
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.63 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.32 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.603 % 190.58 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 163.1412
            [entry_price] => 164.18
            [stop_loss] => 164.75134
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 06:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 163.1412
            [entry_price] => 164.18
            [stop_loss] => 164.80328
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 06:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 163.1412
            [entry_price] => 164.18
            [stop_loss] => 164.85522
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 06:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 163.1412
            [entry_price] => 164.18
            [stop_loss] => 164.9591
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 06:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 2.13
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 166.31000000
            [low] => 164.18000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 1.3
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T06:18:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T08:18:21-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.89
            [max_drawdown] => 7.49
            [rr_ratio] => 0.25
            [high] => 171.67000000
            [low] => 162.29000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.15
            [mae_pct] => 4.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T06:18:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T13:18:21-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 165.11000000
            [high_after] => 171.67000000
            [low_before] => 160.69000000
            [low_after] => 163.20000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)