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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 16 Dec 2025 at 06:31:55

Take profit at 12.2503 (0.85 %) and Stop Loss at 12.4074 (0.42 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 16 Dec 2025 at 06:31:55

With 152.8092 AVAX at 12.355$ per unit.

Position size of 1887.9576 $

Take profit at 12.2503 (0.85 %) and Stop Loss at 12.4074 (0.42 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.99
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.95
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.842712

15m : 0.218332

1H : -0.053342

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.03490191455
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.2705
  4. ema21 : 12.3836
  5. ema50 : 12.6595
  6. ema100 : 12.9167
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00688269
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00913565
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0217903
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0434933
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.121436
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.193696
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.165963
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.116637
  17. rsi : 0.443987
  18. adx : 0.407534
  19. kc_percentage : 0.467476
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0425418
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.41519
  22. volume_ema1 : 367473.90757065
  23. volume_ema2 : 628365.50974462
  24. chop : 65.1064
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 12.2877
  28. ema21 : 12.2525
  29. ema50 : 12.2876
  30. ema100 : 12.4541
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00547269
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00287329
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00285645
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00796407
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0477659
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0154108
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0162534
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0380829
  41. rsi : 0.628766
  42. adx : 0.32597
  43. kc_percentage : 0.942437
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0185509
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.137186
  46. volume_ema1 : 102944.46098351
  47. volume_ema2 : 119312.59043506
  48. chop : 42.3447
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 12.3217
  52. ema21 : 12.2789
  53. ema50 : 12.2419
  54. ema100 : 12.2319
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00269472
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00348708
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00302563
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.010058
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0989213
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0696107
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.03452
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0168465
  65. rsi : 0.710631
  66. adx : 0.357896
  67. kc_percentage : 1.01518
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0115207
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.0572367
  70. volume_ema1 : 39025.219233155
  71. volume_ema2 : 36912.470993257
  72. chop : 29.9288
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86276.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0102983
  78. 5m_price: 
    87165.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.842712
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86880
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00328565
  83. 15m_price: 
    87165.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.218332
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88867.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0191479
  88. 1H_price: 
    87165.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.053342
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
                    [1] => 12.795
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
                    [1] => 13.462
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
                    [1] => 13.218
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
                    [1] => 13.231
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                    [1] => 12.953
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                    [1] => 12.72
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 05:00:00
                    [1] => 13.347
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 12.181
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 12.046
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 12.392
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39541639767592
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4655487298688
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8723227627428
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 12.469
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 15:15:00
                    [1] => 12.237
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 18:00:00
                    [1] => 12.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 12.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                    [1] => 12.326
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                    [1] => 12.046
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:45:00
                    [1] => 12.331
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 03:45:00
                    [1] => 12.234
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:15:00
                    [1] => 12.135
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:45:00
                    [1] => 12.392
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39541639767592
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7140502678204
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1178409559126
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 00:35:00
                    [1] => 12.177
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 01:55:00
                    [1] => 12.331
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 02:40:00
                    [1] => 12.157
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 03:05:00
                    [1] => 12.231
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 03:45:00
                    [1] => 12.234
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:25:00
                    [1] => 12.135
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 04:45:00
                    [1] => 12.188
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 12.144
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:45:00
                    [1] => 12.392
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 06:30:00
                    [1] => 12.363
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16177303243549
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6386693017128
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.23457089703146
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.64%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.23%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0154
0.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1153
0.94%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 00:35:00 12.177 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:55:00 12.331 ↑ High
2025-12-16 02:40:00 12.157 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 03:05:00 12.231 ↑ High
2025-12-16 03:45:00 12.234 ↑ High
2025-12-16 04:25:00 12.135 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 04:45:00 12.188 ↑ High
2025-12-16 05:00:00 12.144 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 05:45:00 12.392 ↑ High
2025-12-16 06:30:00 12.363 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.40%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.71%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.12%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0616
0.50%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2043
1.67%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 14:00:00 12.469 ↑ High
2025-12-15 15:15:00 12.237 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 18:00:00 12.37 ↑ High
2025-12-15 20:00:00 12.16 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 21:30:00 12.326 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 12.046 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 01:45:00 12.331 ↑ High
2025-12-16 03:45:00 12.234 ↑ High
2025-12-16 04:15:00 12.135 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 05:45:00 12.392 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.40%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.47%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.87%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.0546
8.50%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2043
1.67%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-12 11:00:00 12.795 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 05:00:00 13.462 ↑ High
2025-12-13 09:00:00 13.218 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 16:00:00 13.231 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 06:00:00 12.953 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 18:00:00 12.72 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 05:00:00 13.347 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 12.181 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 23:00:00 12.046 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 05:00:00 12.392 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
06:31:55		 16 Dec 2025
07:35:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.355 12.4074 12.2503 2 9.248
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.355
  • Stop Loss: 12.4074
  • Take Profit: 12.2503

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.4074 - 12.355 = 0.0524

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.355 - 12.2503 = 0.1047

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1047 / 0.0524 = 1.9981

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1887.9576 100 152.8092 18.88
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0524

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0524 = 152.67

Taille de position USD = 152.67 x 12.355 = 1886.24

Donc, tu peux acheter 152.67 avec un stoploss a 12.4074

Avec un position size USD de 1886.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 152.67 x 0.0524 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 152.67 x 0.1047 = 15.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 152.67
  • Taille de position USD 1886.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9981

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.85 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.42 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.85
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0486 % 11.46 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2502
            [stop_loss] => 12.4074
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 07:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.224
            [stop_loss] => 12.4074
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 08:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1978
            [stop_loss] => 12.4074
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 08:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1716
            [stop_loss] => 12.4074
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 08:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1454
            [stop_loss] => 12.4074
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 08:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1192
            [stop_loss] => 12.4074
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 08:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.093
            [stop_loss] => 12.4074
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 08:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0668
            [stop_loss] => 12.4074
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 08:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0406
            [stop_loss] => 12.4074
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 08:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0144
            [stop_loss] => 12.4074
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 08:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.9882
            [stop_loss] => 12.4074
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 08:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.268
            [max_drawdown] => 0.039999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 6.7
            [high] => 12.39500000
            [low] => 12.08700000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.17
            [mae_pct] => 0.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.7
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T06:31:55-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T08:31:55-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.449
            [max_drawdown] => 0.039999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 11.23
            [high] => 12.39500000
            [low] => 11.90600000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.63
            [mae_pct] => 0.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T06:31:55-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T13:31:55-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.39200000
            [high_after] => 12.39500000
            [low_before] => 12.13500000
            [low_after] => 11.90600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)