Short Trade on AAPL 16 Dec 2025 at 08:32:13
Take profit at 273.6573 (0.19 %) and Stop Loss at 274.4263 (0.093 %)
Short Trade on AAPL 16 Dec 2025 at 08:32:13
Take profit at 273.6573 (0.19 %) and Stop Loss at 274.4263 (0.093 %)
Position size of 8556.1856 $
Take profit at 273.6573 (0.19 %) and Stop Loss at 274.4263 (0.093 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.78 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.59 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.94 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.119004 15m : 0.015043 1H : 0.050552 |
1 |
Indicators:
86662.4
0.00984511
87515.7
0.119004
86913.7
0.00692585
87515.7
0.015043
88827.4
-0.0147672
87515.7
0.050552
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 10:00:00
[1] => 278.02
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 12:00:00
[1] => 278.02
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 14:00:00
[1] => 278.02
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
[1] => 277.88
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 03:00:00
[1] => 278.25
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:00:00
[1] => 280.38
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:00:00
[1] => 273.3
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
[1] => 272.81
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 03:00:00
[1] => 272.69
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 08:00:00
[1] => 274.22
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.029173656188477
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.53173933770948
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.56107668047968
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 14:30:00
[1] => 273.3
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 16:45:00
[1] => 275.09
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 20:30:00
[1] => 272.81
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:45:00
[1] => 272.9
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
[1] => 273.57
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 01:00:00
[1] => 272.96
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 03:00:00
[1] => 272.69
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 04:15:00
[1] => 274
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 08:00:00
[1] => 273.21
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 08:30:00
[1] => 274.22
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.029173656188477
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.34039749643132
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.36967900150069
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
[1] => 272.98
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:05:00
[1] => 273.15
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 03:00:00
[1] => 272.69
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 04:25:00
[1] => 274
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
[1] => 273.18
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 05:35:00
[1] => 273.89
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 06:15:00
[1] => 273.5
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 07:20:00
[1] => 274.11
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 08:00:00
[1] => 273.21
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 08:30:00
[1] => 274.22
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.029173656188477
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.34039749643132
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.36967900150069
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 02:00:00 | 272.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 02:05:00 | 273.15 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 03:00:00 | 272.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 04:25:00 | 274 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 05:00:00 | 273.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 05:35:00 | 273.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 06:15:00 | 273.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 07:20:00 | 274.11 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 08:00:00 | 273.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 08:30:00 | 274.22 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 14:30:00 | 273.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 16:45:00 | 275.09 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 20:30:00 | 272.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 22:45:00 | 272.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 23:45:00 | 273.57 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 01:00:00 | 272.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 03:00:00 | 272.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 04:15:00 | 274 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 08:00:00 | 273.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 08:30:00 | 274.22 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 10:00:00 | 278.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 12:00:00 | 278.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 14:00:00 | 278.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 20:00:00 | 277.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 03:00:00 | 278.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 09:00:00 | 280.38 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 14:00:00 | 273.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 20:00:00 | 272.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 03:00:00 | 272.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 08:00:00 | 274.22 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 08:32:13 |
16 Dec 2025 08:35:00 |
2 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 274.17 | 274.4263 | 273.6573 | 2 | 274.28 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 274.4263 - 274.17 = 0.25630000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 274.17 - 273.6573 = 0.5127
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5127 / 0.25630000000001 = 2.0004
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8556.1856 | 100 | 31.2076 | 85.56 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.25630000000001 = 31.21
Taille de position USD = 31.21 x 274.17 = 8556.85
Donc, tu peux acheter 31.21 avec un stoploss a 274.4263
Avec un position size USD de 8556.85$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 31.21 x 0.25630000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 31.21 x 0.5127 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.093 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.6574
[stop_loss] => 274.4263
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 08:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.52925
[stop_loss] => 274.4263
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 08:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.4011
[stop_loss] => 274.4263
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 08:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.27295
[stop_loss] => 274.4263
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.1448
[stop_loss] => 274.4263
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 09:30:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.01665
[stop_loss] => 274.4263
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 09:35:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 272.8885
[stop_loss] => 274.4263
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 09:35:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 272.76035
[stop_loss] => 274.4263
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 09:35:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 272.6322
[stop_loss] => 274.4263
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 09:35:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 272.50405
[stop_loss] => 274.4263
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 09:35:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 272.3759
[stop_loss] => 274.4263
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 09:35:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.98
[max_drawdown] => 0.24000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 8.25
[high] => 274.41000000
[low] => 272.19000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.72
[mae_pct] => 0.09
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.25
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T08:32:13-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T10:32:13-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.98
[max_drawdown] => 1.1
[rr_ratio] => 1.8
[high] => 275.27000000
[low] => 272.19000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.72
[mae_pct] => 0.4
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.8
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T08:32:13-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T15:32:13-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 274.22000000
[high_after] => 274.56000000
[low_before] => 273.18000000
[low_after] => 272.19000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)