Short Trade on TRUMP 16 Dec 2025 at 14:55:23
Take profit at 5.2279 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 5.2685 (0.26 %)
Short Trade on TRUMP 16 Dec 2025 at 14:55:23
Take profit at 5.2279 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 5.2685 (0.26 %)
Position size of 3108.0148 $
Take profit at 5.2279 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 5.2685 (0.26 %)
That's a 2.01 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.88 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.78 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.63 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.138923 15m : 0.060538 1H : 0.051348 |
1 |
Indicators:
87353.8
0.00319519
87633
0.138923
86721.9
0.0101032
87598.1
0.060538
88338.3
-0.00798467
87633
0.051348
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 15:00:00
[1] => 5.586
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 17:00:00
[1] => 5.538
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
[1] => 5.447
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
[1] => 5.347
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 01:00:00
[1] => 5.513
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
[1] => 5.223
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
[1] => 5.333
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
[1] => 5.205
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
[1] => 5.293
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
[1] => 5.166
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.64235783109767
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8002322880372
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4583817266744
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
[1] => 5.288
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
[1] => 5.205
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
[1] => 5.293
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 03:30:00
[1] => 5.251
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 05:45:00
[1] => 5.292
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 06:15:00
[1] => 5.226
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
[1] => 5.166
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 10:45:00
[1] => 5.273
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 13:00:00
[1] => 5.199
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 14:45:00
[1] => 5.263
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.076002280068394
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1540680900173
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2310059626851
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
[1] => 5.166
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 09:45:00
[1] => 5.193
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 09:50:00
[1] => 5.254
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 10:55:00
[1] => 5.273
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 11:40:00
[1] => 5.227
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 12:05:00
[1] => 5.241
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 13:00:00
[1] => 5.199
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 13:50:00
[1] => 5.255
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 14:15:00
[1] => 5.214
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 14:50:00
[1] => 5.263
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.076002280068394
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.86306098964327
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.93977752205599
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 09:00:00 | 5.166 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 09:45:00 | 5.193 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 09:50:00 | 5.254 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 10:55:00 | 5.273 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 11:40:00 | 5.227 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 12:05:00 | 5.241 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 13:00:00 | 5.199 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 13:50:00 | 5.255 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 14:15:00 | 5.214 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 14:50:00 | 5.263 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 21:30:00 | 5.288 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:45:00 | 5.205 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 02:00:00 | 5.293 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 03:30:00 | 5.251 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 05:45:00 | 5.292 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 06:15:00 | 5.226 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 09:00:00 | 5.166 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 10:45:00 | 5.273 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 13:00:00 | 5.199 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 14:45:00 | 5.263 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 15:00:00 | 5.586 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 17:00:00 | 5.538 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 06:00:00 | 5.447 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 18:00:00 | 5.347 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 01:00:00 | 5.513 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 13:00:00 | 5.223 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 19:00:00 | 5.333 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 23:00:00 | 5.205 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 02:00:00 | 5.293 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 09:00:00 | 5.166 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 14:55:23 |
16 Dec 2025 16:50:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.255 | 5.2685 | 5.2279 | 2.01 | 3.448 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 5.2685 - 5.255 = 0.013500000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 5.255 - 5.2279 = 0.0271
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0271 / 0.013500000000001 = 2.0074
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3108.0148 | 100 | 591.4395 | 31.08 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.013500000000001 = 592.59
Taille de position USD = 592.59 x 5.255 = 3114.06
Donc, tu peux acheter 592.59 avec un stoploss a 5.2685
Avec un position size USD de 3114.06$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 592.59 x 0.013500000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 592.59 x 0.0271 = 16.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.06$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 16.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2664 % | 103.7 % | 8 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.2279
[entry_price] => 5.255
[stop_loss] => 5.26985
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 17:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.2279
[entry_price] => 5.255
[stop_loss] => 5.2712
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 17:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.2279
[entry_price] => 5.255
[stop_loss] => 5.27255
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 17:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.2279
[entry_price] => 5.255
[stop_loss] => 5.27525
[rr_ratio] => 1.34
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 18:15:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.008
[max_drawdown] => 0.014
[rr_ratio] => 0.57
[high] => 5.26900000
[low] => 5.24700000
[mfe_pct] => 0.15
[mae_pct] => 0.27
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.57
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T14:55:23-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T16:55:23-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.008
[max_drawdown] => 0.042
[rr_ratio] => 0.19
[high] => 5.29700000
[low] => 5.24700000
[mfe_pct] => 0.15
[mae_pct] => 0.8
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.19
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T14:55:23-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T21:55:23-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 5.26600000
[high_after] => 5.29700000
[low_before] => 5.19900000
[low_after] => 5.24700000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)