Short Trade on TRUMP 16 Dec 2025 at 15:07:18

Take profit at 5.2339 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 5.273 (0.25 %)

Short Trade on TRUMP

The 16 Dec 2025 at 15:07:18

With 614.0054 TRUMP at 5.26$ per unit.

Position size of 3229.6686 $

Take profit at 5.2339 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 5.273 (0.25 %)

That's a 2.01 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.95
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.65
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.52
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.66794

15m : -0.077994

1H : -0.002463

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 0.008686133804
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 5.24623
  4. ema21 : 5.26508
  5. ema50 : 5.33098
  6. ema100 : 5.40544
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00262413
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00358018
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0123614
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.026908
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.046311
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0737461
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0836242
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0672006
  17. rsi : 0.465454
  18. adx : 0.436246
  19. kc_percentage : 0.482887
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0322664
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.389962
  22. volume_ema1 : 151145.84541145
  23. volume_ema2 : 247764.97536847
  24. chop : 56.4036
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 5.23876
  29. ema21 : 5.23392
  30. ema50 : 5.24095
  31. ema100 : 5.2547
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00405366
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000923699
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00134124
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0010085
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.00386391
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.00565707
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0115822
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0114813
  42. rsi : 0.586963
  43. adx : 0.176644
  44. kc_percentage : 0.829353
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0150457
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.436129
  47. volume_ema1 : 36431.391513851
  48. volume_ema2 : 64609.48149041
  49. chop : 60.0039
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 5.24912
  54. ema21 : 5.23937
  55. ema50 : 5.23377
  56. ema100 : 5.23518
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00207236
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00185961
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00107133
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00473919
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0245314
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0159472
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00698349
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00194647
  67. rsi : 0.662648
  68. adx : 0.215899
  69. kc_percentage : 1.11309
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00624167
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.00765007
  72. volume_ema1 : 16930.771038236
  73. volume_ema2 : 16802.232630191
  74. chop : 38.3912
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87381.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00128733
  81. 5m_price:
    87494.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.66794
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    86754.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00852294
  86. 15m_price:
    87494.3
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.077994
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    88325.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00941453
  91. 1H_price:
    87494.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.002463
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 15:00:00
                        [1] => 5.586
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 17:00:00
                        [1] => 5.538
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 5.447
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
                        [1] => 5.347
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 01:00:00
                        [1] => 5.513
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 13:00:00
                        [1] => 5.223
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5.333
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 5.205
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
                        [1] => 5.293
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
                        [1] => 5.166
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.54789344417155
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8970189701897
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4583817266744
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 21:30:00
                        [1] => 5.288
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 23:45:00
                        [1] => 5.205
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 02:00:00
                        [1] => 5.293
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 03:30:00
                        [1] => 5.251
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 05:45:00
                        [1] => 5.292
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 06:15:00
                        [1] => 5.226
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
                        [1] => 5.166
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 10:45:00
                        [1] => 5.273
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 13:00:00
                        [1] => 5.199
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 5.266
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.037979491074815
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2502404308521
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.288709367186
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:00:00
                        [1] => 5.166
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 5.193
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 09:50:00
                        [1] => 5.254
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 10:55:00
                        [1] => 5.273
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 11:40:00
                        [1] => 5.227
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 12:05:00
                        [1] => 5.241
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 13:00:00
                        [1] => 5.199
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 13:50:00
                        [1] => 5.255
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 14:15:00
                        [1] => 5.214
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 15:05:00
                        [1] => 5.266
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.037979491074815
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.95895665515918
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.99731492136555
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.96%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.00%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0000
0.00%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0679
1.30%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 09:00:00 5.166 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 09:45:00 5.193 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 09:50:00 5.254 ↑ High
2025-12-16 10:55:00 5.273 ↑ High
2025-12-16 11:40:00 5.227 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 12:05:00 5.241 ↑ High
2025-12-16 13:00:00 5.199 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 13:50:00 5.255 ↑ High
2025-12-16 14:15:00 5.214 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 15:05:00 5.266 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.25%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.29%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0200
0.38%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0679
1.30%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-15 21:30:00 5.288 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:45:00 5.205 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 02:00:00 5.293 ↑ High
2025-12-16 03:30:00 5.251 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 05:45:00 5.292 ↑ High
2025-12-16 06:15:00 5.226 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 09:00:00 5.166 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 10:45:00 5.273 ↑ High
2025-12-16 13:00:00 5.199 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 15:00:00 5.266 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.55%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.90%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.46%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3130
5.94%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0679
1.30%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 15:00:00 5.586 ↑ High
2025-12-13 17:00:00 5.538 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 06:00:00 5.447 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 18:00:00 5.347 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 01:00:00 5.513 ↑ High
2025-12-15 13:00:00 5.223 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 19:00:00 5.333 ↑ High
2025-12-15 23:00:00 5.205 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 02:00:00 5.293 ↑ High
2025-12-16 09:00:00 5.166 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Dec 2025
15:07:18
16 Dec 2025
17:00:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.26 5.273 5.2339 2.01 3.448
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.26
  • Stop Loss: 5.273
  • Take Profit: 5.2339

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5.273 - 5.26 = 0.013

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.26 - 5.2339 = 0.0261

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0261 / 0.013 = 2.0077

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3229.6686 100 614.0054 32.30
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.013

Taille de position = 8 / 0.013 = 615.38

Taille de position USD = 615.38 x 5.26 = 3236.9

Donc, tu peux acheter 615.38 avec un stoploss a 5.273

Avec un position size USD de 3236.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 615.38 x 0.013 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 615.38 x 0.0261 = 16.06

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.06$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 615.38
  • Taille de position USD 3236.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.06
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0077

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.5 % 16.03 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-7.98 $ -0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2662 % 107.73 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2339
            [entry_price] => 5.26
            [stop_loss] => 5.2743
            [rr_ratio] => 1.83
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 18:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2339
            [entry_price] => 5.26
            [stop_loss] => 5.2756
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 18:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2339
            [entry_price] => 5.26
            [stop_loss] => 5.2769
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 18:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.2339
            [entry_price] => 5.26
            [stop_loss] => 5.2795
            [rr_ratio] => 1.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-16 18:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.013
            [max_drawdown] => 0.014
            [rr_ratio] => 0.93
            [high] => 5.27400000
            [low] => 5.24700000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.27
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.93
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T15:07:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T17:07:18-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.013
            [max_drawdown] => 0.037
            [rr_ratio] => 0.35
            [high] => 5.29700000
            [low] => 5.24700000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.7
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-16T15:07:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-16T22:07:18-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5.26600000
            [high_after] => 5.29700000
            [low_before] => 5.19900000
            [low_after] => 5.24700000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)