Long Trade on ORDI 16 Dec 2025 at 18:22:14
Take profit at 4.5984 (1.09 %) and Stop Loss at 4.5243 (0.54 %)
Long Trade on ORDI 16 Dec 2025 at 18:22:14
Take profit at 4.5984 (1.09 %) and Stop Loss at 4.5243 (0.54 %)
Position size of 1472.9658 $
Take profit at 4.5984 (1.09 %) and Stop Loss at 4.5243 (0.54 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.77 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.69 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.502803 15m : -0.12369 1H : 0.093585 |
0 |
Indicators:
87559.3
0.00199031
87733.6
0.502803
86965.3
0.00887377
87737.1
-0.12369
88308.5
-0.0065103
87733.6
0.093585
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 22:00:00
[1] => 4.409
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 03:00:00
[1] => 4.629
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 10:00:00
[1] => 4.288
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 18:00:00
[1] => 4.346
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 23:00:00
[1] => 4.73
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:00:00
[1] => 4.672
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 11:00:00
[1] => 4.114
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 20:00:00
[1] => 4.053
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 06:00:00
[1] => 5.079
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 18:00:00
[1] => 4.536
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -10.612325260878
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.088183421516765
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.970899470899
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 01:45:00
[1] => 4.386
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 02:45:00
[1] => 4.22
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 06:15:00
[1] => 5.079
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 08:15:00
[1] => 4.408
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 11:15:00
[1] => 4.576
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 13:45:00
[1] => 4.653
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 14:00:00
[1] => 4.548
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 16:00:00
[1] => 4.587
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 16:30:00
[1] => 4.646
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 18:15:00
[1] => 4.536
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.2815325010762
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.088183421516765
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4250440917108
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 13:50:00
[1] => 4.653
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 14:10:00
[1] => 4.548
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 14:50:00
[1] => 4.632
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 15:35:00
[1] => 4.628
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 16:00:00
[1] => 4.587
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 16:25:00
[1] => 4.587
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 16:40:00
[1] => 4.646
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 17:10:00
[1] => 4.593
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 17:45:00
[1] => 4.64
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 18:15:00
[1] => 4.536
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1551724137931
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.088183421516765
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2927689594356
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 13:50:00 | 4.653 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 14:10:00 | 4.548 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 14:50:00 | 4.632 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 15:35:00 | 4.628 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 16:00:00 | 4.587 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 16:25:00 | 4.587 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 16:40:00 | 4.646 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 17:10:00 | 4.593 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 17:45:00 | 4.64 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 18:15:00 | 4.536 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 01:45:00 | 4.386 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 02:45:00 | 4.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 06:15:00 | 5.079 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 08:15:00 | 4.408 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 11:15:00 | 4.576 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 13:45:00 | 4.653 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 14:00:00 | 4.548 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 16:00:00 | 4.587 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 16:30:00 | 4.646 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 18:15:00 | 4.536 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 22:00:00 | 4.409 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 03:00:00 | 4.629 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 10:00:00 | 4.288 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 18:00:00 | 4.346 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 23:00:00 | 4.73 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 09:00:00 | 4.672 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 11:00:00 | 4.114 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 20:00:00 | 4.053 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 06:00:00 | 5.079 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-16 18:00:00 | 4.536 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 18:22:14 |
16 Dec 2025 20:00:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.549 | 4.5243 | 4.5984 | 2 | 2.435 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.5243 - 4.549 = -0.0247
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.549 - 4.5984 = -0.049399999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.049399999999999 / -0.0247 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1472.9658 | 100 | 323.7999 | 14.73 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0247 = -323.89
Taille de position USD = -323.89 x 4.549 = -1473.38
Donc, tu peux acheter -323.89 avec un stoploss a 4.5243
Avec un position size USD de -1473.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -323.89 x -0.0247 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -323.89 x -0.049399999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.09 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4616 % | 85.01 % | 14 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5984
[stop_loss] => 4.5243
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 20:00:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.61075
[stop_loss] => 4.5243
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 21:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.6231
[stop_loss] => 4.5243
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 21:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.63545
[stop_loss] => 4.5243
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 21:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.6478
[stop_loss] => 4.5243
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 21:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.66015
[stop_loss] => 4.5243
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 21:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.6725
[stop_loss] => 4.5243
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 21:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.68485
[stop_loss] => 4.5243
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 21:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.6972
[stop_loss] => 4.5243
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 21:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.70955
[stop_loss] => 4.5243
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 21:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.7219
[stop_loss] => 4.5243
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-16 21:15:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.053999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.021000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 2.57
[high] => 4.60300000
[low] => 4.52800000
[mfe_pct] => 1.19
[mae_pct] => 0.46
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.57
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T18:22:14-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-16T20:22:14-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.053999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.12
[rr_ratio] => 0.45
[high] => 4.60300000
[low] => 4.42900000
[mfe_pct] => 1.19
[mae_pct] => 2.64
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.45
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-16T18:22:14-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-17T01:22:14-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4.64600000
[high_after] => 4.60300000
[low_before] => 4.53600000
[low_after] => 4.44800000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)