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Short Trade on ARC

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Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 14:49:23

Take profit at 0.03439 (6.17 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03778 (3.08 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 17 Dec 2025 at 14:49:23

With 7081.9167 ARC at 0.03665$ per unit.

Position size of 259.5522 $

Take profit at 0.03439 (6.17 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03778 (3.08 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.36
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.66
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.8
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.207802

15m : -0.14678

1H : 0.13269

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.21
  4. atr: 0.0007530917863
Details
  1. score: 1.21
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0381817
  4. ema21 : 0.041526
  5. ema50 : 0.0422399
  6. ema100 : 0.0396666
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0401184
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0805342
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0169014
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0760509
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.51657
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.900489
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.265149
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0355763
  17. rsi : 0.341181
  18. adx : 0.443385
  19. kc_percentage : 0.00992901
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.262577
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.511517
  22. volume_ema1 : 520887.43522625
  23. volume_ema2 : 344612.34206074
  24. chop : 16.8822
  25. regime : bear_high_confirmed
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0348894
  28. ema21 : 0.0363343
  29. ema50 : 0.0397357
  30. ema100 : 0.0426035
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0504621
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0397673
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.085602
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.139743
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.810466
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.928544
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.675606
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.433019
  41. rsi : 0.469546
  42. adx : 0.500591
  43. kc_percentage : 0.588307
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.143396
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.0352257
  46. volume_ema1 : 107422.95421964
  47. volume_ema2 : 103767.66049992
  48. chop : 41.5766
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.035063
  52. ema21 : 0.0344876
  53. ema50 : 0.035642
  54. ema100 : 0.0380219
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0452599
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0166849
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0323906
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0360832
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.526591
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.175074
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.144488
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.201558
  65. rsi : 0.684231
  66. adx : 0.357712
  67. kc_percentage : 1.21392
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0824933
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.0535461
  70. volume_ema1 : 49207.062521413
  71. volume_ema2 : 46706.126965514
  72. chop : 32.8677
  73. regime : range_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86770.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0104161
  78. 5m_price: 
    85866.4
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.207802
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86997.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0130005
  83. 15m_price: 
    85866.4
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.14678
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87841.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0224826
  88. 1H_price: 
    85866.4
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.13269
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03067
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 22:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03105
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02862
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03907
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04031
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04959
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 18:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04937
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 23:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04294
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03196
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -25.82540004051
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 14.580725907384
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 34.355444305382
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 17:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04747
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 18:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04937
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 20:15:00
                    [1] => 0.04733
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 23:30:00
                    [1] => 0.04294
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04771
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 01:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04533
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04713
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04122
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                    [1] => 0.03196
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 14:45:00
                    [1] => 0.03675
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.35374149659863
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 14.580725907384
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.987484355444
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 06:35:00
                    [1] => 0.04519
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 07:35:00
                    [1] => 0.0444
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 08:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04342
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:05:00
                    [1] => 0.04122
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:20:00
                    [1] => 0.04291
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:40:00
                    [1] => 0.04154
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:50:00
                    [1] => 0.04331
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 12:45:00
                    [1] => 0.03242
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                    [1] => 0.03196
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 14:45:00
                    [1] => 0.03675
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.35374149659863
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 14.580725907384
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.987484355444
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.35%
Dist From Last Low Pct
14.58%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
14.99%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0074
19.61%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0024
7.07%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 06:35:00 0.04519 ↑ High
2025-12-17 07:35:00 0.0444 ↑ High
2025-12-17 08:45:00 0.04342 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:05:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:20:00 0.04291 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:40:00 0.04154 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:50:00 0.04331 ↑ High
2025-12-17 12:45:00 0.03242 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 14:45:00 0.03675 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.35%
Dist From Last Low Pct
14.58%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
14.99%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0116
30.68%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0024
7.07%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 17:00:00 0.04747 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:45:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 20:15:00 0.04733 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 23:30:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 01:00:00 0.04771 ↑ High
2025-12-17 01:45:00 0.04533 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 04:00:00 0.04713 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:00:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 14:45:00 0.03675 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-25.83%
Dist From Last Low Pct
14.58%
Bars Since Swing High
20 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
34.36%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0118
31.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0058
16.78%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 12:00:00 0.03067 ↑ High
2025-12-13 22:00:00 0.03105 ↑ High
2025-12-14 06:00:00 0.02862 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 00:00:00 0.03907 ↑ High
2025-12-15 07:00:00 0.04031 ↑ High
2025-12-16 05:00:00 0.04959 ↑ High
2025-12-16 15:00:00 0.04665 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:00:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 23:00:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 0.03196 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
14:49:23		 17 Dec 2025
15:15:00		 25 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03665 0.03778 0.03439 2 0.03364
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03665
  • Stop Loss: 0.03778
  • Take Profit: 0.03439

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03778 - 0.03665 = 0.00113

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03665 - 0.03439 = 0.00226

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00226 / 0.00113 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
259.5522 100 7081.9167 2.60
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00113

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00113 = 7079.65

Taille de position USD = 7079.65 x 0.03665 = 259.47

Donc, tu peux acheter 7079.65 avec un stoploss a 0.03778

Avec un position size USD de 259.47$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7079.65 x 0.00113 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7079.65 x 0.00226 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7079.65
  • Taille de position USD 259.47
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.17 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.08 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -3.08
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.2742 % 106.19 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03439
            [entry_price] => 0.03665
            [stop_loss] => 0.037893
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03439
            [entry_price] => 0.03665
            [stop_loss] => 0.038006
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03439
            [entry_price] => 0.03665
            [stop_loss] => 0.038119
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03439
            [entry_price] => 0.03665
            [stop_loss] => 0.038345
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0003
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00385
            [rr_ratio] => 0.08
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03635000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.82
            [mae_pct] => 10.5
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.08
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T14:49:23-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T16:49:23-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00189
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00385
            [rr_ratio] => 0.49
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03476000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.16
            [mae_pct] => 10.5
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T14:49:23-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T21:49:23-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04075000
            [high_after] => 0.04050000
            [low_before] => 0.03196000
            [low_after] => 0.03578000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)