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Short Trade on ARC

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Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 15:28:25

Take profit at 0.03614 (5.37 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03922 (2.7 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 17 Dec 2025 at 15:28:25

With 7791.5635 ARC at 0.03819$ per unit.

Position size of 297.5598 $

Take profit at 0.03614 (5.37 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03922 (2.7 %)

That's a 1.99 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.45
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.56
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.7
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.205927

15m : 0.027691

1H : -0.019809

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.25
  4. atr: 0.0006845010384
Details
  1. score: 1.25
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0382458
  4. ema21 : 0.041255
  5. ema50 : 0.0421068
  6. ema100 : 0.0397262
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00145989
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0729419
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0202289
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.03867
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.49646
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.946466
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.313681
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00237992
  17. rsi : 0.393737
  18. adx : 0.430702
  19. kc_percentage : 0.192109
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.247256
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.301164
  22. volume_ema1 : 448612.10067083
  23. volume_ema2 : 344777.31475863
  24. chop : 19.0721
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0359147
  28. ema21 : 0.0365832
  29. ema50 : 0.0395853
  30. ema100 : 0.0424115
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0633517
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0182725
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0758393
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0995369
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.25692
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.661388
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.58055
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.393869
  41. rsi : 0.518341
  42. adx : 0.432539
  43. kc_percentage : 0.84639
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.129813
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.0570232
  46. volume_ema1 : 99336.812559838
  47. volume_ema2 : 105343.86244882
  48. chop : 39.9123
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.0372631
  52. ema21 : 0.0361372
  53. ema50 : 0.0361393
  54. ema100 : 0.037804
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0248739
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0311558
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -5.99047E-5
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0102079
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.793413
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.545243
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.124805
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0513261
  65. rsi : 0.72577
  66. adx : 0.410426
  67. kc_percentage : 1.24911
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0697066
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.154613
  70. volume_ema1 : 37907.621037209
  71. volume_ema2 : 44840.560790486
  72. chop : 33.9819
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    86690.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00667385
  78. 5m_price: 
    86111.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.205927
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86988.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0100456
  83. 15m_price: 
    86115
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.027691
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87804.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0192805
  88. 1H_price: 
    86111.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.019809
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03067
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-13 22:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03105
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02862
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03907
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-15 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04031
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04959
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 18:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04937
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 23:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04294
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03196
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -22.726352035649
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 19.367959949937
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 34.355444305382
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 17:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04747
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 18:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04937
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 20:15:00
                    [1] => 0.04733
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-16 23:30:00
                    [1] => 0.04294
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04771
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 01:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04533
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04713
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04122
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                    [1] => 0.03196
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 15:15:00
                    [1] => 0.03832
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.44363256784968
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 19.367959949937
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 19.899874843554
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 07:35:00
                    [1] => 0.0444
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 08:45:00
                    [1] => 0.04342
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:05:00
                    [1] => 0.04122
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:20:00
                    [1] => 0.04291
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:40:00
                    [1] => 0.04154
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 09:50:00
                    [1] => 0.04331
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 12:45:00
                    [1] => 0.03242
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                    [1] => 0.03196
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-17 15:20:00
                    [1] => 0.03832
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.44363256784968
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 19.367959949937
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 23
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 19.899874843554
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
19.37%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
23 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
19.90%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0052
13.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0042
11.57%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 07:35:00 0.0444 ↑ High
2025-12-17 08:45:00 0.04342 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:05:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:20:00 0.04291 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:40:00 0.04154 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 09:50:00 0.04331 ↑ High
2025-12-17 12:45:00 0.03242 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:20:00 0.03832 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
19.37%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
19.90%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0102
25.88%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0042
11.57%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 17:00:00 0.04747 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:45:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 20:15:00 0.04733 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 23:30:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 01:00:00 0.04771 ↑ High
2025-12-17 01:45:00 0.04533 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 04:00:00 0.04713 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:00:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:15:00 0.03832 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-22.73%
Dist From Last Low Pct
19.37%
Bars Since Swing High
21 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
34.36%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0104
26.44%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0075
20.81%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 12:00:00 0.03067 ↑ High
2025-12-13 22:00:00 0.03105 ↑ High
2025-12-14 06:00:00 0.02862 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 00:00:00 0.03907 ↑ High
2025-12-15 07:00:00 0.04031 ↑ High
2025-12-16 05:00:00 0.04959 ↑ High
2025-12-16 15:00:00 0.04665 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:00:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 23:00:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 0.03196 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
15:28:25		 17 Dec 2025
15:45:00		 16 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03819 0.03922 0.03614 1.99 0.03078
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03819
  • Stop Loss: 0.03922
  • Take Profit: 0.03614

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03922 - 0.03819 = 0.00103

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03819 - 0.03614 = 0.00205

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00205 / 0.00103 = 1.9903

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
297.5598 100 7791.5635 2.98
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00103

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00103 = 7766.99

Taille de position USD = 7766.99 x 0.03819 = 296.62

Donc, tu peux acheter 7766.99 avec un stoploss a 0.03922

Avec un position size USD de 296.62$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7766.99 x 0.00103 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7766.99 x 0.00205 = 15.92

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.92$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7766.99
  • Taille de position USD 296.62
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.92
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9903

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.37 % 15.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.7 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
-8.03 $ -2.70
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.7395 % 175.73 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03614
            [entry_price] => 0.03819
            [stop_loss] => 0.039323
            [rr_ratio] => 1.81
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03614
            [entry_price] => 0.03819
            [stop_loss] => 0.039426
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03614
            [entry_price] => 0.03819
            [stop_loss] => 0.039529
            [rr_ratio] => 1.53
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03614
            [entry_price] => 0.03819
            [stop_loss] => 0.039735
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00159
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00231
            [rr_ratio] => 0.69
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03660000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.16
            [mae_pct] => 6.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.69
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T15:28:25-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T17:28:25-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00344
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00231
            [rr_ratio] => 1.49
            [high] => 0.04050000
            [low] => 0.03475000
            [mfe_pct] => 9.01
            [mae_pct] => 6.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T15:28:25-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T22:28:25-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.03832000
            [high_after] => 0.04050000
            [low_before] => 0.03196000
            [low_after] => 0.03578000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)