Short Trade on PLTR 17 Dec 2025 at 17:58:34
Take profit at 177.7894 (0.39 %) and Stop Loss at 178.8403 (0.2 %)
Short Trade on PLTR 17 Dec 2025 at 17:58:34
Take profit at 177.7894 (0.39 %) and Stop Loss at 178.8403 (0.2 %)
Position size of 4076.3961 $
Take profit at 177.7894 (0.39 %) and Stop Loss at 178.8403 (0.2 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.72 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.76 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.471509 15m : 0.048807 1H : -0.043229 |
2 |
Indicators:
86423.8
-0.00112989
86326.2
0.471509
86820.4
-0.00736284
86181.2
0.048807
87753.1
-0.0162613
86326.2
-0.043229
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
[1] => 181.78
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 21:00:00
[1] => 183.98
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 03:00:00
[1] => 182.25
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 09:00:00
[1] => 188
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 10:00:00
[1] => 183.22
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-15 22:00:00
[1] => 179.02
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
[1] => 188.27
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 00:00:00
[1] => 186.34
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 07:00:00
[1] => 188.96
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 15:00:00
[1] => 177.12
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.5408552074513
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.77348690153568
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.6847335140018
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 00:15:00
[1] => 186.34
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
[1] => 187.99
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 03:30:00
[1] => 187.23
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 06:30:00
[1] => 187.61
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 07:45:00
[1] => 188.96
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 08:15:00
[1] => 188.96
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 11:45:00
[1] => 177.85
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
[1] => 181.7
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
[1] => 177.12
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 17:45:00
[1] => 178.69
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11192568134758
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.77348690153568
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.8864046973803
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 11:45:00
[1] => 177.85
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 13:05:00
[1] => 181.7
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:30:00
[1] => 177.65
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 14:55:00
[1] => 178.98
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 15:30:00
[1] => 179
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 15:55:00
[1] => 177.12
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 16:20:00
[1] => 178.28
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 16:30:00
[1] => 178.28
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 16:40:00
[1] => 177.66
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-17 17:55:00
[1] => 178.69
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11192568134758
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.46718450973771
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.57975909039739
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 11:45:00 | 177.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 13:05:00 | 181.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 14:30:00 | 177.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 14:55:00 | 178.98 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 15:30:00 | 179 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 15:55:00 | 177.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 16:20:00 | 178.28 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 16:30:00 | 178.28 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 16:40:00 | 177.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 17:55:00 | 178.69 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 00:15:00 | 186.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 01:00:00 | 187.99 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 03:30:00 | 187.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 06:30:00 | 187.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 07:45:00 | 188.96 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 08:15:00 | 188.96 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 11:45:00 | 177.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 13:00:00 | 181.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 15:45:00 | 177.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 17:45:00 | 178.69 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 20:00:00 | 181.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 21:00:00 | 183.98 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 03:00:00 | 182.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 09:00:00 | 188 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-15 10:00:00 | 183.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-15 22:00:00 | 179.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-16 15:00:00 | 188.27 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 00:00:00 | 186.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-17 07:00:00 | 188.96 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-17 15:00:00 | 177.12 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 17:58:34 |
17 Dec 2025 18:35:00 |
36 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178.49 | 178.8403 | 177.7894 | 2 | 136.95 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 178.8403 - 178.49 = 0.3503
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 178.49 - 177.7894 = 0.70060000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.70060000000001 / 0.3503 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4076.3961 | 100 | 22.8382 | 40.76 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.3503 = 22.84
Taille de position USD = 22.84 x 178.49 = 4076.71
Donc, tu peux acheter 22.84 avec un stoploss a 178.8403
Avec un position size USD de 4076.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 22.84 x 0.3503 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 22.84 x 0.70060000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 177.7894
[stop_loss] => 178.8403
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 18:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 177.61425
[stop_loss] => 178.8403
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 18:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 177.4391
[stop_loss] => 178.8403
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 177.26395
[stop_loss] => 178.8403
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 177.0888
[stop_loss] => 178.8403
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 176.91365
[stop_loss] => 178.8403
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 176.7385
[stop_loss] => 178.8403
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 176.56335
[stop_loss] => 178.8403
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 176.3882
[stop_loss] => 178.8403
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 176.21305
[stop_loss] => 178.8403
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 176.0379
[stop_loss] => 178.8403
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 178.49000000
[low] => 177.49000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.56
[mae_pct] => 0
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-17T17:58:34-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-17T19:58:34-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1
[max_drawdown] => 0.94
[rr_ratio] => 1.06
[high] => 179.43000000
[low] => 177.49000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.56
[mae_pct] => 0.53
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.06
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-17T17:58:34-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-18T00:58:34-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 179.55000000
[high_after] => 179.43000000
[low_before] => 177.12000000
[low_after] => 177.49000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)