Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 19:45:54

Take profit at 0.03705 (4.21 %) and Stop Loss at 0.0395 (2.12 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 17 Dec 2025 at 19:45:54

With 9815.694 ARC at 0.03868$ per unit.

Position size of 379.671 $

Take profit at 0.03705 (4.21 %) and Stop Loss at 0.0395 (2.12 %)

That's a 1.99 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 90
ML Pullback Score: 9.09
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.51
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.79
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.72
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.031459

15m : -0.07024

1H : -0.083085

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 0.0005433475535
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0382681
  4. ema21 : 0.0403619
  5. ema50 : 0.0415793
  6. ema100 : 0.039659
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.010763
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0518752
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0292801
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0246855
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.29117
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.00329
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.435717
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0992057
  17. rsi : 0.440688
  18. adx : 0.356301
  19. kc_percentage : 0.362497
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.289105
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.205423
  22. volume_ema1 : 269014.93990963
  23. volume_ema2 : 338564.00055586
  24. chop : 29.3995
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.037675
  29. ema21 : 0.0375082
  30. ema50 : 0.0386647
  31. ema100 : 0.041004
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0266738
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00444702
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0299108
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0566793
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.110745
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0219846
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.163382
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.194285
  42. rsi : 0.5539
  43. adx : 0.183001
  44. kc_percentage : 0.766883
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.114053
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.635122
  47. volume_ema1 : 31105.304211992
  48. volume_ema2 : 85248.526065736
  49. chop : 52.8832
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0378266
  54. ema21 : 0.0374272
  55. ema50 : 0.0372309
  56. ema100 : 0.036879
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0225602
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0106715
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00527256
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0488346
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.259397
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0678889
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0236814
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0284137
  67. rsi : 0.66368
  68. adx : 0.191384
  69. kc_percentage : 1.10761
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0528377
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.447032
  72. volume_ema1 : 12191.86699546
  73. volume_ema2 : 22048.06755324
  74. chop : 36.723
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86135.4
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -3.56632E-5
  81. 5m_price:
    86132.4
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.031459
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    86701.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00656041
  86. 15m_price:
    86132.4
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.07024
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87689.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0177527
  91. 1H_price:
    86132.4
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.083085
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 22:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03105
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02862
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03907
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 07:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04031
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04959
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04665
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04937
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 23:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0405
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.7160493827161
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 23.279098873592
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 26.720901126408
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 20:15:00
                        [1] => 0.04733
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 23:30:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04771
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04533
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04713
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04122
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0405
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03578
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03941
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.025374270489731
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.117384013415
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.145332588038
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 11:35:00
                        [1] => 0.03749
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 12:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03242
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:15:00
                        [1] => 0.0366
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0405
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03616
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03854
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:05:00
                        [1] => 0.03578
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03941
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.025374270489731
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.117384013415
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.145332588038
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.12%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.15%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0010
2.53%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0051
13.74%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 11:35:00 0.03749 ↑ High
2025-12-17 12:45:00 0.03242 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:45:00 0.04 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:15:00 0.0366 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:45:00 0.0405 ↑ High
2025-12-17 17:30:00 0.03616 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 18:00:00 0.03854 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:05:00 0.03578 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:45:00 0.03941 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.12%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.15%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0082
20.78%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0051
13.74%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 20:15:00 0.04733 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 23:30:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 01:00:00 0.04771 ↑ High
2025-12-17 01:45:00 0.04533 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 04:00:00 0.04713 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:00:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:45:00 0.0405 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:00:00 0.03578 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:45:00 0.03941 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.72%
Dist From Last Low Pct
23.28%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
26.72%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0101
25.54%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0084
22.75%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 22:00:00 0.03105 ↑ High
2025-12-14 06:00:00 0.02862 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 00:00:00 0.03907 ↑ High
2025-12-15 07:00:00 0.04031 ↑ High
2025-12-16 05:00:00 0.04959 ↑ High
2025-12-16 15:00:00 0.04665 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:00:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 23:00:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:00:00 0.0405 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
19:45:54
17 Dec 2025
21:00:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03868 0.0395 0.03705 1.99 0.03089
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03868
  • Stop Loss: 0.0395
  • Take Profit: 0.03705

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0395 - 0.03868 = 0.00082

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03868 - 0.03705 = 0.00163

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00163 / 0.00082 = 1.9878

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
379.671 100 9815.694 3.80
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00082

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00082 = 9756.1

Taille de position USD = 9756.1 x 0.03868 = 377.37

Donc, tu peux acheter 9756.1 avec un stoploss a 0.0395

Avec un position size USD de 377.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 9756.1 x 0.00082 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 9756.1 x 0.00163 = 15.9

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.9$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 9756.1
  • Taille de position USD 377.37
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.9
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9878

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.21 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.12 % 8.05 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 4.21
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.8614 % 87.8 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03704
            [stop_loss] => 0.0395
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03663
            [stop_loss] => 0.0395
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03622
            [stop_loss] => 0.0395
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03581
            [stop_loss] => 0.0395
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0354
            [stop_loss] => 0.0395
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03499
            [stop_loss] => 0.0395
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00392
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00072
            [rr_ratio] => 5.44
            [high] => 0.03940000
            [low] => 0.03476000
            [mfe_pct] => 10.13
            [mae_pct] => 1.86
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.44
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T19:45:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T21:45:54-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00393
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00072
            [rr_ratio] => 5.46
            [high] => 0.03940000
            [low] => 0.03475000
            [mfe_pct] => 10.16
            [mae_pct] => 1.86
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.46
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T19:45:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T02:45:54-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04050000
            [high_after] => 0.03940000
            [low_before] => 0.03578000
            [low_after] => 0.03475000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)