Short Trade on ARC 17 Dec 2025 at 19:50:00

Take profit at 0.03756 (4.67 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04032 (2.34 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 17 Dec 2025 at 19:50:00

With 8705.5888 ARC at 0.0394$ per unit.

Position size of 343.0002 $

Take profit at 0.03756 (4.67 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04032 (2.34 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.7
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.82
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.026942

15m : -0.067647

1H : -0.082626

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.28
  4. atr: 0.0006126332678
Details
  1. score: 1.28
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0384121
  4. ema21 : 0.0404273
  5. ema50 : 0.0416075
  6. ema100 : 0.0396732
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0257179
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0498483
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0283657
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00688782
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.26468
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.991409
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.430354
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0962455
  17. rsi : 0.45886
  18. adx : 0.353208
  19. kc_percentage : 0.422389
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.289812
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.177485
  22. volume_ema1 : 279487.2942863
  23. volume_ema2 : 339796.04224724
  24. chop : 29.455
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.037819
  29. ema21 : 0.0375737
  30. ema50 : 0.0386929
  31. ema100 : 0.0410183
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0418026
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00652971
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.028927
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0394541
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0793175
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0074808
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.157416
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.191455
  42. rsi : 0.583385
  43. adx : 0.186649
  44. kc_percentage : 0.881034
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.121816
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.519225
  47. volume_ema1 : 41577.658588659
  48. volume_ema2 : 86480.567757109
  49. chop : 53.0207
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0379706
  54. ema21 : 0.0374926
  55. ema50 : 0.0372591
  56. ema100 : 0.0368932
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0376443
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0127479
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00626749
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.067945
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.292108
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0825813
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0300193
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0316464
  67. rsi : 0.719315
  68. adx : 0.197428
  69. kc_percentage : 1.27854
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0617199
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0264555
  72. volume_ema1 : 22664.221372127
  73. volume_ema2 : 23280.109244612
  74. chop : 30.3281
  75. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86136.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000579972
  81. 5m_price:
    86186.5
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.026942
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    86702.2
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00594872
  86. 15m_price:
    86186.5
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.067647
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87690.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0171477
  91. 1H_price:
    86186.5
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.082626
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 22:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03105
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02862
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 00:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03907
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-15 07:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04031
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04959
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04665
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04937
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 23:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0405
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.2098765432099
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 22.653316645807
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 26.720901126408
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 20:15:00
                        [1] => 0.04733
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-16 23:30:00
                        [1] => 0.04294
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04771
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 01:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04533
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04713
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04122
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0405
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03578
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03941
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.5328596802842
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.5584125209614
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.145332588038
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 11:35:00
                        [1] => 0.03749
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 12:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03242
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03196
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 15:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:15:00
                        [1] => 0.0366
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 16:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0405
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 17:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03616
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03854
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:05:00
                        [1] => 0.03578
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-17 19:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03941
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.5328596802842
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.5584125209614
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.145332588038
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.53%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.56%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.15%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0002
0.45%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0056
14.91%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-17 11:35:00 0.03749 ↑ High
2025-12-17 12:45:00 0.03242 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 15:45:00 0.04 ↑ High
2025-12-17 16:15:00 0.0366 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:45:00 0.0405 ↑ High
2025-12-17 17:30:00 0.03616 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 18:00:00 0.03854 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:05:00 0.03578 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:45:00 0.03941 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.53%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.56%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.15%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0074
18.33%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0056
14.91%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-16 20:15:00 0.04733 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 23:30:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 01:00:00 0.04771 ↑ High
2025-12-17 01:45:00 0.04533 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 04:00:00 0.04713 ↑ High
2025-12-17 09:00:00 0.04122 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:30:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:45:00 0.0405 ↑ High
2025-12-17 19:00:00 0.03578 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 19:45:00 0.03941 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
22.65%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
26.72%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0093
22.99%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0089
23.80%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-13 22:00:00 0.03105 ↑ High
2025-12-14 06:00:00 0.02862 ↓ Low
2025-12-15 00:00:00 0.03907 ↑ High
2025-12-15 07:00:00 0.04031 ↑ High
2025-12-16 05:00:00 0.04959 ↑ High
2025-12-16 15:00:00 0.04665 ↓ Low
2025-12-16 18:00:00 0.04937 ↑ High
2025-12-16 23:00:00 0.04294 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 13:00:00 0.03196 ↓ Low
2025-12-17 16:00:00 0.0405 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Dec 2025
19:50:00
17 Dec 2025
20:00:00
10 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0394 0.04032 0.03756 2 0.03134
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0394
  • Stop Loss: 0.04032
  • Take Profit: 0.03756

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04032 - 0.0394 = 0.00092

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0394 - 0.03756 = 0.00184

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00184 / 0.00092 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
343.0002 100 8705.5888 3.43
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00092

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00092 = 8695.65

Taille de position USD = 8695.65 x 0.0394 = 342.61

Donc, tu peux acheter 8695.65 avec un stoploss a 0.04032

Avec un position size USD de 342.61$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 8695.65 x 0.00092 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 8695.65 x 0.00184 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 8695.65
  • Taille de position USD 342.61
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.67 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.34 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
16.02 $ 4.67
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03756
            [stop_loss] => 0.04032
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0371
            [stop_loss] => 0.04032
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03664
            [stop_loss] => 0.04032
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03618
            [stop_loss] => 0.04032
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03572
            [stop_loss] => 0.04032
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03526
            [stop_loss] => 0.04032
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0348
            [stop_loss] => 0.04032
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-17 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00465
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.03940000
            [low] => 0.03475000
            [mfe_pct] => 11.8
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 25
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T19:50:00-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-17T21:50:00-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00465
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.03940000
            [low] => 0.03475000
            [mfe_pct] => 11.8
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 85
            [start_at] => 2025-12-17T19:50:00-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-18T02:50:00-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04050000
            [high_after] => 0.03940000
            [low_before] => 0.03578000
            [low_after] => 0.03475000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)